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Happy new year

Comments return to the Poll Bludger after two weeks of hot-weather hibernation.

Welcome back. While we were away:

• Newspoll published state results for every mainland state except Western Australia, where an election will be held on March 9, the result for which can presumably be expected shortly. There was also Newspoll’s quarterly geographical and demographic aggregate for federal voting intention. Essential Research provided state voting intention results for the three largest states, exclusive to the Poll Bludger. Posts on each of these releases can be found below this one.

• Newspoll also published results from its mid-December poll finding improving confidence for standard of living, with 13% expecting an improvement over the next six months (up one), 58% expecting it to stay the same (up eight) and 27% expecting it to worsen (down nine). GhostWhoVotes also provided Newspoll findings from a mid-year survey into appreciation of the ABC, which was found to be immensely and deservedly greater than anything the organisation’s critics at News Limited could ever dream of.

• A generally commendable discussion paper on electoral reform by the Queensland government caught the attention of the media and the federal government by floating, among many other things, the possibility that compulsory voting might be abolished. In this it was no different from the green paper composed for the Rudd government in 2009 by then Special Minister of State John Faulkner, but such has been the Newman government’s penchant for radicalism that its thought bubbles are being treated with greater than usual seriousness.

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  • 101
    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:24 am | Permalink

    Rossmore@100


    Bemused, welcome back from detention.

    Thanks Rossmore.
    I am not sure what my status was after 27th December but decided I would not post on that blog of infamy, as to do so would only lend it credibility it did not deserve.
    It was interesting to see how a little power brought out the inner bully in some.

    I noted you did not join in. :)

  • 102
    Rossmore
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:30 am | Permalink

    http://www.salon.com/2013/01/04/imf_economists_apologize_for_austerity_forecasts/

    More evidence the ALP got the response to the GFC exactly right.

  • 103
    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:34 am | Permalink

    Rossmore @ 102

    Indeed, and the Govt should get far more aggressive in publicising the facts on that.

    Of course to some there is a major impediment to doing so.

  • 104
    DisplayName
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:36 am | Permalink

    Happy New Year, all.

  • 105
    confessions
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:40 am | Permalink

    Seems everyone wants to have a go at determining what will decide the next election. Today’s Mumble:
    http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/mumble/index.php/theaustralian/comments/two_questions/

  • 106
    BH
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:45 am | Permalink

    Happy New Year Bludgers. Almost a year to work on getting the good guys re-elected so go to it with gusto and may you all have a very healthy and relatively peaceful 2013.

    Gaffhook – I loved Murdoch’s earlier tweet which OH read out to me with the comment that the message is out to the boyos today.

    Rupert Murdoch ‏@rupertmurdoch
    Why not switch from useless renewable energy investments to real job creating infrastructure projects. Many great possibilities waiting.

  • 107
    Peter of Marino
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:45 am | Permalink

    A belated happy,safe and prosperous New Year to all the Bludgers.

  • 108
    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:50 am | Permalink

    Mumble’s piece today is uncomfortably close to the truth if things remain as they are.

    But of course they won’t we don’t know what will happen between now and the election that could be a game changer – either way.

  • 109
    Laocoon
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:50 am | Permalink

    bomberrose

    Didn’t get a reply though.

    What a surprise!

    The Australian MSM demand transparency from all. Except themselves it seems…

  • 110
    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:51 am | Permalink

    Rossmore, would you like me to comment on MYKI and the Melbourne rail system? :D

  • 111
    Laocoon
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:57 am | Permalink

    bemused @ 98

    I am left wondering what George Pell is thinking about all the reports of the stances Abbott supposedly adopts on birth control, abortion and IVF

    Indeed, I was struck by this too, in particular, from the March 2004 report, from which Abbott is quoted as ‘abortion was the “easy way out”‘, comes this direct quote, an absolute clanger:

    "Aborting a foetus is not morally identical to deliberately killing a living human being..."

    http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/16/1079199224910.html

    This is just about fundamentally contradictory in every aspect to the Church’s teaching on the matter

    Human life must be respected and protected absolutely from the moment of conception.

    From the first moment of his existence, a human being must be recognized as having the rights of a person - among which is the inviolable right of every innocent being to life...

    http://www.vatican.va/archive/ENG0015/__P7Z.HTM#-2C6

  • 112
    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:03 am | Permalink

    Laocoon @ 111

    Abbott’s purported stance puts him so far out of line with Catholic teachings that there must be incredible tensions building up, bot within him and externally with the likes of George Pell.

    I don’t see how things can stand as they are with Abbott walking both sides of the street.

  • 113
    Meguire Bob
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:07 am | Permalink

    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 9:50 am | Permalink

    Mumble’s piece today is uncomfortably close to the truth if things remain as they are.

    ———————————-

    Yes Gillard will still be pm in 2014

    mumble predictions like the rest from news ltd to richardson

    you can be sure it wont happen

  • 114
    Meguire Bob
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:08 am | Permalink

    mumble has to follow the news ltd agenda, and continue to support their man abbott

  • 115
    Laocoon
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:24 am | Permalink

    bemused

    I don’t see how things can stand as they are with Abbott walking both sides of the street.

    I wouldn’t worry about that particularly.

    The Age is quoting Abbott at Adelaide Uni – he was probably BS-ing the audience tailoring his message to the audience, not like it was his “true” position….much like AGW, Carbon Tax, paid parental leave, Workchoices, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera…

  • 116
    Laocoon
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:26 am | Permalink

    …OR GST reform – WA version or Tasmania version

    Doesn’t take long to come up with a sumptuous list of Abbott lies policy inconsistencies

  • 117
    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:32 am | Permalink

    Laocoon @ 115

    It does not worry me in the least. Quite the contrary. I think it will create enormous difficulties for Abbott. For example, how long can Pell remain silent? Or if not Pell, then someone else in the Catholic hierarchy.

    Abbott has until now been their uber-Catholic political champion and now he is publicly spurning their cherished beliefs.

    What will be going on in the shadow ministry between Abbott and the likes of Kevin Andrews?

  • 118
    poroti
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:36 am | Permalink

    bemused @98

    Tones comments leave him plenty of wriggle room ,I’m sure he remains a faithful Pellite.

  • 119
    Laocoon
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:41 am | Permalink

    bemused 117

    Pell may have his hands rather full with the Royal Commission shortly!

    Having said that, I came across this comment recently by Cardinal Marc Ouellet, prefect of the congregation of bishops (a papabile), that might encourage a more out-spoken approach as you suggest:

    “Today, especially in the context of our secularized societies, we need bishops who are the first evangelizers, and not mere administrators of dioceses, who are capable of proclaiming the Gospel, who are not only theologically faithful to the magisterium and the pope but are also capable of expounding and, if need be, of defending the faith publicly.”

    http://www.catholic-sf.org/news_select.php?newsid=2&id=59407

  • 120
    bemused
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:43 am | Permalink

    poroti @ 118

    I must have missed the wriggle room.
    Perhaps he is just telling bare faced lies with an understanding with George that he can ‘fess up in private and all will be forgiven. :evil:

  • 121
    BH
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:47 am | Permalink

    briefly – Just as I enjoy your posts here I thoroughly enjoyed your writings on your blog.

    confessions – will give Mumbles a miss if he’s on with his predictions about the PM again. He used to a never miss for me but not since he went to the OO.

  • 122
    lizzie
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    Monsanto's money-making myth exposed as a failure.
    The US Department of Agriculture's review of Monsanto's own data shows that years of investment into so-called "drought-tolerant" biotech crops have been nothing more than a risky and very expensive failure. Monsanto's new "drought-tolerant" genetically-modified corn variety MON 87460 does not perform any better than non-GMO varieties.

    Ignoring the data, on December 21, 2011, the Department of Agriculture (USDA) announced it would allow unlimited planting of MON 87460. The company and the USDA have both admitted the crop will fare only modestly better than current conventional varieties under low- and moderate-level drought conditions. This means that this corn will be useful only for a fraction of corn acres – just 15 percent by USDA estimates.

    http://14andout.blogspot.ca/2012/08/drought-tolerant-gmo-corn-failing.html

  • 123
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:00 am | Permalink

    Abbott’s main goal is the PMship. Everything, including public statements of faith, is secondary to that goal or is a means too it.
    To understand Abbott this needs to be understood.

  • 124
    fiona
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:01 am | Permalink

    William Bowe,

    ... hot-weather hibernation.

    The technical term is estivation.

    Happy New Year to you, and to all Bludgers and lurkers.

  • 125
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:01 am | Permalink

    hi lizzie.

  • 126
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:02 am | Permalink

    Yes Puff, as Windsor said, Abbott would do anything but sell his arse for the prize, and even that may be in play

    I am hoping that Windsor releases those voice mail messages during the next campaign

  • 127
    BK
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:02 am | Permalink

    Or is it all a put up job with a wink and a nod from George?

    Bemused
    If his own hide is to be protected Pell will say or do anything.

  • 128
    Leroy
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:03 am | Permalink

    http://www.wabusinessnews.com.au/article/Todays-Business-Headlines-933
    Skim the business (and other) newspaper headlines

    http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/12/crazy-military-jobs/

    The 8 Craziest Job Openings in the Military-Industrial Complex
    BY NOAH SHACHTMAN AND ROBERT BECKHUSEN12.28.126:30 AM

    Andrew discusses Credlin & Ashby
    http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/2013/01/all-your-eggs-in-one-fridge.html

    07 January 2013
    Exit strategy
    The Coalition had hoped to win the 2013 election with a series of stunts that boxed Labor into a range of narrow, unpopular positions while enabling the Coalition to basically cruise into office promising anything and nothing. Everyone in the Coalition has been devoted to that strategy and it worked, for a while.

    Now the strategy starting to fall apart. The government is occupying more positions that are less unpopular and looking more like a government. It is in a position to challenge the Coalition to prove itself rather than being able to maintain the position that all politicians dream of: to have their words taken at face value.

  • 129
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:05 am | Permalink

    So, did anyone pick up some juicy gossip over the holiday break and if so, can you share it with us? :evil:

  • 130
    poroti
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:05 am | Permalink

    Wow, Amanda Vanstone telling people to quit moaning and to look around to see how good things are in Australia.Who knows, perhaps antiroonism and BISON spotting will become fashionable in 2013 ? She does also go yah boo sucks to pollies in a pox on both their houses kind of way though. Current vote after 5,000 votes, 82% Aussies = whingers.

    Stop whingeing and get up early to beat the January blues

    Australians used to joke about whingeing Poms but I fear we have adopted that rather unattractive trait as our own.....
    It is just interesting that so many people who are happy to put the boot into parliamentarians do not appear to have tried to excel in their own work. We have a new class of people who appear quite happy to just be critical of others for not meeting the excellence bar..........
    I will use these normal Australians as my inspiration to get on with it. Look around, you'll see great Australians everywhere, that'll get you going

    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/stop-whingeing-and-get-up-early-to-beat-the-january-blues-20130106-2cb3k.html#ixzz2HF61pdGa

  • 131
    Lance Boyle
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:05 am | Permalink

    Tones comments leave him plenty of wriggle room ,I’m sure he remains a faithful Pellite.

    “Pellite” will never do. George will never endorse a new light brand offshoot. *joke*

  • 132
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:06 am | Permalink

    Mumble is no less a partisan hack than other news ltd stable mates. How can he be so confident that the Labor comeback will not continue? If he is supposedly a poll observer/ commentator, how about actually looking at the numbers through an objective lens?

    How does he justify his comment that, “On current settings, the answer in 2013 will be a fist-raising, celebratory ‘yes!’ to question one” ie. the question of do voters want a change of government, with the two 50-50 Newspolls?

  • 133
    lizzie
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:08 am | Permalink

    All the happies, Puff.

    BTW whenever a plea for a lost dog comes into my twitterstream, I always think of you and retweet it. Probably doesn’t help anyone, especially if it’s NT or Qld, but I just think a miracle might happen.

  • 134
    confessions
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:09 am | Permalink

    Poroti:

    Wow indeed from van stone! Shocked.

  • 135
    adrian
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:09 am | Permalink

    Andrew Elder, is without doubt one of the best commentators going around, be it OM, NM, MSM or just M, if you see what I mean.

    I wouldn’t mind if someone from the OM could employ someone with his command of the English language, never mind their political orientation. Unfortunately the vast majority of Australian political writers, are dull, predicable and pedestrian writers. And that’s before you get started on what they say!

  • 136
    confessions
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:12 am | Permalink

    Andrew:

    I agree re elder. If labor do win the election he will be entitled to serious bragging rights.!

  • 137
    Leroy
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:14 am | Permalink

    http://theconversation.edu.au/printed-journalism-may-be-dying-but-books-still-have-a-future-10840

    2 January 2013, 7.37am AEST
    Printed journalism may be dying, but books still have a future
    John Potts
    Professor of Media at Macquarie University

    http://www.abc.net.au/am/content/2013/s3665031.htm

    GP's the front line in reporting domestic violence
    Alison Caldwell reported this story on Monday, January 7, 2013 08:18:00

    ASHLEY HALL: There are calls today for all new GP's to be trained to recognise the signs of domestic violence.

    They've been prompted by a recent survey in Victoria that found family violence is the leading cause of death and ill health in women of child bearing age.

    Currently, maternity and child health workers receive training, as well as police. But a leading academic says it's now time to make sure all doctors recognise the signs too.

  • 138
    poroti
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:16 am | Permalink

    Lance Boyle

    Good point. How about Pellian ?

  • 139
    Leroy
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:19 am | Permalink

    http://www.abc.net.au/local/stories/2013/01/07/3665161.htm

    7 January, 2013 9:38AM ACST
    Former CLP campaigner slams Government
    By Clare Rawlinson

    A former CLP campaign manager has resigned from the party, joining protests against the Mills Government budget changes and predicting a leadership challenge.

    Professor Don Fuller managed Francis Xavier's election campaign last year, leading him to a 16 per cent swing and narrow win in the seat of Arafura.

    He told 105.7 Breakfast he has since left the party after unexpected price hikes in Power and Water tariffs and a failed bid to continue working with Mr Xavier after the election.

  • 140
    imacca
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:19 am | Permalink

    From Elders piece:

    When people like Peta Credlin start heading for the exit only a fool would stick around on the expectation of victory.

    LoL!

  • 141
    BH
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:22 am | Permalink

    lizzie – I wonder how the wheat and canola crops would stand comparison (GM) v non GMO)
    http://14andout.blogspot.ca/2012/08/drought-tolerant-gmo-corn-failing.html

  • 142
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:25 am | Permalink

    lizzie
    that is good of you to rt lost pets. one never knows whovwill see it. plus people will be more willing to report found and roaming animals. social media has transformed lost and found for pets and brought people out of tbe woodwork who sre stillblooking for tbeir pets after years. so this feeds into more awareness of what to do. i regarly give advice on posters etc for ppl who have los5 pets. the volunteer facebook page Lost Dogs of Adelaide (which actuallybis for all animals) now has over 12000 followers.

    before social media getting your pets photo out to 12000 people for free was impossible.

    It is worth somesort of social research study I reckon.

  • 143
    Dee
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:25 am | Permalink

    Is Peta Credlin still married?
    Seems rather strange, spilling your guts about a deeply personal issue totally ignoring the partner in your life.
    Instead she chose to use this issue as an attempt to soften Rabbott’s image.

    Speaks volumes about their relationship! :wink:

  • 144
    BH
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:25 am | Permalink

    imacca – I also wondered if the Credlin piece was to highlight that a good Liberal Party woman was not ‘deliberately barren’ as Bill Heffernan would say.

  • 145
    poroti
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:25 am | Permalink

    confessions

    Do you think this bit is directed at journalists ?
    “It is just interesting that so many people who are happy to put the boot into parliamentarians do not appear to have tried to excel in their own work.”

  • 146
    Leroy
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:27 am | Permalink

    http://t.co/r9sXgIgJ (click google link, its in the Oz)

    Glencore chief Simon Murray launches private navy to combat Somali pirate threat
    BY: NICHOLAS HELLEN From: The Times
    January 06, 2013 11:55AM

    BRITAIN’S first private navy in almost two centuries is being created by a group of businessmen to take on the Somali pirates who are terrorising an expanse of the Indian Ocean.

    Its armed vessels – including a 10,000-ton mother ship and high-speed armoured patrol boats – will be led by a former Royal Navy commodore. He is recruiting 240 former marines and other sailors for the force.

  • 147
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:27 am | Permalink

    posting from phone.

  • 148
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:27 am | Permalink

    typos

  • 149
    confessions
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:32 am | Permalink

    Poroti:

    Yes I thought the same thing. Very telling.

  • 150
    confessions
    Posted Monday, January 7, 2013 at 11:33 am | Permalink

    Poroti:

    Yes I thought the same thing. Very telling.

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