Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
The latest fortnightly Newspoll – the first in some time to be released on Sunday rather than Monday night – has Labor’s primary vote down a point on last time to 30%, the Coalition’s up two to 46% and the Greens’ down two to 12%, with the two-party preferred out from 54-46 to 55-45. Julia Gillard has lost most of her lead as preferred prime minister, which narrows from 42-38 in her favour to 39-38, but the individual personal ratings are essentially unchanged, with Gillard down two points on approval to 30% and up one on disapproval to 59%, while Tony Abbott is down one on each to 31% and 58%.
UPDATE: Essential Research has voting intention unchanged on last week, with the Coalition leading 56-44 from primary votes of 33% for Labor, 49% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. The poll also gaugues opinion on the carbon tax for the first time since November last year, up to which point it had asked every month after the policy was first announced in late February 2011, and it finds support at a new low with 35% supportive and 54% opposed. Forty-five per cent believe it will increase the cost of living “a lot”, 26% “a moderate amount”, 20% “a little” and 2% that it will have “no impact”, while 44% think it likely and 40% unlikely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal it in government. More happily for the government, its marine reserves policy has 70% support with 13% opposed. The poll also finds 88% rating themselves not likely to pay for online newspaper content against only 9% likely.
UPDATE 2: The latest Morgan face-to-face poll, covering the last two weekends, has Labor down half a point to 32.5%, the Coalition up three to 45.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 10%. The Coalition’s lead is up from 55-45 to 56.5-43.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 52-48 to 54.5-45.5 on previous election preferences.
Matters federal:
• ReachTEL last week published results of two automated phone polls from the electorates of Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott, finding both to be headed for defeat. In New England, Nationals candidate-presumptive Richard Torbay was rated at 62% of the primary vote against 25% for Windsor (after distribution of the undecided), which on 2010 preference flows would put Torbay ahead 65.7-34.3. In Lyne, David Gillespie of the Nationals (UPDATE: Commenter Oakeshott Country notes I’m jumping the gun here: the Nationals are yet to confirm their candidate) led Oakeshott 52% to 31%, or 55.4-44.6. The electorates were polled in October last year by Newspoll, at which time no information on likely Nationals candidates was available, which showed Windsor trailing 41% to 33% and Oakeshott trailing 47% to 26%.
• Ben Packham of The Australian reports a “factional brawl” looms in the South Australian Liberal Party over the Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Mary Jo Fisher, who suffers a depressive illness and was recently reported to police for shoplifting for the second time in 18 months. Packham reports that Ann Ruston, former National Wine Centre chief executive and owner of a Riverina wholesale flower-growing firm, might emerge as a moderate-backed candidate. However, the Right’s position – contested by the moderates – is that she would have to renounce her existing claim to the number three position on the Senate ticket for the next election if she wished to contest the preselection. Kate Raggatt, a former adviser to Nick Minchin, is “seen as a possible right-wing contender for the vacancy”. Brad Crouch of the Sunday Mail lists Cathy Webb, Andrew McLaughlin, Paul Salu, Chris Moriarty and Maria Kourtesis as other possibilities.
Matters state:
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Burgey
http://www.midwinterball.com.au/welcome/
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:20 pm
“We’ve always supported offshore processing with protections”.
No you haven’t. A blatant lie by Abbott.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:20 pm
It would be interesting if the PM instructed all govt members to join this asylum seekers committee meeting…
by Henry on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:21 pm
turning it into?
by Laocoon on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:21 pm
Tone isn’t giving in: his solution only. Will be going in to HoR to present his Private Member’s Bill: signatories to UNHCR only.
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:21 pm
Abbott will introduce a private member’s bill to authorise offshore processing in any country that has signed the UNHCF convention.
This is zero change from “Do it the Rodent’s way!”
Prick!
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:22 pm
Abbott saying our way or the highway.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:22 pm
Abbott said he and Scott have been consulting their consciences.
They’ve got to find them first.
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:23 pm
TLBD
The wrecking worked so well for the GOP with their Filibuster. Abbott thinks his blocking and negativity will not get caught out. Just like theirs has not.
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:23 pm
Abbott gives a little ground – didn’t mention tpvs or turning back boats???
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:23 pm
Is there a bigger prick in the known universe than Abbott!
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:23 pm
Sounded like Matt Franklin calling Abbott out on the non-compromise.
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:24 pm
Fwiw. Even though i would hate to see abbotts visage here i do think people have the right to pick their own avatars. That said it was nice of rummel to change his avatar to make my say feel better. I note he did that before and i want to say thank you.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:24 pm
The Abbott-led Opps basically are so relentless, don’t give up, and don’t give a sh*t what anyone thinks. It’s almost to the point where everyone gives up trying to deal with them, including the media.
Political discourse no longer exists.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:24 pm
Oh dear. Stealing Green policy not good Tone.
@latikambourke: Tony Abbott ‘there is no reason why the Government cannot have offshore processing at the one or other 48 countries that have signed.
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:24 pm
Abbott lying again “we are trying to offer common ground”.
No you are not.
Its Nauru or the bush essentially.
by Henry on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:24 pm
abbott sleaziest politician ever
by mickt on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:24 pm
Gary
This guy switches the goal posts at will. If he comes to the table, he’ll say the opposition was forced to do the government’s job and then it becomes a believability contest between Gillard and Abbott which he will win
by spur212 on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:25 pm
TLBD
Scoott Morrison ?
by Mick Collins on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:25 pm
Riley now putting the you are hypocrites question
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:25 pm
Riley asks about Indonesia not being a UN signatory – FINALLY.
Abbott: “I’m not here to bang the drum of the Coalition policy”
Is he kidding?
Hugh Riminton absolutely laying into him.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:26 pm
The journos are having him for lunch. About time!
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:26 pm
The supreme irony in all of this is that Abbott and Morrison are proposing the softer “border protection” policy
by spur212 on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:26 pm
Now Riley asks Abbott what about turning boats around to Indonesia which hasn’t signed the convention. They are all onto him now.
Keep it up, hacks!
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:26 pm
One of the journos overhead saying “This is a stunt”
by gloryconsequence on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:26 pm
spur212
Name one policy issue has Abbott won so far this term of parliament?
by victoria on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:26 pm
@AdamBandt: Indonesia has only 2 UN reps processing asylum claims. So-called ‘queue’ is decades long & desperate people now taking to boats. Must fix.
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:27 pm
An 81 year old reptile?
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:27 pm
All that’s missing is the high vis jacket!
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Why isn’t the focus on the Greens? Morrison and Abbott are a side issue. There’s no doubt that any AS legislation the govenment proposed would get through the reps without the help of the Coalition. The problem is the Greens in the Senate. The pressure should be on them. Today we have SHY lecturing 40 or so MPs about what refugees want and claiming that the Greens are the ‘experts’ when it comes to asylum seekers. Surely part of that ‘expertise’ involves getting legislation passed that just might stop any more tragedies at sea. ‘Hypocrite’ isn’t a strong enough word to describe this woman and her party.
The Greens have a golden opportunity here, they could compromise, allow Labor’s legislation through, boast about being the saviours of untold numbers of asylum seekers and make Abbott and his nasty crew irrelevant. But they won’t. A pox on them.
by leone on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
This issue is all about not letting their vote splinter on the right to the Coalition. It always has been. They could care less about what the media says so long as One Nation or Katter don’t steal their vote
by spur212 on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
William i read it all the last line is scarry
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Why was this question regarding Metcalf put to Abbott a year ago.
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
press pack having a bit of a crack today
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Labor should no longer countenance the Coalition and should say so… cut them out completely. They have made themselves irrelevant. Time to LEAD. Put the Bill and point the finger.
by Gecko on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Abbott’s answered four – FOUR – questions and he looks like he’s ready to walk off. Inching to the side with every response.
Asked about Nauru advice that it won’t work
“I’m not going to get into who said what, when”
Haha. This bloke is a joke.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Abbott is struggling
by Meguire Bob on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Andrew Probyn now goes in for the kill. The prick is avoiding the point of the question.
I see a retreat coming very soon.
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
Media is turning on Abbott FINALLY.
They sound pissed off and rightly so.
by Henry on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
Victoria
None. He’ll win this one though as it’s a completely different ball game
by spur212 on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
Abbott laying bare for the world to see that he is an absolute, first class D%*k head
by Mick Collins on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
Grattan goes for the throat now.
by BK on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
Abbott now starting to weaffle – we are not the govt.
No, you’re not. Let them get on with it.
by lizzie on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
Grattan using attacking questions
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
I sense a quick exit coming….
by Henry on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:29 pm
This grub is a disgusting piece of low life. How much longer do we have to abide these stunts of his?
Just imagine him as PM. He is an absolute c–t!!
by feeney on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:30 pm
Please read the link william left last page
The last paragraph is a worry
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:30 pm
Was that Michelle?!
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:30 pm
They called SETI to see if they had made contact.
by ratsak on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:30 pm
Grattan went in for the kill then – his response will not satisfy her.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 27, 2012 at 1:30 pm