Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
The latest fortnightly Newspoll – the first in some time to be released on Sunday rather than Monday night – has Labor’s primary vote down a point on last time to 30%, the Coalition’s up two to 46% and the Greens’ down two to 12%, with the two-party preferred out from 54-46 to 55-45. Julia Gillard has lost most of her lead as preferred prime minister, which narrows from 42-38 in her favour to 39-38, but the individual personal ratings are essentially unchanged, with Gillard down two points on approval to 30% and up one on disapproval to 59%, while Tony Abbott is down one on each to 31% and 58%.
UPDATE: Essential Research has voting intention unchanged on last week, with the Coalition leading 56-44 from primary votes of 33% for Labor, 49% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. The poll also gaugues opinion on the carbon tax for the first time since November last year, up to which point it had asked every month after the policy was first announced in late February 2011, and it finds support at a new low with 35% supportive and 54% opposed. Forty-five per cent believe it will increase the cost of living “a lot”, 26% “a moderate amount”, 20% “a little” and 2% that it will have “no impact”, while 44% think it likely and 40% unlikely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal it in government. More happily for the government, its marine reserves policy has 70% support with 13% opposed. The poll also finds 88% rating themselves not likely to pay for online newspaper content against only 9% likely.
UPDATE 2: The latest Morgan face-to-face poll, covering the last two weekends, has Labor down half a point to 32.5%, the Coalition up three to 45.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 10%. The Coalition’s lead is up from 55-45 to 56.5-43.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 52-48 to 54.5-45.5 on previous election preferences.
Matters federal:
• ReachTEL last week published results of two automated phone polls from the electorates of Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott, finding both to be headed for defeat. In New England, Nationals candidate-presumptive Richard Torbay was rated at 62% of the primary vote against 25% for Windsor (after distribution of the undecided), which on 2010 preference flows would put Torbay ahead 65.7-34.3. In Lyne, David Gillespie of the Nationals (UPDATE: Commenter Oakeshott Country notes I’m jumping the gun here: the Nationals are yet to confirm their candidate) led Oakeshott 52% to 31%, or 55.4-44.6. The electorates were polled in October last year by Newspoll, at which time no information on likely Nationals candidates was available, which showed Windsor trailing 41% to 33% and Oakeshott trailing 47% to 26%.
• Ben Packham of The Australian reports a “factional brawl” looms in the South Australian Liberal Party over the Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Mary Jo Fisher, who suffers a depressive illness and was recently reported to police for shoplifting for the second time in 18 months. Packham reports that Ann Ruston, former National Wine Centre chief executive and owner of a Riverina wholesale flower-growing firm, might emerge as a moderate-backed candidate. However, the Right’s position – contested by the moderates – is that she would have to renounce her existing claim to the number three position on the Senate ticket for the next election if she wished to contest the preselection. Kate Raggatt, a former adviser to Nick Minchin, is “seen as a possible right-wing contender for the vacancy”. Brad Crouch of the Sunday Mail lists Cathy Webb, Andrew McLaughlin, Paul Salu, Chris Moriarty and Maria Kourtesis as other possibilities.
Matters state:
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
So have the greens come to a sensible position of support, or are they sticking with Abbott and making this as bad as they can till the election??
by WeWantPaul on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:18 pm
womble
The Greens are not stupid people. If the Malaysia Solution works as the Government hopes it will then after a year of it working they will not oppose it.
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:18 pm
Refers indirectly to refugees. His father being one. Wearing emotion on sleeve.
by Boerwar on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:18 pm
muttleymcgee Posted Wednesday, June 27, 2012 at 7:10 pm | Permalink
Calm down. The PM put it well. It gives a trial period. Of course if it does work Abbott is stuffed. The Greens may change their mind given the actual Maylaysia Solution will have
Mutterly
I thought like you
I doubt abbotg will be opp leader by then
And a senate enquiry would be ok
Any way the people will not want malaysua to halt
Mist onky care about no boats coming sadly
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:19 pm
oh well. tears from big jo(ke) now….
by Lyne Lady on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:19 pm
Mr Hockey says he will never, ever support turning a boat around at sea… oh, wait, no.
by Boerwar on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:19 pm
HoJo is very sotto voce atm.
Hard day at the office?
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:19 pm
Hockey isn’t happy
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:19 pm
Pity he didn’t stay there.
by Mick Collins on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:19 pm
Yet Hockey will support turning back boats of 13 year olds. Oh… Hockey is offering to kill himself now. Talk about hyperbole.
by Mithrandir on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:20 pm
Hocky
Who is gunna think of the children?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:20 pm
What’s Kentucky Joe on about?
They’ve just finished arguing that kids can’t be sent to Malaysia. Now Joe’s saying they WILL be!
“Health care and education support”? Right… in NAURU?
Crocodile tears Joe.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:20 pm
Joe his body lannguage
Wow
Working people watching are seeing real liberals
What a plus
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:20 pm
What about the ones that drowned, you corpulent disgrace?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:21 pm
Joe doin’ his leadership pitch.
by ruawake on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:21 pm
Puff,
Gunna Abbott, Gunna Morrison, Gunna Hockey …
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:21 pm
Amazing, the number of those Opposite who are shedding tears, waxing emotional, fearful of human rights.
Where were they when the Opposition twice conspired to lie their way to the destructino of a democratically-elected government?
Hypocrites.
by Boerwar on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:21 pm
That’s right Joe. It’s the THREAT of it that will work.
Goose.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:21 pm
Joe what about the children in boats that lose their lives
Pull the other joe
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:22 pm
Hockey is claiming he has been gagged
by Meguire Bob on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:22 pm
Hey Joe, you are supporting TURN THE BOATS policy. what a fucking hypocrite
by The Finnigans on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:22 pm
Joe has a soul?
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:22 pm
Gunna be human beings one day. Its in the diary.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:22 pm
Firstly, both Governments said it could be extended if they agreed and saw it necessary.
Secondly, who are the 800 willing to go (and pay the $3000-5000 each) for no benefit?
As we saw when the deal was first mooted, the boats slowed dramatically — and would likely have stopped had the first plane been allowed to take some people back — hence why Abbott and his ilk never wants to see this government implement it.
by Darren Laver on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:22 pm
These hypocritical displays of crocodile tears from people like Hockey who gave Howard standing ovations back in 2001 are completely nauseating. Katter was rather restrained in his comments about hypocrisy and he decided to make it sound as if it was a swipe at both sides. But I think everyone knows what he was talking about.
Oh no, not Abbott again..
by meher baba on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:22 pm
O god not hi m
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Gunna Abbott on now.
by This little black duck on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:23 pm
tlbd
He has two. Wears shoes.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Wait till we see the good news stories of the refugees arriving as part of the deal – refugees who have gone through the correct channels and who arrive with a sense of wonderment rather than a sense of entitlement.
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:23 pm
bw
They were calling the Greens loonies for wanting to support human rights.
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:23 pm
They know they’re losing. They’re crying.
Bullies always cry when they’re confronted.
“For ever and ever” stuff. Abbott didn’t write it down.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:23 pm
‘Joe Hockey’ and ‘consistency’ in the same sentence is an oxymoron.
by Mithrandir on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Hockey has contradicted his own colleagues
confused of the opposition’s criticism.
1) (Several members) Children won’t be sent, so it won’t work. They’ll load the boats with women and children.
by Meguire Bob on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Haha Abbott knows he has lost the vote in the Senate
by guytaur on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Guytaur – Malaysia is off-shore processing, it goes against our international obligations – would be a massive call for the Greens to support it unless they get a hell of a lot in return
i.e. bigger numbers, more money for regional options, more support for NGO’s, guarantees around minors, etc, etc, etc
by womble on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Mr Abbott says that what the Coalition can’t wreck in the House, it will try and wreck in the Senate.
by Boerwar on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Utter nonsense. The Malaysians have said they would like MOAR.
The Thais have said they are interested too.
But you already know this – it been posted at least twice in reply to your disinformation on this.
Shame on you!
by dave on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:24 pm
— hence why Abbott and his ilk never wants to see this government implem darren posted
Darren
I am sure we all know why
by my say on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Hockey has lied or he has just shown up his colleagues as liars
by Meguire Bob on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:25 pm
how so?
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:25 pm
Geez, more crocodile tears. Have the members of the opposition recently bought shares in Kleenex?
by leone on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:25 pm
These hypocrites are the same bunch who supported & started the illegal IRAQ War that 300,000 civilians have been killed & many are kids
by The Finnigans on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:25 pm
Abbott is now contradicting Hockey
by Meguire Bob on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:25 pm
Stop the Boats! No, No, No, No.
by Boerwar on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:26 pm
I have been absent (studying apostrophes and the use thereof).
What is the deal with the Greens I hear of?
by bluegreen on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:26 pm
I think the loony bit might have come from the massive gap between words and actions.
by WeWantPaul on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:26 pm
Abbott: ‘Never get through the Senate.’
I have heard a lot about what this government was never going to do. ETS, MRRT, NDIS, NBN for entree, anyone? You wish, Tony.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:26 pm
Mr Abbott cannot help but degrade the debate. The inner evil viciousness on display now.
by Boerwar on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:26 pm
aha – back to denigrating the pm…. low low abbott…
by Lyne Lady on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:26 pm
bg
The Greens have agreed to adopt a new name: The Green’s.
by Boerwar on Jun 27, 2012 at 7:27 pm