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NSW Politics

Jan 3, 2013

Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition in NSW

The November-December Newspoll result for state voting intention in New South Wales is little changed from September-October, suggesting Labor has only made modest gains since the March 2011 election wipeout.

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The latest bi-monthly Newspoll result of state voting intention in New South Wales shows the Coalition retaining a commanding 59-41 lead on two-party preferred, unchanged on the result for September-October. This brings to an end a run of three successive polls in which Labor made slight gains, paring the Coalition lead back from the devastating March 2011 election result of 64.2-35.8. The current poll has Labor up a point on the primary vote to 29%, which for what is worth is a new post-election high, with the Coalition steady on 45% (the six point drop since the election has come entirely off the vote for the Nationals, who are down from 12.5% to 6%) and the Greens steady on 11%. John Robertson’s personal ratings have improved slightly, his approval up two to 27% and disapproval down six to 33%, while Barry O’Farrell is respectively up two to 38% and down two to 40%. O’Farrell’s lead as preferred premier is little changed, shifting from 46-22 to 44-21. Full tables from GhostWhoVotes.

Still to come from Newspoll’s state polling vaults are the November-December result for Victoria and, most importantly, the October-December result for Western Australia, where an election looms on March 9.

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

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