It was well understood that Ted Baillieu's government was sitting a lot less pretty than conservative counterparts in other states. Nonetheless, the results of the latest bi-monthly Newspoll will come as a shock to it.
GhostWhoVotes relates a shock Newspoll result of Victorian state voting intention for September-October, with the Labor opposition opening up a 55-45 lead after drawing even last time. Labor is up six points on the primary vote to 41% against 37% for the Coalition, who are down four, with the Greens steady on 13%. Ted Baillieu now has a minus 22 net approval rating, his approval down one to 31% and disapproval up three to 53%. However, Opposition Leader Daniel Andrews’ ratings remain mediocre, his approval up one to 29% and disapproval steady on 36%. Baillieu’s lead as preferred premier has narrowed from 40-26 to to 39-30.
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.