Nielsen: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports another 56-44 federal opinion poll, this time from Nielsen, which at least has Labor improving from 58-42 at its poll a month ago. The primary votes are 30% for Labor (up two), 47% for the Coalition (down one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Tony Abbott has slightly increased his lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister, up from 46-42 to 48-43. A question on carbon price compensation has 5% rating themselves better off and 38% worse off, with 52% opting for no change. Bad as that may seem superficially, it contains the germ of a good headline for the government, as Nielsen’s poll conducted immediately before the introduction of the scheme had 51% expecting to be worse off and 37% expecting no difference. The 5% better off figure is unchanged. Full tables courtesy of GhostWhoVotes.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor recovering a point on two-party preferred for the second week running, now trailing 55-45, although primary votes are unchanged: Labor on 33%, the Coalition on 49% and the Greens on 10%. Also featured are rank ordering of most important election issues (political leadership up seven points since December to 25%, while controlling interest rates has steadily declined from 15% to 9% since the start of 2010), productivity (Australian workers generally seen as “quite productive”), industrial relations (believed on balance to slightly favour workers over employers), the Gonski report recommendations (65% support, 14% oppose), and respondents’ experiences of workplace bullying.
UPDATE 2: Nielsen further finds 52% backing a leadership change from Julia Gillard to Kevin Rudd against 42% opposed, and Kevin Rudd leading Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister 57-36.
House preselection news:
Fisher (Qld, LNP 4.1%): Howard government minister and former Longman MP Mal Brough had a clear win in yesterday’s long-awaited LNP preselection ballot, scoring the support of more than half of the 350 preselectors in the first round. According to Michael McKenna of The Australian, Brough’s much-touted rival James McGrath, who went into the vote with endorsement from Malcolm Turnbull, Joe Hockey and Julie Bishop, came third behind local employment agency director Peta Simpson. The also-rans were Richard Bruinsma, Andrew Wallace, Graeme Mickelberg, Daniel Purdie and Stephen Ainscough.
Lilley (Qld, Labor 3.2%): As anticipated, the LNP has preselected Rod McGarvie to run against Wayne Swan. McGarvie is a former soldier and United Nations peacekeeper, and was also the candidate in 2010. Also in the field were John Cotter, Bill Gollan and Karryn Fletcher
Scullin (Vic, Labor 20.6%): Twenty-six years after he succeeded his father Harry Jenkins Sr as member, Harry Jenkins Jr has announced he will not contest the next election. Andrew Crook of Crikey reports that Andrew Giles, a Slater & Gordon lawyer, former adviser to state MPs Gavin Jennings and Lily D’Ambrosio and factional secretary of the Socialist Left, is his likely successor as Labor candidate.
Denison (Tas, Independent 1.2% versus Labor): The Greens have preselected Anne Reynolds, an adviser to Christine Milne, to run against Andrew Wilkie.
Senate preselection news:
• Labor’s member for the state seat of Bassendean, Martin Whitely, has announced he will seek preselection for the WA Labor Senate ticket in a pre-emptive bid to thwart the presumed designs of Joe Bullock, powerful state secretary of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Union. At this stage Bullock will merely say that he is “interested” in running, and that Whitely – whose decision not to re-contest his state seat was seen to reflect the certainty that LHMWU state secretary Dave Kelly would defeat him for preselection – would get “zero” votes if he nominated. The two Labor Senators up for re-election are noted Kevin Rudd backer Mark Bishop, another former SDA secretary who would presumably be making way for Bullock, and Louise Pratt of the Left. Labor is thought to be doing so badly in WA that it is at risk of winning only one Senate seat at the next election.
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
I figure Latika is laughing. She has 31,000+ followers on Twitter – which must be the highest of any political journo/commentator in the country.
She could easily sell out to some commercial media outfit for much bigger bucks that the ABC is paying her.
by sprocket_ on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:47 pm
Dee
Libtika did good. She skipped through that stuff. Isnt she a darling.
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by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:48 pm
SK – By “phone them” I was suggesting you phone the Dept of Fair Trading – not the supplier etc.
With stuff I’ve phoned Fair Trading about in Sydney they have always said they would be happy to take it up with the supplier etc on my behalf but it has never come to that.
by dave on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:48 pm
sprocket
She should go to a commercial station, but i am sure she sees the writing on the wall in the private sector. The ABC is at least providing her with some security at present.
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:49 pm
Wise for whom? A split Nats vote would be very wise for the people of Lyne
by Oakeshott Country on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:49 pm
Sprocket,
Maybe in the old days. Not anymore.
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:50 pm
rua, fredn, muttley …
Yes, Springsteen is pretty vacuous, and Born in the USA maudlin and incipiently reactionary as well by its implicit solidarity with the war against Indochina. Where’s the solidarity with the 2 million Vietnamese dead, the many for in Cambodia and Laos, the deliberate dumping of WMD on those countries (and those still sufffering from it in that place) and a tonnage of bombs from B52 dwarfing that dropped in WW2? BS for sure …
by Fran Barlow on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:50 pm
Speaking of dead whales, one would NOT want to try this method (classic footage from Oregon, USA):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZhn28_Z9wc
The first useful piece of information I’ve ever gotten off 2GB was to find and watch this video.
by Bushfire Bill on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:50 pm
dave,
Thanks, I will definitely give it a go in the morning.
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:51 pm
Space Kidette
Try the consumer affairs first. It makes a difference when they are armed with the relevant information and they make the phone call to the retailer.
The last place the retailer will want to finish up with is the ombundsman.
The first misdemeanor is usually a small penalty but the second and third penalties that the ombundsman can hand out is usually persuasive enough for the retailer to replace your item with a working model so that he does not move in to stage two or three.
by Gaffhook on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:51 pm
vic is it this?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qAcC6S2Gdb0
by ruawake on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:54 pm
Kidette
When approaching the consumer affairs crowd it is always in your favour if you can demonstrate that you have already made reasonable attempts to negotiate yourself.
by BK on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:54 pm
Gaff,
This is a body corporate selling remotes to residents.
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:55 pm
ru
For some reason i cannot load the video, but if it is the one with Joan Kirner playing the guitar. Yes.
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:56 pm
and a little anecdote prompted by this snap of Rupert
http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2012/7/31/1343762778567/Rupert-Murdoch-010.jpg
I was doing my mothers tax return for her this last weekend, and when we got to her birthdate 9/3/1931 she said “do you know I’m 1 day older than Rupert Murdoch?”
Now my mother is a well lived 81 year old, including years interned by the Japanese and 2 years in a refugee camp in the Philippines, and she is showing signs of age, being forgetful, broken hips, poor eyesight, fixed views on politics, finds difficulty in keeping up with the latest trends and gadgets – not as sharp as what she was, but enjoying her retirement.
She was a quite successful in business, but there is no way she could do that type of work work at her age
Rupert is showing every day of his 81 years.
by sprocket_ on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:56 pm
Swan talking up Gillard, big time…
by Bushfire Bill on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:57 pm
ruawake
The Pm has won me, might ask when finishes politics, if could be her manager
by Schnappi on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:57 pm
Now on to Palmer, Rinehart and Twiggy…
by Bushfire Bill on Aug 1, 2012 at 6:59 pm
sprocket,
Sounds like your mum has lived an interesting life. Make sure you document it and make it a part of your family legacy.
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:01 pm
Kidette
Does not matter one iota. They will have to replace it and then they can take it up with their supplier.
by Gaffhook on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:01 pm
by leone on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:02 pm
Gaff,
I will chat to them tomorrow and let you know how I get on.
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:02 pm
Sheesh!
by Dee on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:03 pm
Dee
Obviously He is not a fan of Rudd.
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:05 pm
sprocket
Your mum has lived a very interesting life.
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:06 pm
now we’ve seen the Pm doing her dance when do we get to see the LOTO doing the DogKnotted shuffle?
by Gaffhook on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:06 pm
Fran Barlow
If you think it is pro bomb the shit out of the Vietnamese then you really are blinded by your ideology.
by poroti on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:06 pm
Labor people should boycott the Drum. It is IPA central.
by guytaur on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:07 pm
Mr Bracks is yet another Labor feather duster who can’t resist sticking it to a Labor Prime Minister.
Shame Mr Bracks, Shame.
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:07 pm
In what context did Bracks make his comments?
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:08 pm
Are we safe from gold medals tonight?
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:09 pm
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:09 pm
Victoria
Obviously!
I am taking the tweet at face value.
Perhaps when we see the transcript of the show it may show the context does not match said tweeters interpretation.
by Dee on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:09 pm
bw
I do not know if we are. The British seem to be.
by guytaur on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:10 pm
India power problems – 25% loss due to crumbling poorly maintained trans lines. 30% loss due to stealing like this http://forum.allaboutcircuits.com/image_cache/httpifindfraud.comimagesindia_power_lines_3.jpg
by The Finnigans on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:12 pm
Swan mentions Hilltop Hoods. Has Cive Palmer heard of them?
by guytaur on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:12 pm
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:14 pm
Victoria
I will add that tweet would contradict what Brack’s said only days ago. That JG should lead the ALP to the next election.
by Dee on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:15 pm
Dee
Precisely.
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:17 pm
Fiona and Poroti … about names !
___________
There’s another and older word that might describe many conservatives..especially the Tea Party types in the USA
…try…
“Fascists”
by deblonay on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:17 pm
Heh, now the E-word is applied to redmond:
From the Australian’s front page.
by Bushfire Bill on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:17 pm
Good speech by Swannie
by victoria on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:19 pm
guytaur
Shudder. Cannot EVA take them seriously. Adelaidians who started out singing songs that made out they were living in Compton or the Bronx. Keeping it real…Not. Try hards to the max.
by poroti on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:20 pm
Swannies kid is in a band, he goes to watch her when he can,he really does like rock music.
by ruawake on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:20 pm
‘embattled’ inevitably becomes ‘beleaguered’
by shellbell on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:23 pm
I heard today that around one third of Indians do not have access to mains electricity at all.
by Boerwar on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Can newman be held to account for his lies, a court case may.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-08-01/union-threatens-legal-action-on-job-security-ruling/4169458?section=qld
by Schnappi on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:25 pm
Guys,
I got a response:
We’ll replace the remote.
Please note that we’ll require an acknowledgement form to be signed when the remote is delivered to your residence.
Please confirm date and time for delivery.
by Space Kidette on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:27 pm
Deblonay,
I agree to some extent, but not completely. My understanding of fascism is that it is not totally indifferent to, and to some extent supportive (if forelocks are tugged) of, the lower and, indeed, middle SES – provided they are of the “dominant” nationalism.
Randists, by contrast, are callously indifferent to any SES level other than that of their own – rational egoism (better known as utter selfishness) reigns supreme; those who aren’t “worthy” can and should just die.
(Yes, I know that this is a simplistic portrayal of both ideologies, but I’m hungry so, being a rational egoist, shall go and find some poor unsuspecting creature on which to feast.)
by fiona on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:27 pm
Erinn Swan with Streamer Bendy
http://vimeo.com/17760828
by ruawake on Aug 1, 2012 at 7:27 pm