Wherein NSW Labor trails on the two-party vote in Newspoll by less than 20 points for the first time since March-April 2010.
I wouldn’t quite go popping the champagne corks yet if I were them, but the latest bi-monthly Newspoll of state voting intention finds NSW Labor with a four in front of its two-party vote for the first time in well over two years. The two-party result of 59-41 for September-October compares with 61-39 in July-August, from primary votes of 45% for the Coalition (down two), 28% for Labor (up one) and 11% for the Greens (down one). On both measures, this is the best result for Labor and the worst for the Coalition since March-April 2010. Significantly, Barry O’Farrell’s net approval rating has hit the negative for the first time, his approval down a point to 36% and disapproval up five to 42%. However, John Robertson is doing no better, his approval down one to 25% and disapproval up five to 39%. O’Farrell’s lead as preferred premier is 46-22, down from 47-18.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
The Poll Bludger, who is known to his mother as William Bowe, can be contacted at: pollbludger-at-bigpond.com.
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