Nielsen: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports another 56-44 federal opinion poll, this time from Nielsen, which at least has Labor improving from 58-42 at its poll a month ago. The primary votes are 30% for Labor (up two), 47% for the Coalition (down one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Tony Abbott has slightly increased his lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister, up from 46-42 to 48-43. A question on carbon price compensation has 5% rating themselves better off and 38% worse off, with 52% opting for no change. Bad as that may seem superficially, it contains the germ of a good headline for the government, as Nielsen’s poll conducted immediately before the introduction of the scheme had 51% expecting to be worse off and 37% expecting no difference. The 5% better off figure is unchanged. Full tables courtesy of GhostWhoVotes.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor recovering a point on two-party preferred for the second week running, now trailing 55-45, although primary votes are unchanged: Labor on 33%, the Coalition on 49% and the Greens on 10%. Also featured are rank ordering of most important election issues (political leadership up seven points since December to 25%, while controlling interest rates has steadily declined from 15% to 9% since the start of 2010), productivity (Australian workers generally seen as “quite productive”), industrial relations (believed on balance to slightly favour workers over employers), the Gonski report recommendations (65% support, 14% oppose), and respondents’ experiences of workplace bullying.
UPDATE 2: Nielsen further finds 52% backing a leadership change from Julia Gillard to Kevin Rudd against 42% opposed, and Kevin Rudd leading Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister 57-36.
House preselection news:
Fisher (Qld, LNP 4.1%): Howard government minister and former Longman MP Mal Brough had a clear win in yesterday’s long-awaited LNP preselection ballot, scoring the support of more than half of the 350 preselectors in the first round. According to Michael McKenna of The Australian, Brough’s much-touted rival James McGrath, who went into the vote with endorsement from Malcolm Turnbull, Joe Hockey and Julie Bishop, came third behind local employment agency director Peta Simpson. The also-rans were Richard Bruinsma, Andrew Wallace, Graeme Mickelberg, Daniel Purdie and Stephen Ainscough.
Lilley (Qld, Labor 3.2%): As anticipated, the LNP has preselected Rod McGarvie to run against Wayne Swan. McGarvie is a former soldier and United Nations peacekeeper, and was also the candidate in 2010. Also in the field were John Cotter, Bill Gollan and Karryn Fletcher
Scullin (Vic, Labor 20.6%): Twenty-six years after he succeeded his father Harry Jenkins Sr as member, Harry Jenkins Jr has announced he will not contest the next election. Andrew Crook of Crikey reports that Andrew Giles, a Slater & Gordon lawyer, former adviser to state MPs Gavin Jennings and Lily D’Ambrosio and factional secretary of the Socialist Left, is his likely successor as Labor candidate.
Denison (Tas, Independent 1.2% versus Labor): The Greens have preselected Anne Reynolds, an adviser to Christine Milne, to run against Andrew Wilkie.
Senate preselection news:
• Labor’s member for the state seat of Bassendean, Martin Whitely, has announced he will seek preselection for the WA Labor Senate ticket in a pre-emptive bid to thwart the presumed designs of Joe Bullock, powerful state secretary of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Union. At this stage Bullock will merely say that he is “interested” in running, and that Whitely – whose decision not to re-contest his state seat was seen to reflect the certainty that LHMWU state secretary Dave Kelly would defeat him for preselection – would get “zero” votes if he nominated. The two Labor Senators up for re-election are noted Kevin Rudd backer Mark Bishop, another former SDA secretary who would presumably be making way for Bullock, and Louise Pratt of the Left. Labor is thought to be doing so badly in WA that it is at risk of winning only one Senate seat at the next election.
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Loved this. Parenting 2012.
http://pic.twitter.com/KL1GVz1i
by lizzie on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:48 pm
We should have some, I agree. We should start a campaign for radar resource equalisation. After all, we have weather too.
by briefly on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:48 pm
Is there any risk that an Australian competitor will win a gold tonight?
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:49 pm
‘Insight’ not as good without Jennie Brockie as host, but Mr Eunis is doing a workman-like job all the same.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:50 pm
poroti:
So Binningup is operational?
Thanks for that.
by confessions on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:50 pm
Sorry, that would ‘Mr Enus’.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:51 pm
Another side to the Australian Sex Party – an article by Meagan Tyler who is a member of the Coalition Against Trafficking in Women Australia (CATWA)
http://theconversation.edu.au/political-party-or-lobby-group-the-dark-side-of-the-australian-sex-party-8525
http://projectrespect.org.au/
by Pegasus on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:51 pm
Nadia Comenici in all disciplines for mine,the beam requires guts ,skill and balance ,gutsy ladies.
by Schnappi on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:51 pm
A ‘We have weather and we vote’ campaign?
by confessions on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:51 pm
Boerwar
That makes me feel better. Actually, to a migrant from England, Oz felt as if it was ten years behind in everything, yet the Oz-born kept telling me that everything in England was old and out of date. I think that was because Europe has buildings over 50 years old.
by lizzie on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:51 pm
confessions, I’m not sure if the SW rainfall trend coincides with El Nino/ La Nina cycles or not. I suspect the trend persists regardless of the El Nino oscillation pattern. Drying in the SW is one of the outcomes predicted by climate change analysis. We can really clearly see the climate change as a real-time process in WA…. We are the cutting edge over here!
by briefly on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:55 pm
Schnappi
Nadia was a one off!
I’ve not seen anyone come close to Nadia.
by Dee on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:55 pm
Briefly,
Viridian with envy.
Meanwhile, I strongly recomment Ensemble Amarcord for your evening’s listening – it started at 7pm AET, so I assume that it will be at the same time in WA.
by fiona on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:58 pm
Pegasus
The following is the official Greens policy measure on prostitution:
It seems that the Sex Party and the Greens are on the same page on this one.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 8:59 pm
Is it true that they give young female gymnasts drugs to stop them from reaching puberty?
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:00 pm
Insight on painkillers, benzodiazapeine very interesting. It was a good move by Labor (I think) to put the codeine based painkillers behind the counter. People don’t understand they are opiates and highly addictive.
by Rossmore on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:02 pm
Schnappi
Olga was the first but Nadia was da Best.
Nadia
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=odTtfnWdfGU
For the gals this Rus gymnast ,Alexei Nemov, seems to have been a fave
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AGA-DWOhLmA
by poroti on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:02 pm
This little black duck @# 1934
Why on earth is Seebohm whinging? She won a silver medal, for crying out loud!
For me, this is the Not The Olympics.
TLBD I think you need to sit and listen occasionally. She was crying because she believed that she had let everyone down by not winning a gold medal not because she got a silver one.
I think a little understanding is missing from you personality.
Give the Women a break. She will get it all in perspective once she is home with her family and friends who I suspect are very proud of her.
by Ratsars on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:02 pm
It’s perfectly logical to contrast Sydney with a city like London that has been around for at least 2,000 years.
by CTar1 on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:02 pm
l
Hah! Talk about old and out of date: I can recall as a child the not-so sotto voce horror stories of the POM’s elapsed time-since-last-bathing episode.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:03 pm
CTar1
Thank you.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:04 pm
Abbott would oppose it, for sure…so predictable: “Stop the weather! There is only one way to stop the weather and that is to have an election. You cannot trust this Government on the weather. Their weather forecasts are lies, nothing but lies based on broken election promises. Stop the weather now!”
by briefly on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:05 pm
It’s an easy contrast – there’s more old buildings in London.
by CTar1 on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:07 pm
Here guys Nadia on the beam: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4n0x1hijHE
by Space Kidette on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:07 pm
Boerwar
:sigh:
by lizzie on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:08 pm
5 days to go
Reason i opened a twitter account.
http://mars.jpl.nasa.gov/msl/
by Schnappi on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:08 pm
Does anyone remember a time when every English migrant claimed to be related to the royal family?
After watching ‘Who do you think you are?’ and doing a little genealogy, their claims may be plausible.
by Dee on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:08 pm
I have the wireless up and running, fiona. The Ensemble is in fine voice… and the introductory narration is very amusing. Musicians have a talent for mixing all the pleasures, I reckon…..
by briefly on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:09 pm
Ratsars
Crap crap crap. There is no question that she gave her all and tried her hardest. To think that giving your utmost and not winning is letting everyone down is 24k stupid.
by poroti on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:09 pm
briefly:
Yes, that’s my take on the BoM climate data. The drying of the south west of the country is outside the El Nino/Nina cycles.
Sorry, my earlier comment was a flippant response to another commenter.
by confessions on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:09 pm
Having left England and colour TV , as a child in 1972 to come to Australia with my parents /sister /Brother and NO colour tv ???? and dirt roads.
by Lord Barry Bonkton on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:09 pm
Ah. Cf girl/women gymnasts and puberty: they are called ‘brake’ drugs because they are supposed to delay the onset of puberty.
Before puberty girls have better weight/strength ratios.
OTOH, some people think it is not brake drugs, but diet and exercise regimes that reduce body fats and therefore reduce the onset of puberty.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:10 pm
briefly @ 2171
Problem is, that is so near the truth. He’s almost been there on climate change
by lizzie on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:10 pm
briefly:
Abbott would oppose his own bowel movements if he thought there might be political capital in it!
by confessions on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:11 pm
Queensland Government wants $40 million from Federal Government:
Read more: http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/national/qld-seeks-federal-flood-money/story-e6frfku9-1226439648163#ixzz22CJ7vSZ5
by citizen on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:12 pm
lizzie
Haha. Gotcha!
We cloghoppers had our trial by Aussie prejudice as well.
Not to worry. We survived and thrived in one of the best countries in the world by many measures. Not perfect: just very good in very many ways.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:12 pm
Nothing like a sporting event to bring out the Pom bashers. Having lived in both countries the haters in Oz far outnumber their counterparts in Blighty, IMHO.
by Rossmore on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:14 pm
Lord Barry Bonkton
I’d never seen wooden houses before!
by lizzie on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:14 pm
Nothing like a sporting event to bring out the Pom bashers. Having lived in both countries the haters in Oz far outnumber their counterparts in Blighty, IMHO.
by Rossmore on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:14 pm
TLBD @ 2048,
Yeah, I reckon that if they start about halfway up, they’ll hit the right spot
by fiona on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:16 pm
I agree, lizzie. With Abbott, politics is an exercise in using slogans to camouflage complexity. He must think we are all very, very stupid. We will find out, I suppose, whether people are willing to be taken in by him or not.
by briefly on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:16 pm
Lord Barry – and so many bungalows…..!
by Rossmore on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:16 pm
I think he probably already does that, confessions….perhaps this accounts for his very uncomfortable gait.
by briefly on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:17 pm
Boerwar
Every migrant goes through it, I spose. At least I almost understood the ‘native’ lingo. Must be much harder for non-Egmlish speakers.
by lizzie on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:19 pm
citizen
Mr Newman has just saved $287 million by sacking 2000 public servants. That is around $143,000 a pop. If he needs another $40 million he should sack another 280 Queensland public servants instead of expecting the rest of us to pick up the tab.
We willingly coughed up for the flood levy but subsequently I personally felt like I had been dudded three times over:
(1) the Queenslanders had been too tight to get their state disaster insurance right. (2) we paid the levy
(3) then the reactionaries shat all over us in sheer political gratitude – you know, it was just another vicious nasty tax.
Now Queenslanders have voted for Mr Newman. He is the miracle man. Let him sort it out without trying to scam the rest of us a fourth time.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:20 pm
non-English oops
by lizzie on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:20 pm
And none of the kids here wore shoes.
by Dan Gulberry on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:21 pm
Rossmore
A wee bit sensitive!
Aussies and Poms are sparring partners not haters!
by Dee on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:21 pm
Briefly,
Of course we do.
I think that the Ensemble Armacord is interesting for various reasons. They are much closer to my preferred English style of early and Baroque music performance. Their sense of humour also seems to be emphatically non-Teutonic.
Anyway, delightful listening.
by fiona on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:21 pm
lizzie
We first lived in a remote area near a timber town. Supplies were delivered weekly, having been ordered. We once received a dozen axes which was as near as Mum could get to a dozen eggs.
by Boerwar on Jul 31, 2012 at 9:22 pm