Crikey



Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition

This week’s Essential Research shows no real change on voting intention, with the Coalition still leading 56-44 from primary votes of 32% for Labor (down one), 49% for the Coalition (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Also featured are Essential’s monthly personal ratings, which likewise show little shift. Julia Gillard is down a point on both approval and disapproval, to 31% and 57%. Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 36% and down two to 51%, and his lead as preferred prime minister is up from 38-37 to 38-36 (I guess not too many people heard this then). A question on same-sex marriage finds 54% supportive and 33% opposed, respectively steady and down two on a year ago.

Preselection snippets:

Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reports Gary “Angry” Anderson will seek Nationals preselection in Gilmore, the southern New South Wales seat which will be vacated at the election by the retirement of Liberal member Joanna Gash.

• In the neighbouring seat of Hume, where Liberal member Alby Schultz is retiring, Coorey further reports that state upper house MP Niall Blair is a further possibility as Nationals candidate, together with presumed front-runners Senator Fiona Nash and state government minister Katrina Hodgkinson. Leslie White of the Weekly Times recently reported both Nationals and Liberal internal polling had the Liberals ahead in the seat, but the Nationals remained confident they could win with Nash or Hodgkinson running.

The Australian reports Matt Adamson, former Canberra, Penrith and national rugby league player, has been sounded out by the Liberals to run against Rob Oakeshott in Lyne. The Nationals have already endorsed David Gillespie, a local doctor who was best man at Tony Abbott’s wedding.

• The Victorian ALP has taken care of a whole bunch of preselection business, re-endorsing all sitting members and confirming Slater & Gordon lawyer Andrew Giles to succeed Harry Jenkins in Scullin, and United Voice official Lisa Chesters to succeed Steve Gibbons in Bendigo. The preselection for Melbourne will be held on August 26, with 2010 candidate Cath Bowtell considered the front-runner but Harvey Stern, president of Labor for Refugees Victoria, is also in the field.

• John Hogg, Queensland Labor Senator since 1996 and the chamber’s current President, has announced he will not re-contest the next election. Michael McKenna of The Australian reports Shop, Distributive and Allied Employees Union state secretary Chris Ketter is “among the frontrunners” to replace him as a Labor Senate candidate – remembering that Labor won three Senate seats in Queensland in 2007, and the party fears it may only win one next year.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

7198 Responses

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  1. Carey Moore @ 1044
    My attitude to Qld is coloured by what a colleague in the RAAF once observed (Queesnlander baiting was a bit of sport for us). He said that Qld is a wonderful place but has just one thing wrong with it. It is just crawling with Queenslanders who don’t appreciate it. :evil:

    I think I should go now…. :D

    by bemused on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  2. Sorry for quoting a Labor Policy document from 2002.

    Thank you for the apology comparing the Houston plan to the pacific solution is like comparing the work of Einstein to a cunning plan of Baldrick. Although if I had to personally chose between Baldrick and Howard, I’d take Baldrick. Least you’d get some jokes as the boom is wasted and future generations restriction by a lack of investment.

    But thanks for the apology for your silly and misleading comparison, it was big of you to admit you were wrong.

    by WeWantPaul on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:46 pm

  3. Its a sweet sweet day

    ” Labor will not continue the ‘Pacific Solution’ and will not have detention facilities in PNG and Nauru.”

    Labor 2002

    by rummel on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:46 pm

  4. I support the Greens asylum seekers policy.

    It is the only one that is logical.

    JOKE of the night … perfect …

    by WeWantPaul on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:47 pm

  5. rummel,

    Needs must when the devil drives. Have a chat to Peta.

    by This little black duck on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:47 pm

  6. Candy Jones has beaten you rummel might as well concede defeat

    by WeWantPaul on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  7. Abbott might give SA a miss.

    http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/south-australian-liberal-party-in-turmoil-as-leader-flies-in-from-holiday/story-e6frea83-1226449557385

    by Schnappi on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:49 pm

  8. Didn’t Howard once claim there would be no GST under a government he led? Whether he went to an election on it or not we still ended up with a GST courtesy of one JWH.

    by Gary on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:50 pm

  9. OPPOSITION Leader Isobel Redmond is due to return to Adelaide today to face a Liberal Party further divided after her chief media adviser resigned.

    You’re next, Peta.

    by This little black duck on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:50 pm

  10. The Greens policy is the only one that makes us agree with abide by our international obligations.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:54 pm

  11. Gillard should call an election to see if the people agree with the action being proposed. Im sure the greens will agree.

    by rummel on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:55 pm

  12. The policy I support is the one that the Greens are proposing.

    It is the only one that has the interests of asylum seekers at heart.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:55 pm

  13. Jones Candy @ 1059

    The Greens policy is the only one that makes us agree with abide by our international obligations.

    Just what we needed… another dopey green.

    by bemused on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:56 pm

  14. It is the only one that has the interests of asylum seekers at heart.

    Do the greens care before or after they get to australia?>

    by rummel on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:56 pm

  15. Jones Candy @ 1061

    The policy I support is the one that the Greens are proposing.

    It is the only one that has the interests of asylum seekers at heart.

    Yep, sure. Have you asked the 600 or so who drowned what their opinion is?

    by bemused on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:57 pm

  16. I support the Greens policy because it is the one that would be cheaper too.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:58 pm

  17. Gillard should call an election to see if the people agree with the action being proposed. Im sure the greens will agree.

    No need to.

    by Gary on Aug 13, 2012 at 11:58 pm

  18. Jones Candy @ 1065

    I support the Greens policy because it is the one that would be cheaper too.

    Of course. You greens don’t place any monetary value on lives lost.

    by bemused on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:00 am

  19. Jones Candy
    Posted Monday, August 13, 2012 at 11:58 pm | Permalink
    I support the Greens policy because it is the one that would be cheaper too.

    Nice, i like a cheep Detention plan. Save alot of cash having the boat people paying there own way across on a rickety boat.

    by rummel on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:00 am

  20. Some are unkind enough to suggest her legendary negotiating skill is based on giving away more than she has to.

    No not really. She is much more like the Liberal Party’s Manchurian candidate, by degrees, getting there.

    by Thomas. Paine. on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:00 am

  21. Gillard should call an election

    You’re Scot Morrison?

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:01 am

  22. The only poster that I agree with here is Fran Barlow.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:01 am

  23. Jones Candy,

    Care to posit an argument?

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:02 am

  24. I would only vote Labor if Bob Brown was the leader.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:02 am

  25. Jones Candy,

    The Earth is round.

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:03 am

  26. This little black duck
    Posted Tuesday, August 14, 2012 at 12:01 am | Permalink
    Gillard should call an election

    You’re Scot Morrison?

    QC

    by rummel on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:03 am

  27. I would only vote Labor if Bob Brown was the leader.

    You mean

    I would only vote Labor if Bob Brown were the leader.

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:04 am

  28. Jones Candy 1061

    You talk about policy with heart, I am wondering how do you feel about AS spending their hard earn money to crooks that then place them on unsafe boats that have seen hundreds of deaths.

    If you really care then why are you happy to see these people be taken advantage off.

    by mexicanbeemer on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:04 am

  29. “QC” does not compute. Input!

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:05 am

  30. I support the policy that the Greens support.

    This is why I support the Greens.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:06 am

  31. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/labor-caves-on-asylum-seekers-20120813-24559.html

    Labor caves on asylum seekers

    by rummel on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:06 am

  32. and push ahead with a harsher version of the Howard government’s ”Pacific solution”.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/labor-caves-on-asylum-seekers-20120813-24559.html#ixzz23R3I9Yrm

    ouch!

    by rummel on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:07 am

  33. Jones Candy – So you only support the policy because the Greens do. so if the Greens supported jumping off a cliff, can we take it that you would support that.

    by mexicanbeemer on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:07 am

  34. 1064

    They drowned because Australia`s migration obstruction policies stopped them getting on cheaper and safer planes. It is that simple.

    http://www.theglobalmail.org/feature/you-heard-were-stopping-the-boats-you-heard-wrong/335/

    by Tom the first and best on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:07 am

  35. the greens don’t support jumping off a cliff

    so this is a moot point.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:09 am

  36. Tom – These people are able to get a plane to the Asian region therefore they can choose to stay in Malaysia or Indonesia and then apply to move to Australia, they don’t need to waste their money on a boat ride.

    Asia is not a terrible place

    by mexicanbeemer on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:09 am

  37. I smell a Candy rat.

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:10 am

  38. Jones Chandy – Yes it may have been moot but so is claiming that you support the Greens policy because the greens support it.

    Is there a danger for any individual thought.

    by mexicanbeemer on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:10 am

  39. Jones Candy @ 1079

    I support the policy that the Greens support.

    This is why I support the Greens.

    You are clearly a “Greentard”.

    Reality will cure you.

    by bemused on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:11 am

  40. Just downloaded the report. Unlike rua I’m not a speed reader so I may be some time.

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:11 am

  41. 1085

    If it is not so bad to live where you have no legal status, why do people risk their lives on boats?

    by Tom the first and best on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:12 am

  42. I love a good troll when I am suppose to be studying lol

    by mexicanbeemer on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:12 am

  43. Jones Candy walks and talks like a Lib troll, i should know :)

    by rummel on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:12 am

  44. hey, who watches The Shire?

    is scott morrison going to be on it soon?

    by Jones Candy on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:12 am

  45. Abbott might give SA a miss.

    We’re one of the only places in Australia which has a Labor govt and Labor is not on the nose. Furthermore, the Libs have an ineffective leader who is living on borrowed time. Combine that with the fact that there is little net gain to be made from the seats here, I can understand Abbott prioritising other places.

    Also, if that means not seeing Abbott in the places I frequent, that works for me!

    by Carey Moore on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:12 am

  46. I miss the PB old sock puppet wars

    by rummel on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:13 am

  47. I don’t support the Liberals.

    I support the Greens.

    by Jones Candy on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:13 am

  48. rummel,

    Whatever you are, it’s not a troll.

    by This little black duck on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:13 am

  49. Jones Candy

    Why don’t you go and consult a good taxidermist?

    by bemused on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:13 am

  50. The aftermath for the shooting victims Only in America
    Only in America can victims of such a trauma face ruin because of bills for care
    _____________________
    Those lucky to survive the Aurora Cinema mass killing last week may not be so lucky when they get their hospital bills

    In the USA over 50 million have no health coverage an another 29 million have poor coverage
    It now seems that some of the victims in the Aurora killing now face huge a,cripling bills to pay for their care
    There are no free public hospitals…… the victims may face crippling bills on their leaving hospital
    This article looks at the crisis facing many survivors

    http://www.opednews.com/articles/Wendell-Potter-Only-in-Am-by-Wendell-Potter-120731-702.html

    by deblonay on Aug 14, 2012 at 12:13 am

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