Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
James J reports Newspoll has the Coalition lead steady at 56-44, from primary votes of 28% for Labor (down three), 46% for the Coalition (down two) and 11% for the Greens (steady), with “others” for some reason hiking five points to 15%, which GhostWhoVotes tells us is the highest since February 2006. Julia Gillard is up two on approval to 29% and one on disapproval to 62%, while Tony Abbott is down two to 30% and up four to 61% – apparently his worst net result ever. Even so, his lead as preferred prime minister has opened from 39-36 to 40-36.
Also out today:
• The weekly Essential Research has Labor recover the point it lost last week to trail 56-44, from primary votes of 33% for Labor (up two), 49% for the Coalition (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Further questions find 53% thinking it “likely” an Abbott government would introduce industrial relations laws similar to WorkChoices against 22% unlikely, and 37% thinking “Australian workers” would be worse off under Abbott against 32% better off. There is also a rather complex question on amendments to surveillance and intelligence-gathering laws.
• Morgan face-to-face, conducted over the previous two weekends, has two-party preferred steady at 54-46 on previous-election preferences and down from 57.5-42.5 to 57-43 on respondent-allocated. On the primary vote, Labor is up 2% to 31.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 12%, with the Coalition steady on 43%.
Preselection news:
Newcastle (NSW, Labor 12.5%): Labor’s member since 2001, Sharon Grierson, has announced she will not contest the next election. The Newcastle Herald reports the front-runner to succeed Grierson as Labor candidate is “her long-serving staffer and Newcastle councillor Sharon Claydon”. The Liberals have preselected Jaimie Abbott, principal of media training company Gold Star Media who has worked in the past as a public affairs officer with the RAAF, media adviser to Paterson PM Bob Baldwin, and television and radio journalist.
Petrie (Qld, Labor 2.5%): Sandgate Pest Control managing director Luke Howarth has won LNP preselection from a field of ten candidates, emerging a surprise winner over the John Howard-endorsed John Connolly, former Wallabies coach and unsuccessful state candidate for Nicklin.
Rankin (Qld, Labor 5.4%): Jamie Walker of The Australian reports David Lin, Taiwanese-born founder of the Sushi Station restaurant chain, will take on Craig Emerson after winning LNP preselection from a field of six candidates.
Melbourne Ports (Vic, Labor 7.9%): NineMSN reports that the Liberals have again preselected their candidate from 2010, Kevin Ekendahl, a manager at non-profit social enterprises organisation Try Australia.
Throsby (NSW, Labor 12.1%): Bevan Shields of the Illawarra Mercury reports that Mark Hay, military prosecutor and son of state Wollongong MP Noreen Hay, has announced he will not as rumoured be launching a preselection challenge against Stephen Jones in Throsby, as he is about to take a posting with the Royal Australian Navy.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Dio, poroti, billie and other friends, thanks for posts on the NDIS this evening
Entre Nous, I’ll be charitable and just assume you have no farking idea what you are talking about regarding either disability or how fault based schemes (dont) work and thus that its not your fault that you come across like an atrocious self satisfied troll.
by Marrickville Mauler on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:23 pm
SK
Hopefully the CDPP wont take too long in assessing the matter. In any case, I am now curious as to why the AFP raided Vasta’s home. Was it to seize Vasta’s computer?
by victoria on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:24 pm
Ducky,
Just reminded me. There was a point where Karen Doane points out that Steve Lewis had the shits with them both.
So they weren’t dancing to the Ltd News tune. So who were the puppetmasters above Brough? And there has to be puppetmasters as they have allowed his nomination for preselection.
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:26 pm
@abcnewsSydney: Court releases Slipper harassment documents http://t.co/Z7BfSvZG
by guytaur on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:26 pm
It works a treat in Scandinavia. Can you imagine the reduction in carbon emissions?!
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:27 pm
Apple Blossom @ 2746
About the same as Melbourne and it is cheap compared to driving to work. Parking alone can cost much more than that.
Improvements to the system will make the biggest difference. Greater frequency and a larger network that can take you to more places.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:28 pm
Marrickville mauler @ 2750
I’ll take that as a comment.
thanks all for the lively debate – the polite and the notso.
G’nite.
by entre nous on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:28 pm
Some interesting discussion tonight. Disabled services like health has to be available to all regardless of personal stupidity. Regarding today’s events I am not surprised it had turned into a federal v state political football. It was always going to end up that way in the absence of a comprehensive program that addressed both the service delivery and funding. It seems all levels of government of both political persuasions are reluctant to come up with ways to adequately fund health programs.
If we are serious about disability we need a special levy set aside for the purpose.
by davidwh on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:29 pm
victoria,
The investigation into Slippers aide started 18mths ago. Not encouraging! Vasta claims it was due to emails between him and his girlfriend. AFP have not identified the reasons for the investigation.
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:29 pm
SK
It does seem over the top for the AFP to raid a home for emails. We shall have to wait and see what comes of it all.
Catch you all on the flipside
by victoria on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:31 pm
BONITA IS JEALOUS OF ANNE HATHAWAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:32 pm
Nite Victoria!
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:32 pm
It depends on how far away your work is from your house! Sometimes driving is just easier.
It would be good if there were improvements to the system. When these new estates and suburbs crop up, there isn’t always railway connecting to the city i.e. Ellenbrook.
by Apple Blossom on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:33 pm
I’m not jealous, besides I personally would want to walk around in a leather suit.
You know who’s hot for a woman? Anna Chapman.
She’s a spy apparently.
by Apple Blossom on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:34 pm
@guardiannews: Scotland to legalise same-sex marriages in church and civil ceremonies http://t.co/weJAI4Kd
by guytaur on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:35 pm
Sorry wouldn’t want to walk around in a leather suit*****
by Apple Blossom on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:35 pm
Yes I agree.
NEW SURVEY:
ANNE HATHAWAY
Or
Anne HATHAWAY as CAT WOMAN?
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:36 pm
Spacey,
Whatever peeps did, those doings are now before the Courts.
This may take time but it will all be “cleansed” before the next election.
Additionally, Leveson will have reported.
Additionally, Rebekkah and her crew will have faced the courts and a judgement been given.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:36 pm
@breakingpol: Live video: US Treasury Secretary Geithner to testify before Congress in call for Wall Street, Libor reform – @NBCNews http://t.co/bdSc3HYp
by guytaur on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:36 pm
CORRECT.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:36 pm
When you do AB can you post a picture please
Did you mean I personally wouldn’t ?
by davidwh on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:37 pm
@Colvinius: RT @ABFalecbaldwin: The great Frank Pierson has died:http://t.co/qRVgIl9h
Wrote Cool Hand Luke, Dog Day Afternoon.
by guytaur on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:37 pm
Contrast Gillard on 730 with Carr on Lateline
by spur212 on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:38 pm
Starting to think Doane and Pyne are the elephants in the room
by Schnappi on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:38 pm
Yeah I did, sorry.
by Apple Blossom on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:38 pm
Apple Blossom @ 2762
The Melbourne system is radial so all tracks lead to the CBD. Cross suburb trips are not feasible. This needs to be re-developed over time to facilitate journeys other than to CBD.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:39 pm
Marrickville mauler @ 2750
[I’ll take that as a comment.
thanks all for the lively debate – the polite and the notso.
G’nite.] It’s obviously Tony Jones.
by grey on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:40 pm
just had a read of the documents – no much new there really
it did give a bit on context re the “we’ll get him” line from Lewis – like he said it related to the hire car operator – well seems to
anyways i’m zonked – night all
by womble on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:40 pm
@janek85: Why read boring media reports when you can read the documents yourself?! Ashby vs Cmwt/Slipper http://t.co/5GnpMAVw
by guytaur on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:40 pm
Yeah we have the similar issue, most suburbs lead to the city, but cross suburb trips require a bus.
by Apple Blossom on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:40 pm
It’s NOT Speed Dating Friday!!!!!!!
This sort of talk is INAPPROPRIATE.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:41 pm
Spur212 @ 2772
Carr is a former journalist and knows how their minds work.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:43 pm
Funnily enough, I was saying to my friend today “I thought today it was Friday…”
by Apple Blossom on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:43 pm
AB yes I saw your correction after my post. I can’t imagine those outfits would be anything but very uncomfortable.
by davidwh on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:43 pm
Goodnight all.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:44 pm
Sorry Showy. I will retract and repost in two days time. Should I go to the naughty corner again?
by davidwh on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:45 pm
Perhaps after a few months of intensive exercise and healthy eating it might not be that bad.
by Apple Blossom on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:45 pm
Blossom,
I never want to take you as a “picture”.
You are what you are, bless you!
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:45 pm
2710
Mythbusters also found a bull in a china shop is not so dangerous to the china.
by Tom the first and best on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:47 pm
Take the OSX 10.8. Remember Kipling
by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:49 pm
@MikeBloomberg: One year of marriage equality in #NYC has generated $259 million in economic impact & $16 million in City revenue: http://t.co/ZQrwal1y #ssm
by guytaur on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:51 pm
Sweet dreams Bludgers. *shuffles off to the land of nod*
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:52 pm
@Reuters: Greek triple-jumper Voula Papachristou has been expelled from the Olympics team for making a racist remark on Twitter – Greek official
by guytaur on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:53 pm
A smoke is gone in a puff, a good women only goes in a huff, to be waited out of course.
by Schnappi on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:53 pm
Except for Abbott’s visit to China.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/abbotts-visit-like-a-bull-in-a-china-shop/story-e6frfhqf-1226435188689
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:55 pm
GD,
I smoked a cigar, once – forty years ago. A woman? Ask our three kids.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:55 pm
2754
You obviously did not read the link.
I shall summarise the argument.
Free PT attracts many people who would walk or cycle and that reduces benefit rather than increasing it ( I point out that that is less environmental and less exercise). It also deprives the system of revenue that needs replacing from taxes and that money would attract far more people out of their cars if used for service improvements (poor service being the main obstacle to switching from cars to PT) than free PT and increase revenue. The best systems come much closer to paying for themselves.
by Tom the first and best on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:56 pm
2794
A bull`s instinct (like that of most animals) is to avoid smashing into things.
I would much rather let a bull into a china shop (even if I owned it) than let Abbott on an official trip overseas.
by Tom the first and best on Jul 25, 2012 at 11:59 pm
Billie
There are still a number of young disabled people in nursing homes with the elderly.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 26, 2012 at 12:02 am
Because facilities do not exist or those that might would be full
Shits me off , worked six years in a rehabilition centre in toorak ,which was closed down.
by Schnappi on Jul 26, 2012 at 12:06 am