Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
The latest fortnightly Newspoll – the first in some time to be released on Sunday rather than Monday night – has Labor’s primary vote down a point on last time to 30%, the Coalition’s up two to 46% and the Greens’ down two to 12%, with the two-party preferred out from 54-46 to 55-45. Julia Gillard has lost most of her lead as preferred prime minister, which narrows from 42-38 in her favour to 39-38, but the individual personal ratings are essentially unchanged, with Gillard down two points on approval to 30% and up one on disapproval to 59%, while Tony Abbott is down one on each to 31% and 58%.
UPDATE: Essential Research has voting intention unchanged on last week, with the Coalition leading 56-44 from primary votes of 33% for Labor, 49% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. The poll also gaugues opinion on the carbon tax for the first time since November last year, up to which point it had asked every month after the policy was first announced in late February 2011, and it finds support at a new low with 35% supportive and 54% opposed. Forty-five per cent believe it will increase the cost of living “a lot”, 26% “a moderate amount”, 20% “a little” and 2% that it will have “no impact”, while 44% think it likely and 40% unlikely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal it in government. More happily for the government, its marine reserves policy has 70% support with 13% opposed. The poll also finds 88% rating themselves not likely to pay for online newspaper content against only 9% likely.
UPDATE 2: The latest Morgan face-to-face poll, covering the last two weekends, has Labor down half a point to 32.5%, the Coalition up three to 45.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 10%. The Coalition’s lead is up from 55-45 to 56.5-43.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 52-48 to 54.5-45.5 on previous election preferences.
Matters federal:
• ReachTEL last week published results of two automated phone polls from the electorates of Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott, finding both to be headed for defeat. In New England, Nationals candidate-presumptive Richard Torbay was rated at 62% of the primary vote against 25% for Windsor (after distribution of the undecided), which on 2010 preference flows would put Torbay ahead 65.7-34.3. In Lyne, David Gillespie of the Nationals (UPDATE: Commenter Oakeshott Country notes I’m jumping the gun here: the Nationals are yet to confirm their candidate) led Oakeshott 52% to 31%, or 55.4-44.6. The electorates were polled in October last year by Newspoll, at which time no information on likely Nationals candidates was available, which showed Windsor trailing 41% to 33% and Oakeshott trailing 47% to 26%.
• Ben Packham of The Australian reports a “factional brawl” looms in the South Australian Liberal Party over the Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Mary Jo Fisher, who suffers a depressive illness and was recently reported to police for shoplifting for the second time in 18 months. Packham reports that Ann Ruston, former National Wine Centre chief executive and owner of a Riverina wholesale flower-growing firm, might emerge as a moderate-backed candidate. However, the Right’s position – contested by the moderates – is that she would have to renounce her existing claim to the number three position on the Senate ticket for the next election if she wished to contest the preselection. Kate Raggatt, a former adviser to Nick Minchin, is “seen as a possible right-wing contender for the vacancy”. Brad Crouch of the Sunday Mail lists Cathy Webb, Andrew McLaughlin, Paul Salu, Chris Moriarty and Maria Kourtesis as other possibilities.
Matters state:
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
by gloryconsequence on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:56 pm
Parli Barbi??
JB right
by Augustus on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:56 pm
victoria
I am not a big fan of Journalists. However if they do that and really do good stories that are factual and call out Limited News for falsehoods. This would be good. They could have a print Media Watch to keep the bastards honest more often.
by guytaur on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:56 pm
spur – surely they’d look half excited though. Or do they know something we don’t know?
by gloryconsequence on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:56 pm
William
Do you have the full Essential results (i.e their issues polling)? They’ve been very slow uploading them to their website
by spur212 on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:57 pm
Augustus,
A Space Kidette special, I think.
by This little black duck on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:57 pm
UBS – oh, they’re noone – very small obscure company – obviously without merit.
by Compact Crank on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:57 pm
“Supplementary Claw Back Count” = 3
by BK on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:57 pm
The fact that Stuchbury is such a servile tool of the of the media barons should ensure that Gina will, no doubt, look upon him with the love, affection and loyalty as though he was one of her children. That should provide him with a high degree of comfort.
by Bill B. on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:58 pm
Good to hear Macklin standing up for disadvantaged. That will resonate with pensioners.
by guytaur on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:58 pm
I don’t think I like this trend of “supplementary dixers”.
by Ozymandias on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:58 pm
gloryconsequence
They look excited at the start. That excitement dies down after Gillard answers the first question
by spur212 on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:58 pm
Greg Hunt actually had significant potential. Such a shame.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:58 pm
Augustus
Yes
by victoria on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:59 pm
TLBD,
Love it, does that make Abbott Parli Ken then
by Augustus on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:59 pm
Pitt the Even Younger rises…
by zoomster on Jun 25, 2012 at 2:59 pm
spur212
The Libs are doing false bravado at present. This is while they conjure up their next set of dirty tricks.
by victoria on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:00 pm
@750 – OMG! There is some wet liberals who want to get a bit of air time – like, they could possibly roll Abbott on this – yeah!!
by Compact Crank on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:00 pm
fairfax board appear to have chosen to wave the red rag at the bull. bring on takeover.
by middle man on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:00 pm
The PM’s outfit is simply stunning. My Say, I love the cut, and the soft folds of the purple blouse against the sharp lines of the white jacket.
On a symbolic note, those are the colours of mourning in different cultures, white in some parts of Asia as I understand it, purple in Christianity. Boat tragedy?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:00 pm
Augustus,
Just so. All body and no brain.
by This little black duck on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:00 pm
Pyne turning a lovely shade of pink…may paint a room in that color…
by zoomster on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:01 pm
Faifax Board have done such a good job until now – why change??
by Compact Crank on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:02 pm
Hunt!
Hunt – A question from my portfolio, errr, electricity prices.
Gillard – How very environmental of you. It’s as we said.
Hunt – I have my glasses on – I’m serious.
Gillard – If you are, then you can listen to my answer.
Pyne – I’m outraged on your behalf, Speaker!
Speaker – Prat.
by Aguirre on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:02 pm
SSO!
Quick, run!
by zoomster on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:02 pm
ooo aaah are we going to see run rabbott run?
by guytaur on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:02 pm
This is just bloody stupid!
by BK on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:02 pm
SSSO. Who woulda thought!
by This little black duck on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:02 pm
SSO!!!!
Thommo come on down !!!!!
by Mick Collins on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:03 pm
Anybody seen a positive trend lying around?
The PM needs one.
by Compact Crank on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:03 pm
The SSSO is on Rudd… Uproar!
by Ozymandias on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:03 pm
We’re back on the SSOs. Abbott’s decided to give Gillard a testimonial roast for her second birthday.
by Aguirre on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Told you guys the coalition are always focussed on the next lot of dirty tricks.
by victoria on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:04 pm
This Abbott hate-speech will be what the TV news grabs will show tonight.
by Ozymandias on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:04 pm
wow Swan angry as.
by guytaur on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:04 pm
You’re starting to sound like evan.
by Gary on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Notice how Abbott refers to opinion polling at the outset of his SSO? The government should really begin mentioning how poll driven he is.
by Burgey on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:05 pm
Abbott delivering the Bogan Bulletin for the commercial news services tonight.
It’s just pathetic!
by BK on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:05 pm
The Oppos head is exploding
by Mick Collins on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:05 pm
running away Rabbott ?
well you’d know all about that eh ?
by Mick Collins on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Haven’t heard one of these deranged rants for a while. I think I’ll stick it out.
by Aguirre on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Abbott has the hide to accuse Gillard of running away from scrutiny.
Now we’ve heard everything!
by BK on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Abbott rants that Gillard “runs away” from questions… WTF? I have never seen a clearer example of Right-wing projection.
by Ozymandias on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:08 pm
Pyne has the visage of a crimson tortoise.
by BK on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:08 pm
Tony Abbott the Man who cuts and runs from Journalist questions.
by guytaur on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:08 pm
You have to give it to him, Abbott’s good at recycling…
by zoomster on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:09 pm
Feel free to tweet 794
by guytaur on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:09 pm
Puff when I saw promos for one of the Brisbane ”current affairs” programs story on winning the public housing lottery, spruiking tales of million dollar views at Kangaroo Point & Sandgate, I suspected it was part of a plan for softening up the public for selling off these properties. Didn’t think it would happen so quickly though.
I have nothing against selling off high value properties to build more new housing as long as it is done with compassion and decency (as in BH’s example above) and with the money raised actually going back into new public housing. I just have doubts as to whether either of these caveats will be priorities for Newman.
by kevjohnno on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:11 pm
Is Abbott a trainwreck or what?
by victoria on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:11 pm
Puff
Maybe she has Imperatrix tendencies!
by Laocoon on Jun 25, 2012 at 3:11 pm