Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research shows no real change on voting intention, with the Coalition still leading 56-44 from primary votes of 32% for Labor (down one), 49% for the Coalition (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Also featured are Essential’s monthly personal ratings, which likewise show little shift. Julia Gillard is down a point on both approval and disapproval, to 31% and 57%. Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 36% and down two to 51%, and his lead as preferred prime minister is up from 38-37 to 38-36 (I guess not too many people heard this then). A question on same-sex marriage finds 54% supportive and 33% opposed, respectively steady and down two on a year ago.
Preselection snippets:
• Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reports Gary “Angry” Anderson will seek Nationals preselection in Gilmore, the southern New South Wales seat which will be vacated at the election by the retirement of Liberal member Joanna Gash.
• In the neighbouring seat of Hume, where Liberal member Alby Schultz is retiring, Coorey further reports that state upper house MP Niall Blair is a further possibility as Nationals candidate, together with presumed front-runners Senator Fiona Nash and state government minister Katrina Hodgkinson. Leslie White of the Weekly Times recently reported both Nationals and Liberal internal polling had the Liberals ahead in the seat, but the Nationals remained confident they could win with Nash or Hodgkinson running.
• The Australian reports Matt Adamson, former Canberra, Penrith and national rugby league player, has been sounded out by the Liberals to run against Rob Oakeshott in Lyne. The Nationals have already endorsed David Gillespie, a local doctor who was best man at Tony Abbott’s wedding.
• The Victorian ALP has taken care of a whole bunch of preselection business, re-endorsing all sitting members and confirming Slater & Gordon lawyer Andrew Giles to succeed Harry Jenkins in Scullin, and United Voice official Lisa Chesters to succeed Steve Gibbons in Bendigo. The preselection for Melbourne will be held on August 26, with 2010 candidate Cath Bowtell considered the front-runner but Harvey Stern, president of Labor for Refugees Victoria, is also in the field.
• John Hogg, Queensland Labor Senator since 1996 and the chamber’s current President, has announced he will not re-contest the next election. Michael McKenna of The Australian reports Shop, Distributive and Allied Employees Union state secretary Chris Ketter is “among the frontrunners” to replace him as a Labor Senate candidate – remembering that Labor won three Senate seats in Queensland in 2007, and the party fears it may only win one next year.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Fulvio,
I don’t like gloaters much either, especially when they miss the main issue in pursuit of their own perceptions.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:24 pm
Deaths in Indo-China
________________
I understand that between 1945-1975 the Franch-US wars saw the deaths of over 4 million people
If the French had gone in 1945 Indo-China might have had a peaceful post-colonial transition…but the imperial powers never behave sensibily…as happened in Algeria in the late 1950ies…when it took De Gaulle to extract France from an unwinable war
by deblonay on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:25 pm
This little black duck,
I was always of the opinion that she came from Rocky and the media often mention that but according to Wikki, that is not so at all.
I know for a fact that she and her sister did a lot of competition riding at the kenrick Tucker Veladrome at North Rocky but it looks like the earlier years were spent in Mackay.
Just goes to show, you can’t believe everything you read in the media!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anna_Meares
by scorpio on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:26 pm
Today was a good day. Let’s all ring Joyce!
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:26 pm
Ducky, I was joking about WA, in case you got the wrong idea. I love the place.
The rest of Australia is ok too (in parts).
by Fulvio Sammut on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:28 pm
scorps,
Anna said today that she was a Rocky lass (lamingtons and rum, bless her!). Good enough for me.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:28 pm
If a “criminal nation” is one who indiscriminantly considers it has rights to bomb and land mine other countries (Cambodia) and invade them at will (Iraq/Grenada/Panama/etc etc), well yes USA is a criminal nation as was Soviet Russia for a time and the UK in the 19th century and Belgium and France. But does that term assist anything?
by swamprat on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:29 pm
Psephos may be able to inform us of the 1.5 million victims of the Serbian Holocaust and the criminals responsible. WWII pedants would know about this.
by Hamis Hill on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:30 pm
What most deployed soldiers experience.
Then howard springs children thrown overboard.
Personnally think howard, and his thugs which include abbott,ruddock,reith , etc are criminals.
by Schnappi on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:31 pm
Like the curate’s egg.
Even the rundown parts of Oz have a certain charm. Think the old mines at Bywong. Think the (less now than) twelve apostles, think …
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:31 pm
Meant to say ,why talk about criminals over 60 years ago, when we have our own uncharged ones.
by Schnappi on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:33 pm
This little black duck,
Blimey! Me too. We never knock back any famous person that wishes to make claim to the place.
Rocket Rod Laver of course being the “most” famous of them all!
by scorpio on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:33 pm
If the French had left in 1945 it might have been possible to construct a non-communist government strong enough to keep Ho Chi-Minh out of power, though that would have been hard given his standing. There might still have been a civil war. The communists might still have taken over the whole of Vietnam, and Lao as well. That would have been bad in many ways, but not I think as bad as what actually happened. It’s easy to be wise after the event, but even at the time it was clear that the French attempt to regain control of Indo-China was absolute folly, and played into the hands of the communists.
by Psephos on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:34 pm
3901
De Gaulle was put in charge because the French Army in Algeria basically threatened to use force to prevent withdrawal from Algeria. They even Landed paratroopers on Corsica. However de Gaulle ended up not withdrawing in Algeria. He also brought in the semi-presidential system of the 5th Republic replacing the parliamentary 4th Republic. Something he believed in but was/is wrong.
by Tom the first and best on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:34 pm
[Think the (less now than) twelve apostles[
I travelled that part of the country some years ago and love it. A special place.
by confessions on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:34 pm
Re W.A
____
I must say there is something wierd about some folks in W/A
When I was last there there was a TV add about how their mining windfall was being taken away by evil easterners
I am old enough to remember when WA and Qland were deemed “mendicant” states(try “beggers’),,and when good money was syphoned off for their needs from the Eastern states
But all that fades when one sees the feral behaviour of the West Coast Eagles football supporters
Last Friday’s behaviour when a Geelong player Hawkins was concussed after a mark was despicable and just plain moronic
Their very presence pollutes the competition
by deblonay on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:35 pm
Psephos: Notice how the Left, online and off, demands that the ALP adopt Socialism?
Didn’t the Socialist Alliance only get 2 percent of the vote?
It’s nice to know that they think we can all go back to the 1970s
by Paul Austin on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:35 pm
by Gecko on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:35 pm
I realise modern politicians will rarely surprise with innovation but I wish we had a law making it necessary for a full OPEN Royal Commission whenever Australian armed forces are stationed overseas. NO politician, public servant or anyone else would be exempt for full accountability to the people as to what happened.
That may make ‘them’ think seriously before they committed troops to overseas adventures.
by swamprat on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:35 pm
I’m curious as to why smoke companies can’t just remove the dangerous chemicals from their products.
Surely that would be a win-win, smokers can keep puffing and smoke companies can advertise to their hearts content.
by mexicanbeemer on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:36 pm
Austentatious
Adopt socialism????? The Labour Party WAS a fabian socialist party. It has spent the last 20 years abandoning socialism.
What are you on about??? See a Doctor sunshine!!
by swamprat on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:37 pm
I object to the appropriation of the word “Holocaust” to events other than the Nazi genocide of the Jews.
That said, are you referring to the Nazi-Ustase massacres of Serbs during World War II, or the Serbian massacres of Bosniaks during the post-Yugoslav wars? There have been a lot of massacres in that part of the world.
by Psephos on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:38 pm
John Winston Howard will go down in history as a female genitalia (vulg.) who changed Australia from a feel-good country to one of self-entitlement, of xenophobia and of I am alright Jack and everyone else can get stuffed.
Tampa settled that for me. I almost cried as I sent an apology for our bastardy to Norway’s main newspaper.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:38 pm
No, I can’t say I’ve noticed this, but I don’t pay much attention to what the left says any more.
by Psephos on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:39 pm
Yes, because the behaviour of football patrons should dictate policy direction on important national issues.
Is this really where the Greens have ended up today? Bob Brown must be tearing his hair out.
by confessions on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:39 pm
Scorpio @ 3763
Oh yes there is that
Shucks… you know what I meant!
by Gecko on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:40 pm
Tom 3913
________.De gaulle did stave off a right-wing coup and then designed a new constitution for the 5th Republic
But your wrong re the withdrawal from Algeria
De Gaulle was in power for the whole period of time whwich saw the end of French colonialism in Algeria,,,and the withdrawal of the French”colons” from Algeria
by deblonay on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:40 pm
I had a guided tour of the remoter parts of the Hunter Valley a couple of years ago from a good friend who grew up there. Very impressed. I finally had an appreciation of the bushranger stories I had often heard about but seemed so improbable from the perspective of the dry and desert areas of WA which were so familiar to me.
We had our rogues too, but the settings of their crimes were nowhere near as beautiful and romantic.
by Fulvio Sammut on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:40 pm
Teh greens still think they are the governent, time to get jiggy wit it.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-08-15/senate-debates-bill-on-offshore-processing-of-asylum-seekers/4201062
by Schnappi on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:42 pm
Psephos,
The Jews spun the word “holocaust” to their own purpose much as the homosexuals did “gay”.
Our language is much the poorer for the loss of both. And, yes, I know that language moves on but I resent the hijacking of it.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:43 pm
Psephos, you are Labor, right?
But you don’t pay much attention to the ‘left’. right?
So let me understand: Your muse is Barnaby Joyce? Mirrabella? Bishop?
No it is our very former Rupert???
by swamprat on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:43 pm
Swamprat:
Since I have cerebral palsy your comparison of me to the comedian Austin Tayshush is offensive as well as unneeded. Our liver playing us up again?
by Paul Austin on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:44 pm
deblonay,
Blimey eh! Always thought that Queensland was an eastern State. Must have looked at the map the wrong way round!
I think you are sadly wRONg about Qld economic history also. The discovery of gold at Gympie saw Qld avoid bankruptcy and the development of the Bowen Basin coal fields hasn’t done a lot of harm either.
I think for the past century, Qld has led in beef, wool, cottton and wheat production also. The Qld Government has had a fully covered public superannuation scheme for decades and of course had a free hospital scheme since about 1920.
Even just a little research would show your claim to be baloney. Us Qld’ers will be happy to receive an apology though!
by scorpio on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:45 pm
For the same reason that breweries don’t remove alcohol: the addictive quality.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:45 pm
That’s an extremely offensive, ignorant and stupid comment, in both respects.
by Psephos on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:45 pm
3921
There is argument that Holocaust should refer to all those murdered by the Nazis because of who they were.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Holocaust
by Tom the first and best on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:46 pm
I am Labor Right, right?
No I don’t, right.
by Psephos on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:46 pm
TLBD
Oh dear, how dare we prefer to be “gay” rather than “poofter”. I am sorry we “spun” a word you hold sacred. I prefer to call you a “breeder” or is that “spin”!!!
The word “holocaust” is from the Hebrew “Shoah”. I think the Jews have a right to “spin” it.
by swamprat on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:47 pm
Rummel @ 3820
Gold pass for brigade training (impressive selfless act and quite heroic IMO) Unfortunately cancelled out by following horseshit… But hope for you yet… vote 1 Gillard you know you want to.
by Gecko on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:47 pm
As that famous WWII pedant should know it was the Brits who occupied Vietnam in 1945.
And were forced to arm their Japanese prisoners of war so they could defend themselves against reprisals from the Vietnamese who had continued to fight against their invaders during the war.
Dr Stephen Fitzgerald, author of the The History of South East Asia, who went on to be Whitlam’s ambassador to China, showed that the Vietnamese were nationalists not communists. It follows, as Robert MacNamarra admitted, that the Vietnam war was a mistake. Psephos may wish to comment.
by Hamis Hill on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:47 pm
It can only be offensive if he knew that, Paul. Have you mentioned this fact here before?
by Psephos on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:48 pm
Paul,
Accusing posters of being insensitive to someone when said poster doesn’t know of the sensitivity is very bad form.
I’m very pleased that your “affliction” in no way has diminished your prowess with words.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:48 pm
Any supporter of Australian Rules by that very fact raises doubts about his capacities, irrespective of state boundaries …
by Fulvio Sammut on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:48 pm
3939
The British also used the Japanese soldiers in the Dutch East Indies/Indonesia.
by Tom the first and best on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:49 pm
Gecko,
Yeah. I am a bit
sometimes.
by scorpio on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:50 pm
swamprat,
I don’t hold language as sacred. I just bemoan its hijacking. I couldn’t really give a stuff about verbs being nominalized or nouns being verbalized
The word “gay” has / had a meaning which no other word in English could convey and I am very unhappy that it has been stolen from me.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:52 pm
Psephos
“Labor Right” what a contradiction. Talk about tits on a bull.
To me the Labor Right means the criminal clique in NSW who’s aim seems to have been to maximise the prison population,stuff up transport, give privilidges to developers. Be generally useless and dirty.
A sensible and honest LIberal Government (if it ever existed) would be more useful than a Labor Right one.
by swamprat on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:53 pm
Just so, Psephos.
by This little black duck on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:53 pm
Black Duck i really do have cerebral palsy. I have a paralysed left side and face.
by Paul Austin on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:55 pm
i saw those figure hugging Lycra (rubber ?) numbers in a den of iniquity once – very impressive work…. how they got into them I’ll never know.
by Gecko on Aug 15, 2012 at 11:56 pm