Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research shows no real change on voting intention, with the Coalition still leading 56-44 from primary votes of 32% for Labor (down one), 49% for the Coalition (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Also featured are Essential’s monthly personal ratings, which likewise show little shift. Julia Gillard is down a point on both approval and disapproval, to 31% and 57%. Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 36% and down two to 51%, and his lead as preferred prime minister is up from 38-37 to 38-36 (I guess not too many people heard this then). A question on same-sex marriage finds 54% supportive and 33% opposed, respectively steady and down two on a year ago.
Preselection snippets:
• Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reports Gary “Angry” Anderson will seek Nationals preselection in Gilmore, the southern New South Wales seat which will be vacated at the election by the retirement of Liberal member Joanna Gash.
• In the neighbouring seat of Hume, where Liberal member Alby Schultz is retiring, Coorey further reports that state upper house MP Niall Blair is a further possibility as Nationals candidate, together with presumed front-runners Senator Fiona Nash and state government minister Katrina Hodgkinson. Leslie White of the Weekly Times recently reported both Nationals and Liberal internal polling had the Liberals ahead in the seat, but the Nationals remained confident they could win with Nash or Hodgkinson running.
• The Australian reports Matt Adamson, former Canberra, Penrith and national rugby league player, has been sounded out by the Liberals to run against Rob Oakeshott in Lyne. The Nationals have already endorsed David Gillespie, a local doctor who was best man at Tony Abbott’s wedding.
• The Victorian ALP has taken care of a whole bunch of preselection business, re-endorsing all sitting members and confirming Slater & Gordon lawyer Andrew Giles to succeed Harry Jenkins in Scullin, and United Voice official Lisa Chesters to succeed Steve Gibbons in Bendigo. The preselection for Melbourne will be held on August 26, with 2010 candidate Cath Bowtell considered the front-runner but Harvey Stern, president of Labor for Refugees Victoria, is also in the field.
• John Hogg, Queensland Labor Senator since 1996 and the chamber’s current President, has announced he will not re-contest the next election. Michael McKenna of The Australian reports Shop, Distributive and Allied Employees Union state secretary Chris Ketter is “among the frontrunners” to replace him as a Labor Senate candidate – remembering that Labor won three Senate seats in Queensland in 2007, and the party fears it may only win one next year.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
I am glad I stayed watching that. Windsor gave Abbott both barrells.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:34 pm
@TheKouk: I think Mr Windsor just made the evening news….
by guytaur on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:34 pm
Today is the day Abbott realised he would never be PM.
by ruawake on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:34 pm
Momentous speech by TW.
A turning point if the MSM report it!
by psyclaw on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:35 pm
He was early in the speech at least, Ducky, raising his hands and smiling defensively while Windsor was going at him.
by triton on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:35 pm
This is STUNNING! Tony is fooorrrked
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:35 pm
People must be lining up to congratulate Tony Windsor.
Prissy tried to stop him but Anna wasn’t having any.
by This little black duck on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:35 pm
I hope TW’s speech quickly makes it to You Tube.
by BK on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:35 pm
Doyle on 24 lost it laughing trying to describe Windsor effort.
by guytaur on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:36 pm
Windsor should be knighted. Services to his country. Well worth waiting through QT for.
Go Tony
by Dong on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:36 pm
I think Mr Windsor might be beginning to realise how screwed things are in regards to the next election and the dynamics going on outside the policy debate
by spur212 on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:36 pm
Tony Windsor was very very angry.
by This little black duck on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:37 pm
The ABC tv presenter actually repeated the arse remark!
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:37 pm
By the way Tone. YOU started it today!
by BK on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:37 pm
Abbott: “ok. How much will you give for my arse”
by psyclaw on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:37 pm
spur212
Wtf are you on about
by victoria on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:37 pm
Tweets keep pouring in on Assange. A large fraction express disbelief that the UK would raid an embassy over this.
by triton on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:37 pm
Did the video show MT’s face during Windsor’s chat about TA ?
by poroti on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:38 pm
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
I hope it makes it onto YouTube! I’ll keep replaying it till I run out of RAM!
by scorpio on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:39 pm
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/health/health-fund-membership-growth-defies-doomsday-forecasts/story-fn59nokw-1226451843299
by citizen on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:39 pm
@JulianBurnside: Bob Carr “confident Assange will get fair trial in Sweden”. Can someone tell him they only want him for questioning http://t.co/V2A9hJF1
by guytaur on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:40 pm
Sky have managed to find a way to talk about anything but what Windsor said. They’ve been slow on the uptake in the past, so we’ll see how they’re reporting it in a couple of hours.
by Aguirre on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:40 pm
Guytaur #4736 – that was funny but thanks to Tony Windsor we got “2010 confidential” instead!
by Marrickville Mauler on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:40 pm
To quote Ward “Pally” Austin: “A rickapoodie and a fandoogalie”.
by This little black duck on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:40 pm
Aguirre
I have it on Sky. Amazing how they did talk about every other topic, but Windsor’s outburst. What a frickin joke!
by victoria on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:41 pm
@TheGlobalMail: Whales at James Price Point? What whales!??? (check out this #awesome #gif!) http://t.co/M8IohKZF pics by @mpbowers #JPP #LNG
by guytaur on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:42 pm
As TW spoke, Abbott’s manic smile formed involuntarily on his lips. Caught out as liar red handed again. Where’s Pell? Confession is needed, now!
Abbott loses by4 votes. Easy!
by psyclaw on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:42 pm
Victoria
He wouldn’t do this sort of thing just because Abbott is a disgrace
by spur212 on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:43 pm
Rampant bias by selective omission!
by BK on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:43 pm
@nancycato1 Wow, that Tony Windsor’s speech is the most stirring I have since in the Parliament for a long long time #QT
by The Finnigans on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:43 pm
Today Tony Windsor demolished Tony Abbott.
by gigi on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:43 pm
BK,
You missed it by that much!
by This little black duck on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:43 pm
yes, Abbott was in the chamber – with a shit-eating grin – as Tony Windsor told him what he really thought about him.
by sprocket_ on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:43 pm
Julia Gillard PM is so respectful and gracious in her remarks about Matthew Franklin.
by fiona on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:44 pm
spur212
Isnt that enough?
by victoria on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:44 pm
Tone sounds a little horse!
by This little black duck on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:44 pm
What is funny BK and Aguirre is that Sky will have to show it as everyone else is.
by guytaur on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:44 pm
And f***n’ Abbott can’t keep grubby politics out of it.
by fiona on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:44 pm
TLBD,
Neigh…
by fiona on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:45 pm
Ash Bimbo said wtte that Boats dominated Parliament today? Which Parliament did she watch?
by ruawake on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:45 pm
Did Tone just say he bribes journalists?
by This little black duck on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:45 pm
Tony Windsor dropping truth bombs is the highlight of the parliamentary session, and I cannot imagine it being topped.
by Burgey on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:46 pm
@ABCReligion: Uniting Church Pres. @AndrewDutney on why the #Houston report on #asylumseekers is un-Christian. http://t.co/rdh8gtXb (ping @JulianBurnside)
by guytaur on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:46 pm
Personal explanation time.
by This little black duck on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:46 pm
Yep, massively important. Carbon’s boring, no one is angry about it but Abbott. The hacks want something new, something interesting, but most of all they want blood. They want a killing season. If they can’t have Gillard’s head, well maybe Tone’s can be arranged? You can demean them Tony, you can lie to them, but don’t bore them, and don’t ever give them the smell of blood or they’ll go after you without pity.
by ratsak on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:46 pm
spur212
It does make one wonder what Tony has been up to that we do not know about.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:47 pm
Abbott tells lies about telling the truth.
by ruawake on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:47 pm
I respect Windsor the most in the current parliament. His words today carry a great deal of weightl. He has had a gutful of Abbott and is crap. The message is loud and clear.
by victoria on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:49 pm
Poroti
Don’t think MT was there unfortunately.
The Colonition had trooped out when Mr Combet began the reply.
The dopes didn’t have a clue T W was hiding in the grass ready to pounce.
Methinks Albo and TW had it prearranged for the next SSO.
TW obviously has had enough of Abbott’s trashing the Parl and now has formally drawn a line in the sand.
by psyclaw on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:49 pm
Well done tony windsor
Liberal leadership challenge is nigh i say and tony windsor was reminding those in the liberals that abbott would have brought in a carbon tax
by Meguire Bob on Aug 16, 2012 at 3:49 pm