Nielsen: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports another 56-44 federal opinion poll, this time from Nielsen, which at least has Labor improving from 58-42 at its poll a month ago. The primary votes are 30% for Labor (up two), 47% for the Coalition (down one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Tony Abbott has slightly increased his lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister, up from 46-42 to 48-43. A question on carbon price compensation has 5% rating themselves better off and 38% worse off, with 52% opting for no change. Bad as that may seem superficially, it contains the germ of a good headline for the government, as Nielsen’s poll conducted immediately before the introduction of the scheme had 51% expecting to be worse off and 37% expecting no difference. The 5% better off figure is unchanged. Full tables courtesy of GhostWhoVotes.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor recovering a point on two-party preferred for the second week running, now trailing 55-45, although primary votes are unchanged: Labor on 33%, the Coalition on 49% and the Greens on 10%. Also featured are rank ordering of most important election issues (political leadership up seven points since December to 25%, while controlling interest rates has steadily declined from 15% to 9% since the start of 2010), productivity (Australian workers generally seen as “quite productive”), industrial relations (believed on balance to slightly favour workers over employers), the Gonski report recommendations (65% support, 14% oppose), and respondents’ experiences of workplace bullying.
UPDATE 2: Nielsen further finds 52% backing a leadership change from Julia Gillard to Kevin Rudd against 42% opposed, and Kevin Rudd leading Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister 57-36.
House preselection news:
Fisher (Qld, LNP 4.1%): Howard government minister and former Longman MP Mal Brough had a clear win in yesterday’s long-awaited LNP preselection ballot, scoring the support of more than half of the 350 preselectors in the first round. According to Michael McKenna of The Australian, Brough’s much-touted rival James McGrath, who went into the vote with endorsement from Malcolm Turnbull, Joe Hockey and Julie Bishop, came third behind local employment agency director Peta Simpson. The also-rans were Richard Bruinsma, Andrew Wallace, Graeme Mickelberg, Daniel Purdie and Stephen Ainscough.
Lilley (Qld, Labor 3.2%): As anticipated, the LNP has preselected Rod McGarvie to run against Wayne Swan. McGarvie is a former soldier and United Nations peacekeeper, and was also the candidate in 2010. Also in the field were John Cotter, Bill Gollan and Karryn Fletcher
Scullin (Vic, Labor 20.6%): Twenty-six years after he succeeded his father Harry Jenkins Sr as member, Harry Jenkins Jr has announced he will not contest the next election. Andrew Crook of Crikey reports that Andrew Giles, a Slater & Gordon lawyer, former adviser to state MPs Gavin Jennings and Lily D’Ambrosio and factional secretary of the Socialist Left, is his likely successor as Labor candidate.
Denison (Tas, Independent 1.2% versus Labor): The Greens have preselected Anne Reynolds, an adviser to Christine Milne, to run against Andrew Wilkie.
Senate preselection news:
• Labor’s member for the state seat of Bassendean, Martin Whitely, has announced he will seek preselection for the WA Labor Senate ticket in a pre-emptive bid to thwart the presumed designs of Joe Bullock, powerful state secretary of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Union. At this stage Bullock will merely say that he is “interested” in running, and that Whitely – whose decision not to re-contest his state seat was seen to reflect the certainty that LHMWU state secretary Dave Kelly would defeat him for preselection – would get “zero” votes if he nominated. The two Labor Senators up for re-election are noted Kevin Rudd backer Mark Bishop, another former SDA secretary who would presumably be making way for Bullock, and Louise Pratt of the Left. Labor is thought to be doing so badly in WA that it is at risk of winning only one Senate seat at the next election.
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Nickleback = musical posers. Hockey = economic poser. Peas and carrots.
by gloryconsequence on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:12 pm
Size of world navies.
http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/07/~/media/Images/Reports/2012/07/KAI/specialKAI201218asiannaviesvarybroadlysize750.ashx
by dave on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:12 pm
Required for what? To do better? A very vague ambition that, funnily enough, always requires more money.
I think we should just be happy with a few medals here and there instead of worrying so much about how high we can throw a brick, or whatever they do.
by Son of foro on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:12 pm
wRONg. Obviously he doesnt know about the REAL BISONs
@RBReich FYI. These are the real Australian BISONs – Unemployment 5.1%, GDP 4.3% – Inflation 1.2% – Interest 3.5% – http://www.thefinnigans.blogspot.com.au/
by The Finnigans on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:12 pm
My taste in music is so varied I’d bet it would have many cringing with embarrassment.
Do I care?
Hell NO!
by Dee on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:13 pm
ruawake,
And then there’s the Crocodiles if any invading force makes it to Darwin.
by C@tmomma on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:13 pm
The only song i like from springsteen is “Dancing in the Dark”
by Schnappi on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:14 pm
You do have to admit Boris can be quite funny, on why GB not doing too well:
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1675816/Boris-Johnson-keeps-stiff-upper-lip
by swamprat on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:15 pm
My taste in music is many and varied and absolutely top drawer, if I don’t say so myself.
by C@tmomma on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:15 pm
I suspect Andrew Lloyd Webber has a bit of influence over the poodle as well.
by Son of foro on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:17 pm
Suppose most PBers have seen /heard Sloppy Joe giving Swan the rounds of the kitchen today using any mike or camera in sight.
What a lightweight buffoon he is. Instead of talking about their policies, or criticising the government on a matter of policy, here he is proclaiming twaddle ie that the government is so bereft that it has to get its ideas from a rocker. Heavy comment Joe!!!!!!!
What an embarrassment Abbott’s ship-o-fools is ….. to the nation but mainly to temselves.
by psyclaw on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:17 pm
In my opinion, “Thunder Road” is his classic.
by Lynchpin on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:18 pm
Hopefully Swan’s intervention will mean Springsteen might tour here again. I have only seen him 8 times and I need MOAR!!!
by Lynchpin on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:20 pm
Chrissie is Sarah Brightman?
by This little black duck on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:20 pm
Clive running interference for the LNP again:
http://www.sunshinecoastdaily.com.au/story/2012/07/31/clives-going-jurassic-sunshine-coast/
by Jaeger on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:20 pm
Not that there’s anything wrong with show tunes, of course.
by Son of foro on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:21 pm
lizzie:
I’ve heard a lot more but I wouldn’t disagree. What I’ve heard is something like a series of pop rock dirges sung in a style that is only semi-intelligible with a great deal of extraneous noise.
Much of what is revealed by consulting the lyrics is derivative and uncritical wallowing in US pop culture and incipiently if not expressly patriotic. Personally, if I wanted that sort of stuff, I’d prefer to listen to Billy Joel, or The Eagles or America which while equally vacuous, are somewhat better arranged and composed.
Personally, I was always keener on Santana, Pink Floyd, Credence Clearwater, Cream, Led Zeppelin and AC/DC when listening to rock music.
by Fran Barlow on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:23 pm
They could get him to play the AFL grannie but would probably have to delay the game by a few days until he finishes his set.
Knowing the AFL they’ll hire Sloppies favourite rockers for 18 million bucks.
by Son of foro on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:23 pm
And Ashby is his Evita.
by Son of foro on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:26 pm
CanBull is frequently used ….. most appropriate.
by muttleymcgee on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:26 pm
Pretty vacuous Fran?
by ruawake on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:28 pm
Mr Romney has declared his trip “a success.”
http://tinyurl.com/c3jmoej
by This little black duck on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:29 pm
Dio
*sob*
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:31 pm
C@tmomma
Not to mention the locals. Compact Crank’s invading jihadis will run a mile if we drop copies of the NT News on them. Suicide bomers out for 72 virgins ? Meh the locals do this sort of thing just for fun
http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2012/07/31/312406_ntnews.html
by poroti on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:31 pm
Esoterica:
Who was the Australian political leader who promised three aircraft carriers should he be elected?
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:32 pm
This little black duck
He successfully pissed off every country he visited and successfully confirmed every prejudice people have about American’s travelling abroad.
by poroti on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:33 pm
Hockey’s presser today was a singular disgrace. How bloody childish!
by BK on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:33 pm
Lynchpin
I tried. I promise. Hoarse and a bit quieter, but still couldn’t hear the words. Sorry.
by lizzie on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:33 pm
Latika is hostessing Capital Hill. Rishworth and Broadbent.
by This little black duck on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:33 pm
victoria
My son was a fan of U2.
by lizzie on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:35 pm
C@tmomma
All class and modest to boot!
by Dee on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:35 pm
Boerwar
PM “I did but see her passing by” ?
by poroti on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:35 pm
Russell Broadbent doing a good impression of Jiminy Cricket on Capital Hill.
http://ts2.mm.bing.net/images/thumbnail.aspx?q=5061044082246721&id=c8acc3d60dab30de5659d59a895a7a88
by BK on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:36 pm
C@tmomma @ 2884,
I’d call it Radical (Libertarian) Conservatism, myself.
by fiona on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:37 pm
lizzie
Great band. I have seen U2 in concert five times.
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:37 pm
Broadbent and Bourke do leadershit. Sigh!
by This little black duck on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:37 pm
Dio
We don’t have the technology, the fuel, the infrastructure or the skills. These are (inter alia) the same arguments against our obtaining nuclear subs.
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:38 pm
fiona
There is more than a touch of Ayn Randism in the mix.
by poroti on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:38 pm
poroti
Nope.
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:38 pm
Ducky
Hardly surprising. Latika’s tweets this afternoon have once again focussed on leadershit
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:39 pm
Time for Countdown and Ms Riley.
by This little black duck on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:41 pm
poroti,
That’s kind of you. I’d call it a very large dollop
by fiona on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Interesting:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/former-ama-chief-bill-glasson-seeks-to-take-on-kevin-rudd/story-fn59niix-1226439826199
by C@tmomma on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:43 pm
First clue: It was not Ms Milne.
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Ducky
Who is Ms Riley?
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Boerwar
Abbott?
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:45 pm
Poroti @ 3072
That is priceless.
by swamprat on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:46 pm
victoria,
This is http://tinyurl.com/d8a2rab
by This little black duck on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:46 pm
Hockey likes Nickelback? That is priceless. Nickelback is strictly for people who want to say they like rock but find it all a bit scary. Posey whiners with guitars.
Springsteen’s ok. I never quite got into his stuff, but albums like Born to Run or The River are clearly excellent. If you’re looking for less shouty, more introspective Springsteen, a better bet than Nebraska (pretty stark) is Tunnel of Love.
by Aguirre on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:47 pm
Boerwar
Billy Hughes ?
by poroti on Aug 1, 2012 at 5:49 pm