Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
The latest fortnightly Newspoll – the first in some time to be released on Sunday rather than Monday night – has Labor’s primary vote down a point on last time to 30%, the Coalition’s up two to 46% and the Greens’ down two to 12%, with the two-party preferred out from 54-46 to 55-45. Julia Gillard has lost most of her lead as preferred prime minister, which narrows from 42-38 in her favour to 39-38, but the individual personal ratings are essentially unchanged, with Gillard down two points on approval to 30% and up one on disapproval to 59%, while Tony Abbott is down one on each to 31% and 58%.
UPDATE: Essential Research has voting intention unchanged on last week, with the Coalition leading 56-44 from primary votes of 33% for Labor, 49% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. The poll also gaugues opinion on the carbon tax for the first time since November last year, up to which point it had asked every month after the policy was first announced in late February 2011, and it finds support at a new low with 35% supportive and 54% opposed. Forty-five per cent believe it will increase the cost of living “a lot”, 26% “a moderate amount”, 20% “a little” and 2% that it will have “no impact”, while 44% think it likely and 40% unlikely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal it in government. More happily for the government, its marine reserves policy has 70% support with 13% opposed. The poll also finds 88% rating themselves not likely to pay for online newspaper content against only 9% likely.
UPDATE 2: The latest Morgan face-to-face poll, covering the last two weekends, has Labor down half a point to 32.5%, the Coalition up three to 45.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 10%. The Coalition’s lead is up from 55-45 to 56.5-43.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 52-48 to 54.5-45.5 on previous election preferences.
Matters federal:
• ReachTEL last week published results of two automated phone polls from the electorates of Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott, finding both to be headed for defeat. In New England, Nationals candidate-presumptive Richard Torbay was rated at 62% of the primary vote against 25% for Windsor (after distribution of the undecided), which on 2010 preference flows would put Torbay ahead 65.7-34.3. In Lyne, David Gillespie of the Nationals (UPDATE: Commenter Oakeshott Country notes I’m jumping the gun here: the Nationals are yet to confirm their candidate) led Oakeshott 52% to 31%, or 55.4-44.6. The electorates were polled in October last year by Newspoll, at which time no information on likely Nationals candidates was available, which showed Windsor trailing 41% to 33% and Oakeshott trailing 47% to 26%.
• Ben Packham of The Australian reports a “factional brawl” looms in the South Australian Liberal Party over the Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Mary Jo Fisher, who suffers a depressive illness and was recently reported to police for shoplifting for the second time in 18 months. Packham reports that Ann Ruston, former National Wine Centre chief executive and owner of a Riverina wholesale flower-growing firm, might emerge as a moderate-backed candidate. However, the Right’s position – contested by the moderates – is that she would have to renounce her existing claim to the number three position on the Senate ticket for the next election if she wished to contest the preselection. Kate Raggatt, a former adviser to Nick Minchin, is “seen as a possible right-wing contender for the vacancy”. Brad Crouch of the Sunday Mail lists Cathy Webb, Andrew McLaughlin, Paul Salu, Chris Moriarty and Maria Kourtesis as other possibilities.
Matters state:
Page 1 of 2 | Next page
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
For those feeling like a morning dose of schadenfreude…….
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jun/26/news-corp-split-rupert-murdoch-paper-tiger
by poroti on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:31 am
Morning Victoria
Hope Latika has a nice dress for the ball and will tweet from there, I think she’d frock up ok
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:31 am
Certainly it exposes the malaise of modern politics whereby people presume the way to preferment is through gutter-sniping, rather than engaging in shining examples of public duty and service.
Combined with the gung-ho comments about “fuck them up the arse”, this certainly puts a new spin on career advancement as ‘climbing the greasy pole’!!!
by Captain Obvious on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:31 am
http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2012/jun/26/house-of-murdoch-news-corp
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:32 am
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jun/26/news-corp-split-rupert-murdoch-paper-tiger
wspaper business. Photograph: Popperfoto/Reuters
This may be the most humble day of Rupert Murdoch’s life. His company seems to be spurning his newspapers, and also his leadership – or at least, his Sun God standing. Early Tuesday morning, News Corporation said, through its newspaper, the Wall Street Journal, that it was considering a spin-off of its print properties. Since using the Journal made this something of an in-house announcement, for “considering” one might better read “actively planning”.
Perhaps not coincidentally, Chase Carey, News Corp’s chief operating officer, was spied yesterday having lunch with Stan Shuman of Allen & Company, one of the company’s long time investment bankers. Lunch was at Michael’s, the media business canteen in New York, where they were sure to be seen – possibly something, in other words, of a victory walk for Carey, who is the primary operator of the entertainment assets which would become the whole of News Corp.
Even before the phone-hacking scandal in Britain killed the News of the World, the company’s newspapers were an issue of internal complaint. From a rational business view, the papers consumed far more resources than any returns they can ever hope to offer. Still, because News Corp was singularly Rupert’s company (pay no attention to its
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:33 am
BB:
Yes, very delicious thought about Uhlmann. How much did he know about Slipper allegedly being leaked Slipper’s diary?
by confessions on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:34 am
on those carbon price lie posters from abbott’s office , for business to deliberate mislead, isnt there a case for abbott to be taken to the privilege committee for deliberate misleading
by Meguire Bob on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:34 am
Lewis that is.
by confessions on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:35 am
by confessions on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:36 am
Womble
I was reflecting on the 2009 winter ball. Remember this? Now we have Slippergate being exposed. Serendipity?
http://www.watoday.com.au/national/bad-malcolm-turned-up-at-the-ball-20090619-cn5c.html
by victoria on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:36 am
A journo used to report & record news. Not manufacture & conspire to make news. Really how can Steve Lewis call himself a journalist
by The Finnigans on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:37 am
Rob Oakeshotte says there will be MOAR!
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:40 am
Steve Lewis, April 21:
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/court-case-a-slippery-slope-for-julia-gillard/story-e6freuy9-1226334890265
Potentially deadly alright. For Lewis.
by confessions on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:40 am
Frm the Guardian article:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jun/26/news-corp-split-rupert-murdoch-paper-tiger
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:41 am
Ha ha ha @OakeyMP on #Slynews has just described #AshbyLewisgate as Grech on Steroid
by The Finnigans on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:42 am
Parliament would achieve much more with her removed.
Do you think there’s a chance she could be thrown out of the party if Lewis could dig up some dirt like an time when she was cruel to an indoor plant or a time when she sunk her teeth into a steak sandwich?
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:42 am
I have no problem with tpv, short term , if it stops boats
Womble this is all about saving lives
My image is one of littlle babies taking tneir last breath as tbey drown mum and dad
Try in vain they drown too
And your worried about a tpv,
For goodness sake
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:43 am
Of course, displaying a sign that indicates that the price of mince has increased by a miserable one cent due to the Carbon Price kind of defeats the purpose of the scare campaign anyway.
One cent? One lousy cent?
It’s laughable. Especially as BB notes the account will be rounded down to $12 anyway.
by smithe on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:43 am
Slipper Plot linked to top of LNP
by Fran Barlow on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:47 am
good memory Victoria – hopefully more will come out at the ball
was glossed over a bit on AM but did I hear them say Woolworths won’t be passing on carbon tax increases???
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:48 am
Geez Fran. That was linked here three hours ago.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:49 am
Rupert is splitting #NewsCorpse – News from Entertainment, so he can do another MySpace and give away the dead asset of News for a song
by The Finnigans on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:51 am
Yes, the cut & paste skills of the Greens are losing colouring
by The Finnigans on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:52 am
Mysay – TPV’s do two things – firstly – increase the numbers of women and children that get on boats and secondly – cause incredible uncertainty,and the resultant mental health flow-ons, for people that have suffered enough already
They are disgraceful, so much so that even Liberals crossed the floor to vote against them in the past
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:53 am
Depending on whether one’s a Liberal or one of those those “fitted-up” by one or more Liberals, a most inauspicious/ auspicious 4th anniversary of Turnbull’s infamous “shirtfronting” captured on quick-thinking Kev’s Blackberry!
by OzPol Tragic on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:53 am
Actually, we’ve consistently tried to prevent the ALP from harming itself with poor policy, including on this matter. We are at once more rational, and humane the regime, which seems to have made fool’s errand a matter of principle.
I can assure you, there is no appetite at all within our party to tolerate involuntary rendition or punitive detention. It would never occur to any of our MPs to be party to such a thing, because the consequences for anyone who so much as thought out loud about going there even at a purely internal party gathering would be career-ending.
by Fran Barlow on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:54 am
I really feel sorry for Glen. His fantasy of Brough for PM is over.
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:56 am
Good Morning Bludgers!
Whyalla Watch is 3 days and counting…. According to Whyalla webcams you can see that the sky is still firmly fixed in place and showing no signs, as yet, of falling.
See here (F5 to refresh/update): http://www.whyalla.com/page.aspx?u=71
by Space Kidette on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:56 am
Josh Freudenberg now on Sky condemning Albo for daring to criticise a journo under privilege.
Jesus wept.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:56 am
Longer than that, BB. Smithe, on Night Patrol, linked it in the wee small predawn hours!
by OzPol Tragic on Jun 27, 2012 at 8:59 am
Groupthink is alive in all major parties.
And we are back to the ‘three elevens’ that faced Deakin.
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:00 am
Pfft, Smithe was a follower. I linked at midnight
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:01 am
A Modest proposal (on regugees)
by Fran Barlow on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:01 am
oops … refugees …
by Fran Barlow on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:01 am
So now we have Link Envy?
Actually, I saw the story earlier than any of youse, but thought I’d leave it to the littlies to have some fun.
So THERE.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:03 am
Pay the Member from Lyne!
by OzPol Tragic on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:03 am
I missed it so it’s possible that others did too …
by Fran Barlow on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:03 am
Heading off to teachers rally at Town Hall …
by Fran Barlow on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:05 am
Funniest comment of the week was Gillard’s broad Aussie drawl saying Abbott would be trying to scare “Skippy The Bush Kangaroo” next. Then “Puff The Magic Dragon”.
A pearler.
Tonight’s the night for roasts isn’t it, at the ball? Hope PMJG comes up with more bon mots re. Abbott.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:05 am
happens every day Fran, sometimes multiple times with the same link – BB just decided he should pull you up on it for some reason (insert crazy face here)
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:07 am
Why don’t journalists stick to their knitting any more? You’re supposed to get career advancement by engaging in competent reporting of events, not attempting regime change.
by Captain Obvious on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:13 am
http://www.weeklytimesnow.com.au/article/2012/06/27/501791_politics-news.html
She shares the position with someone who shattered someone elses cheekbone and refused to apologise!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:14 am
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/mps-meet-in-secret-on-asylum-deadlock-20120625-20ylp.html#ixzz1ywbqUzM3
Is this true?
Evil grub
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:18 am
bluegreen,
Another case of Rose-talgia. Nostalgic response viewed with rose coloured glasses.
by Space Kidette on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:18 am
MOAR? Maybe. Maybe not. Not quite sure what to make of this report in Sunshine Coast Daily I will testify says former staffer
Mr Bruinsma worked with Mr Slipper for almost seven years and said he departed on amicable terms on March 30.]
by OzPol Tragic on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:20 am
Depressing to hear the high level of ignorance and “what about me” comments on Delroy ABC last night.
Item 1: Some poor old codger (mainly all old codgers at that time of the night/morning I suppose), adamant that the CT would increase his CoL by “$400 a week”. Even Delroy had difficulty with that one.
Item 2: Another old codger who admitted, after being pushed by Delroy that he paid no tax, whinged that there was nothing for him in the handout from the government recently put in the bank accounts of millions. When Delroy suggested getting in touch with Centre Link to investigate what low income earners were entitled to, said OC complained he had been told “all I would get is the special payment ‘cos I have a Seniors’ Health card.” The fact that the most recent payment for a single was in the region of $350, with more to come, did not seem to count.
Honest to goodness, my response would have been, “Well, if the money is so tainted, don’t take it.”
The point, of course, is that those hoping for some kind of sense of gratitude after July 1 will be sadly mistaken.
A case of being unable to really satisfy anyone. It seems when some people get nothing, they feel they should get something. When they get something it is either not enough, too late or not as much as the other bloke/sheila!
At times, Oz is a miserable place for some.
by Tricot on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:20 am
There is space here for a senior Lib figure to put forward a compromise deal on the asylum seeker standoff and take 5 senators with him/her.
It would cut Abbott down. And as Abbott said about Turnbull, “this is not about the leader this is a question of policy”.
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:26 am
Incidentally, on the “Trustworthiness” survey, for as much it means a darn thing, Tony Abbot is NOT mentioned, as I have just read it, at all on the on-line West Oz item.
Now, call me a cynic about press bias but………………………………….
by Tricot on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:27 am
bluegreen,
I just caught the tail end of news showing Cook saying a solution had to be worked out today. I don’t know if he is breaking ranks, did anyone else see it (ABC24) Can you put his statement in context for me?
by Space Kidette on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:28 am
And why the hell did channel seven toss a super successful CEO for a guy who has only every flogged oil and gas?
Bloody ridiculous move.
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 9:29 am