Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
James J reports Newspoll has the Coalition lead steady at 56-44, from primary votes of 28% for Labor (down three), 46% for the Coalition (down two) and 11% for the Greens (steady), with “others” for some reason hiking five points to 15%, which GhostWhoVotes tells us is the highest since February 2006. Julia Gillard is up two on approval to 29% and one on disapproval to 62%, while Tony Abbott is down two to 30% and up four to 61% – apparently his worst net result ever. Even so, his lead as preferred prime minister has opened from 39-36 to 40-36.
Also out today:
• The weekly Essential Research has Labor recover the point it lost last week to trail 56-44, from primary votes of 33% for Labor (up two), 49% for the Coalition (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Further questions find 53% thinking it “likely” an Abbott government would introduce industrial relations laws similar to WorkChoices against 22% unlikely, and 37% thinking “Australian workers” would be worse off under Abbott against 32% better off. There is also a rather complex question on amendments to surveillance and intelligence-gathering laws.
• Morgan face-to-face, conducted over the previous two weekends, has two-party preferred steady at 54-46 on previous-election preferences and down from 57.5-42.5 to 57-43 on respondent-allocated. On the primary vote, Labor is up 2% to 31.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 12%, with the Coalition steady on 43%.
Preselection news:
Newcastle (NSW, Labor 12.5%): Labor’s member since 2001, Sharon Grierson, has announced she will not contest the next election. The Newcastle Herald reports the front-runner to succeed Grierson as Labor candidate is “her long-serving staffer and Newcastle councillor Sharon Claydon”. The Liberals have preselected Jaimie Abbott, principal of media training company Gold Star Media who has worked in the past as a public affairs officer with the RAAF, media adviser to Paterson PM Bob Baldwin, and television and radio journalist.
Petrie (Qld, Labor 2.5%): Sandgate Pest Control managing director Luke Howarth has won LNP preselection from a field of ten candidates, emerging a surprise winner over the John Howard-endorsed John Connolly, former Wallabies coach and unsuccessful state candidate for Nicklin.
Rankin (Qld, Labor 5.4%): Jamie Walker of The Australian reports David Lin, Taiwanese-born founder of the Sushi Station restaurant chain, will take on Craig Emerson after winning LNP preselection from a field of six candidates.
Melbourne Ports (Vic, Labor 7.9%): NineMSN reports that the Liberals have again preselected their candidate from 2010, Kevin Ekendahl, a manager at non-profit social enterprises organisation Try Australia.
Throsby (NSW, Labor 12.1%): Bevan Shields of the Illawarra Mercury reports that Mark Hay, military prosecutor and son of state Wollongong MP Noreen Hay, has announced he will not as rumoured be launching a preselection challenge against Stephen Jones in Throsby, as he is about to take a posting with the Royal Australian Navy.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
I will be delighted if Jules claims victory in 2013
True Gus and Ron were enjoyable contributors to PB
by mexicanbeemer on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:31 am
Don’t these paper bods know the issues and the inquiry itself ? !
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:32 am
This bloke is worse!
Brian is wagging his finger.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:33 am
I would not employ this bloke in charge of toilet cleaning. ‘sHonour would agree.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:35 am
This is embarrassing.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:36 am
The three ladies behind him are quite attractive. Not a smile among them. Anyone care to draw an inference?
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:38 am
THE DUCK IS POLLUTING THE FORUM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
by ShowsOn on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:40 am
Stars of “The Big Country” had a guy called Charles Bickford, who starred with Robert Mitchum and Oliveria de Haviland, Gloria Graham and the guy who played Colonel potter in MASH,plus Frank Sinatra, in which is my favourite movie , called “Not as a Stranger”
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:41 am
duckie 295
Me too.
It was heaps more fun.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:43 am
308 re gus, george et al.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:43 am
Whoever wrote this bozo’s stuff should be sacked.
Can’t anyone say: “This is my proposition and these are my arguments in favour”?
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:44 am
Bickford is great in the 1954 version of A Star is Born. He plays the head of the movie studio.
by ShowsOn on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:45 am
snap
fantastic musical score.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:45 am
Puff,
Big cuddle again. Our time at your place meant a lot to us.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:46 am
So many times I see law bods presenting arguments in which they do not believe.
I trust to the highest that our courts sort out the the chaff.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:49 am
ShowsOn
Maybe your not 18
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:49 am
duckie
Despite almost getting us cleaned up at the roundabout?
Ta, muchly. Was a leasure.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:52 am
Snappy,
I recommend an ignore of SnowsOn’s postulates: it is a troll.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:52 am
add missing ‘p’.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:53 am
Well dah!
He is also in two great Films Noir, Fallen Angel and Whirlpool, both directed by Otto Preminger. Another great film noir / prison drama Brute Force by Jules Dassin. And Duel in the Sun, which is another western with Gregory Peck.
by ShowsOn on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:53 am
Industry so small our daily lives are clogged by something so small, give me strength
lisa o’carroll@lisaocarroll
Dingemans for express: should be NO current editor on new PCC. Industry so small that animosities brought to bear otherwise #leveson
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:53 am
You made FIVE idiotic posts in a row!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You are a trollerduck!
by ShowsOn on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:54 am
Puff,
Let me put it this way: I’d love to party with you.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:54 am
Shows
Back off the duck!
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:56 am
This hobo on Leveson is unexplainable.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:56 am
remember it was harry Morgan who was Colenel potter in Mash,but in not as a stranger was the brother called Ollie
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:57 am
Puffy,
“ShowsOn – Show Comment” is all I see of its comments.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:58 am
I detect stunned silence or total boredom from M’Lud!
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:59 am
Leveson has had enough. Back tomorrow.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 12:59 am
Shows,
Anyone who watches Leveson is no trollerduck!
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:00 am
Puff,
My bed time. See you later.
by This little black duck on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:01 am
Duck,
Give him his due, Shows drives the convoy of no continence commenters over on that blog stark raving crazy re AGW. Facts and figures does that to them. I think he got banned there again.
He is just afflicted with the rudd bug, is all.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:06 am
nite duckie
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:06 am
All this time we have had a leadership problem for over 12 months, why should today be different, just because someone thinks it should be,Hah.
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:07 am
Where is the rave about about toxic thomson
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/national/14346121/poor-governance-nepotism-in-hsu-report/
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:15 am
Think the PM is great Negotiater
Julia Gillard seeks truce over media rules
by: DAVID CROWE and MATTHEW FRANKLIN
From:The Australian
July 24, 201212:00AM
SNIP: Please don’t past articles in their entirety – The Management.
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:22 am
How sweet this is, or may be.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/liberals-mull-ending-adam-bandts-career/story-fn59niix-1226433359914
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:24 am
In regards to the msm, I hope the PM is using the old rule of diplomacy, keep saying “nice doggy” until you can grab a big stick,
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:28 am
Beats the paywall for post 336
.
. .
It is believed all parties will be told by the Liberal Party that “the door’s open” for discussions on preferences but that there will be overwhelming pressure to follow the strategy of the 2010 state election, when the Greens were shut out from the lower house after the Liberals preferenced against them in key inner-city seats.
“I would be absolutely blown away if the party didn’t end Bandt’s career,” a senior Liberal said.
“There is a real determination to cut the Greens off before they get too much power and get their claws properly into the lower house.”
Mr Bandt was elected to the House of Representatives in 2010 with the aid of Liberal preferences and he is widely seen as a potential future leader of the Greens.
However, he has insisted since the Greens lost the state by-election of Melbourne to Labor at the weekend that he would not run in the Senate and planned to win his federal seat outright.
Victorian ALP secretary Noah Carroll yesterday accused the Greens of being in denial.
“The Greens Party won’t concede they’ve lost Melbourne, they won’t concede that by voting with Tony Abbott on asylum-seekers that their view of ‘humanitarianism’ is costing lives, and they won’t concede that Adam Bandt won his seat off the back of Liberal preferences,” he said.
It is unlikely Mr Bandt would win more than 50 per cent of first preferences so he would have to still rely on the support of other parties to win the seat again.
In 2010, Mr Bandt secured a primary vote of 36.2 per cent behind Labor’s 38.1 per cent.
“Coming to the next election, I am aiming to win the federal seat of Melbourne on primary votes, and if we get the kind of swing towards us that we have seen, and if the Labor vote slumps in the same way at the federal election, then we are in a position to do that,” he said at the weekend.
Labor has claimed victory in the Melbourne byelection after preferences handed the ALP a narrow two-party-preferred victory.
But the Greens are still refusing to concede. The Victorian Electoral Commission is to conduct further counting, with a possible final result later today.
The latest counting strengthened Labor’s lead by 51.4 per cent to the Greens’ 48.6 per cent
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:28 am
Puff
Phsaw, the PM threw the stick long ago, puppies still learning who the pecking order is,
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:32 am
If I have not said already save typo,and not a bit green
Schnappi@Schnappi5
All this time we have had a leadership problem over 12 months, why should today be different, just because someone thinks it should be,Hah.
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:35 am
Think Dick Smith should get support,actually hope earlymorners actualluy look at night shift.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-07-23/dick-smith-writes-scathing-letter-to-news-ltd/4149136
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 1:50 am
Schnappi 336 “sweet” and also very”sour ”
_______
He would of course go out along with the dozens of ALP members who will be swept away in the coming tsunami…landslide is not a big enough description to cover the looming Gillard disaster that awaits
by deblonay on Jul 24, 2012 at 2:25 am
Re Assenge on 4 Corners tonight
_________
Kerry O’Brien left little doubt of Gillard’s folly in this matter…,or for that matter Obama’s lying duplicity…he more and more looks like a George Bush Lite President
clever , good speaker but a warmonger …like all his predessors ,,,,the 2 Bush’s and Clinton
by deblonay on Jul 24, 2012 at 2:29 am
Come next federal election the Greens would be traveling very well to reach 40% of the primary vote therefore without Liberal preferences they wont win that seat
by mexicanbeemer on Jul 24, 2012 at 2:45 am
debloney@342
NUTS
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 3:27 am
Trying to beat murdochs paywall
SNIP: Please don’t. Newspaper content is subject to copyright law. Please observe the fair dealing provisions – The Management.
by Schnappi on Jul 24, 2012 at 3:35 am
Scnappi
Temby’s report into HSU East postdates Thomson and involves a different emanation of the union in which Thomson was engaged.
The pervasiveness of Williamson is a common element.
by shellbell on Jul 24, 2012 at 5:25 am
There is only 2 major parties in this election
the media vs labor
coalition under abbott are irrelevant
by Meguire Bob on Jul 24, 2012 at 6:27 am
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
There’s a lot riding on Angus Houston;s work I would say.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/twelfth-boat-arrival-in-a-week-20120723-22jlb.html
Shaun Carney not very complimentary towards the Greens.,
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/same-old-political-garbage-20120722-22i1f.html
Alan Moir on the Colorado shootings.
http://images.smh.com.au/2012/07/23/3478989/port-240712-moir-600×400.jpg
And so does David Pope – devastatingly.
http://images.smh.com.au/2012/07/23/3479589/JM-pope-23-gall-20120723215115641387-600×400.jpg
Ron Tandberg is unimpressed with leadership ructions.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/ron-tandberg-20090910-fixc.html?selectedImage=2
This looks like rather creative accounting.
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/doncaster-railway-line-could-be-built-for-840m-20120723-22kpg.html
There is a real message or three in this report.
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/national/carbon-tax-popular-after-survey/story-fndo1svg-1226433382570
by BK on Jul 24, 2012 at 6:47 am