Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
The latest fortnightly Newspoll – the first in some time to be released on Sunday rather than Monday night – has Labor’s primary vote down a point on last time to 30%, the Coalition’s up two to 46% and the Greens’ down two to 12%, with the two-party preferred out from 54-46 to 55-45. Julia Gillard has lost most of her lead as preferred prime minister, which narrows from 42-38 in her favour to 39-38, but the individual personal ratings are essentially unchanged, with Gillard down two points on approval to 30% and up one on disapproval to 59%, while Tony Abbott is down one on each to 31% and 58%.
UPDATE: Essential Research has voting intention unchanged on last week, with the Coalition leading 56-44 from primary votes of 33% for Labor, 49% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. The poll also gaugues opinion on the carbon tax for the first time since November last year, up to which point it had asked every month after the policy was first announced in late February 2011, and it finds support at a new low with 35% supportive and 54% opposed. Forty-five per cent believe it will increase the cost of living “a lot”, 26% “a moderate amount”, 20% “a little” and 2% that it will have “no impact”, while 44% think it likely and 40% unlikely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal it in government. More happily for the government, its marine reserves policy has 70% support with 13% opposed. The poll also finds 88% rating themselves not likely to pay for online newspaper content against only 9% likely.
UPDATE 2: The latest Morgan face-to-face poll, covering the last two weekends, has Labor down half a point to 32.5%, the Coalition up three to 45.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 10%. The Coalition’s lead is up from 55-45 to 56.5-43.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 52-48 to 54.5-45.5 on previous election preferences.
Matters federal:
• ReachTEL last week published results of two automated phone polls from the electorates of Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott, finding both to be headed for defeat. In New England, Nationals candidate-presumptive Richard Torbay was rated at 62% of the primary vote against 25% for Windsor (after distribution of the undecided), which on 2010 preference flows would put Torbay ahead 65.7-34.3. In Lyne, David Gillespie of the Nationals (UPDATE: Commenter Oakeshott Country notes I’m jumping the gun here: the Nationals are yet to confirm their candidate) led Oakeshott 52% to 31%, or 55.4-44.6. The electorates were polled in October last year by Newspoll, at which time no information on likely Nationals candidates was available, which showed Windsor trailing 41% to 33% and Oakeshott trailing 47% to 26%.
• Ben Packham of The Australian reports a “factional brawl” looms in the South Australian Liberal Party over the Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Mary Jo Fisher, who suffers a depressive illness and was recently reported to police for shoplifting for the second time in 18 months. Packham reports that Ann Ruston, former National Wine Centre chief executive and owner of a Riverina wholesale flower-growing firm, might emerge as a moderate-backed candidate. However, the Right’s position – contested by the moderates – is that she would have to renounce her existing claim to the number three position on the Senate ticket for the next election if she wished to contest the preselection. Kate Raggatt, a former adviser to Nick Minchin, is “seen as a possible right-wing contender for the vacancy”. Brad Crouch of the Sunday Mail lists Cathy Webb, Andrew McLaughlin, Paul Salu, Chris Moriarty and Maria Kourtesis as other possibilities.
Matters state:
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Boerwar,
I belong to the village. You need to go to Hagen, then to Wabag, now when you get to Wabag you turn right at the town over the bridge (two thin tracks over a whitewater river) keep going up the mountain past the mission and just before the sawmill.
If you are going with herefords you’ll have to add pigs. They don’t start sheathing their bushknives until you open the conversation with a few plump pigs.
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:31 pm
Remember when Abbott said wtte “We were in the process of removing Mr Slipper?”
Now we know what he meant, I suppose.
by Burgey on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:33 pm
Burgey
We also know what the PM meant about a line being crossed, and the journos and the coalition cheersquad being incredulous at her statement
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:35 pm
fiona – I wondered about the preselection issue especially now that Brough looks damaged but it goes against the grain to think that Slipper would succumb to the Oppn after all that has been said and that dreadful media – front pages of the DT, etc.
Still there’s no accounting for human behaviour. Slipper could feel that he was humiliating Abbott & Co by having them fawn all over him.
by BH on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:36 pm
Burgey,
If the picture is as I’ve assumed, I find it a bit scary. It’s not that they did it, but they think it is the done thing and they are well within their rights to do what they did to Slipper.
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:36 pm
Meher baba
Well said, good arguments. You won’t convince them tho.
by virtualkat on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:36 pm
Whether it s a cross, a crescent or a Mobius Strip,green, or pink polka dots, I couldn’t care less.
Except that it stays what it is now.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:37 pm
How much lower can the Libs get?
Mike Kelly MP (@MikeKellyMP)
26/06/12 7:40 PM
On ABC Capital Hill today Don Randall claimed we used a charter plane 2 fly only one asylum seeker and claimed this was a waste of money 1/2
Mike Kelly MP (@MikeKellyMP)
26/06/12 7:42 PM
real story is the person was a young boy survivor of the boat tragedy who needed urgent medical attention with severed fingers. How callous.
by Rossmore on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:37 pm
Rossmore,
It was also a plane that was going to fly back empty anyway.
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:38 pm
Astro @ 2979
The trouble with you dopey greens is that you confuse intentions and consequences.
You have all these warm inner glow intentions without considering the potential consequences.
The consequences of your party’s failure to support the governments proposed legislation is that people are still getting on boats and some are drowning.
But you still have all your fuzzy warm inner glow good intentions to cloud your perception.
When you become adults and learn to focus on the consequences of your actions (or inactions) you will understand.
by bemused on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:39 pm
victoria – I would love the PM to say, once the Ashby thing has had its day in Court, wtte
“now you know what I meant by a line having been crossed and it was for Peter’s benefit that he step aside til the facts emerged’.
She could virtually say the same for Thommo now that Jackson is in the firing line.
by BH on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:39 pm
Boer
I think SK is playing hard to get…
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:40 pm
BH
I hope she does
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:41 pm
Go Emo!
Craig Emerson MP (@CraigEmersonMP)
26/06/12 8:57 PM
Media conferences after Abbott’s 21/4 press release + 2 LIBS lined up for Sun programs + Abbott 7.30 Report Mon.But no ‘specific’ knowledge!
by Rossmore on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:41 pm
bemused
Oh! Astro never said that! You are a horrible person!! None of you understand!!!
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:42 pm
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:42 pm
SK
Thank you. *thinks. Where can I get some pigs?*
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:43 pm
z
Certainly on the coy side… This is going to take some work. I did think herefords would be good to go.
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:45 pm
And while we are claiming bragging rights:
Emmo sang to me on twitter:
Who’s a lucky girl then!
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:45 pm
Going to piss off a bunch of people here, but it’s for your own good:
Maxine McKew at the Wheeler Centre
by spur212 on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:46 pm
SK
Now you’re just being a tease….
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:46 pm
Possum Comitatus (@Pollytics)
26/06/12 9:27 PM
Lulz RT @geeksrulz: ..Slipper court case a slippery slope for Julia Gillard tinyurl.com/7wg822r STEVE LEWIS Daily Telegraph 21/4/12
At the very least Mr Lewis’s actions demand a full judicial inquiry, preferably a Royal Commission into the pernicious influence of News Ltd on Australian politics.
by Rossmore on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:47 pm
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:47 pm
zoomster @ 3014
Tsk, tsk, only horrible? Must try harder.
by bemused on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:48 pm
spur
Nah, just think it shows it’s always a risk taking someone from outside the Party and fast tracking them.
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:49 pm
Only if we read it. Pass.
by Gary on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:49 pm
Rossmore
I heard that story on the radio this morning. It made me sort of despair that a kid with severed fingers in need of urgent medical treatment becomes politics fodder for zombie political vampires like Randall. All human decency gone; berefit of goodness, kindness, heart and soul.
Nothing counts but power.
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:49 pm
http://thedailyderp.net/2012/06/26/changes-to-media-to-help-hearing-impaired-people/#comment-402
Thank you dan
by my say on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:49 pm
SK
*with jealous concern* Does Emmo have any pigs?
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:50 pm
David Horton @watermelon_man
@MikeKellyMP @spacekidette once were good liberals in Liberals in some numbers in days of Cheney, McPhee, Baume etc
2m Mike Kelly MP Mike Kelly MP @MikeKellyMP
@GenGusface @watermelon_man @spacekidette they are doing their best. It isn’t easy in the Abbott regime. ]
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:50 pm
Boer,
I didn’t ask, I was too busy swooning!
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:51 pm
BW, will babi rusa do?
by The Finnigans on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:51 pm
This saga is panning out like a badly written stage play. You would not credit that they would do another ‘gate after Grech or that anyone would be stupid enough to get involved.
I will have to go back to my android phone app with all the brain sections explained, and work out which bit all of them sent on a long holiday for the duration.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:52 pm
Kiddo, dont forget my bid was 2 BISONs
by The Finnigans on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:52 pm
Finns
They are your lean and hungry porcine sort, but I am desperate. Emmo has the inside running and without any pigs…
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:53 pm
Have run into serious trouble. Half the Herefords bilong OH…
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:55 pm
Finny,
You cheapskate, you said five. Have you borrowed eleventy Joe’s magic calculator?
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:56 pm
Bemused
“The consequences of your party’s failure to support the governments proposed legislation is that people are still getting on boats and some are drowning.”
People would still come by boat. Zoomster tried to claim that that the UNHCR said the Malaysia Solution would sto the boats, but the link she provided just said it was a step to giving people an alternative.
Other ideas by the Greens would have similar effects.
The problem here is that you are over simplifying the issue and you want to use it to attack the Greens.
“But you still have all your fuzzy warm inner glow good intentions to cloud your perception.”
This again is just rubbish, like all the crap Zoomster was on about.
“When you become adults and learn to focus on the consequences of your actions (or inactions) you will understand.”
More rubbish.
Somehow because we don’t agree with your descision that we are to blame for the deaths of these people we are not adult?
by Astrobleme on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:56 pm
BW, F&B FI has ordered two of this for you:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f8/Babirusa.jpg
by The Finnigans on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:57 pm
Finns
Thank you, I think. It certainly LOOKS convincing.
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:58 pm
Boerwar,
Will these do?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Kiddo, 2 as a starter and there will be MOAR BISONs for sure
by The Finnigans on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Boer
you can’t expect me to negotiate when you haven’t given me full disclosure.
I”ll need written approval from your OH if I am to proceed further.
As you can tell, SK is the flighty type.
I cannot guarantee anything at this stage; she may settle for the spam, just to be capricious.
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Time people moved on
Spurr
Time u did we have
No never read it , life to short
by my say on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Wow, not sure if Leroy has posted this…
http://www.minister.dbcde.gov.au/media/media_releases/2012/101
Finally passed… the bill for Independent Board members at ABC and SBS. A triumph for Conroy as this was originally blocked by parls.
Includes an ABC staff rep which, it might be remembered, was the reason Maurice Newman left the Board before he was once again re appointed by Howard.
by joe2 on Jun 26, 2012 at 9:59 pm
BW I agree. New political lows are being hit every day, what with PvO’s report that Abbott didn’t care about more AS deaths at sea. Randall is following his leader’s dog whistle.
by Rossmore on Jun 26, 2012 at 10:00 pm
Don’t worry dopey greens bemused will soon return to undermining the labor party with another attempt at ruddsteration.
by fredn on Jun 26, 2012 at 10:00 pm
oops Link
http://tiny.cc/l6digw
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 26, 2012 at 10:00 pm
PTMD
Um, these…what?
by Boerwar on Jun 26, 2012 at 10:00 pm
spur212 @ 3019
Well I appreciated you posting that and it confirms a few beliefs I had. But you are right about it’s likely reception in the PB parallel universe.
There was some talk a few days ago about the forthcoming book with a lot of squeals of outrage. Tough!
I would have liked to go along tonight and was not far from the Wheeler Centre. Unfortunately I had committed to attend something else.
by bemused on Jun 26, 2012 at 10:00 pm