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Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Newspoll has opened its account for 2013 with an encouraging result for Labor, recording a primary vote six points higher than the previous poll of December 7-9.

The result of the first Newspoll for 2013 has been reported by AAP (your guess as to how that’s come about is as good as mine) and almost simultaneously by the ever-reliable James J, and it’s a relatively encouraging one for Labor who trail just 51-49 on two-party preferred, down from 54-46 in the final poll of 2012. The primary votes are 38% for Labor, up six on last time, with the Coalition and the Greens both down two, to 44% and 9% respectively. Julia Gillard is up two on approval to 38% and down three on disapproval to 49% while Tony Abbott is up one to 29% and down one to 58%. Gillard leads as preferred prime minister by 45-33, up from 43-34.

UPDATE (16/1/13): A Morgan face-to-face result covering both the previous two weekends (and presumably warranting more than the usual degree of caution on account of the holiday period) has the Coalition leading 51-49 when preferences are distributed as per the 2010 election result, and by 52-48 according to respondent allocation. The primary votes are 36.5% for Labor, 41.5% for the Coalition and 10.5% for the Greens. This follows what now looks an aberrant result in the final poll of last year, when Labor led 53.5-46.5 on previous election preferences and 52.5-47.5 on respondent-allocated.

UPDATE (19/1/13): AAP reports a ReachTEL poll of 511 respondents conducted for the United Voice union in Wayne Swan’s Brisbane seat of Lilley suggests he is heading for defeat, trailing LNP candidate Rod McGarvie 45% to 38% on the primary vote.

3565
  • 3201
    This little black duck
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:22 am | Permalink

    I’m sure you can get remastered Lady Day on the web.

  • 3202
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:24 am | Permalink

    tlbd, i suppose at a rudimentary level, it’s because the did such a lot of singing…technically they developed strength and control…range, capacity….but more than this, they really understood how to convey meaning and passion through their music…there is such liberty of expression…such affirmation of love and truth….so exhilarating when in every other way life could have been crushing…

  • 3203
    J M
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:26 am | Permalink

    Can anyone who calls Andrew partisan really be taken seriously? He’s probably one of the least partisan journos in the country, along with Niki Savva. I do concede that Piers and Alan are slightly partisan, but not Andrew.

  • 3204
    This little black duck
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:28 am | Permalink

    margo is getting terse with a certain troll: @margokingston1

  • 3205
    This little black duck
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:31 am | Permalink

    J M,

    Your nunnery is calling you.

  • 3206
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:31 am | Permalink

    Andrew who, JM?

  • 3207
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:32 am | Permalink

    JM, I thought you would be speed-dating tonight.

  • 3208
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:34 am | Permalink

    I think I could listen to Billie Holiday for weeks at a time.

  • 3209
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:38 am | Permalink

    “I ain’t misbehavin, saving my love for you”…

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R64FBzsVsYg

  • 3210
    psyclaw
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:42 am | Permalink

    JM

    “Bolt and Savva are not partisan” !!!!!

    I’ve perused all your baited posts and this one is the icing on the cake. You are either a shit stirrer or a troll.

    I wouldn’t phrase it so bluntly if I actually believed that you are an 81 year old woman.

    I’m amazed you have sucked in so many PBers. But such is life! (sigh!)

  • 3211
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:45 am | Permalink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4P0hG3sD0-E

    all of me…unbelievable

  • 3212
    Dorrie Evans
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:54 am | Permalink

    People are sexual. The prefix is immaterial.
    Awful lot of lonely people on this blog.

  • 3213
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:58 am | Permalink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jf0ldEBBJhY

    My man don’t love me

    …..love will make you drink and gamble, make you stay out all night long, love will make you do things that you know is wrong….

  • 3214
    imacca
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 1:59 am | Permalink

    Bolt and Savva are not partisan

    Remarkably funny. :)

  • 3215
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:00 am | Permalink

    Hi Dorrie….musical interludes tonight…

  • 3216
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:02 am | Permalink

    this is loneliness for you….

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMDlk6lGQOk

  • 3217
    J M
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:03 am | Permalink

    What? Speed dating??

    Bolt and Savva are probably two of the least partisan journos in the country.

  • 3218
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:06 am | Permalink

    JM, they are neither journalists nor non-partisan. They are blowhards with not a scruple between them.

  • 3219
    deblonay
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:10 am | Permalink

    Re GG Comments on my past in the Labor movement

    post 3122
    __________
    He is quite gracious in his comments

    The matters re my actions and their effects on the way we vote is to do with my involvement…at the suggestion of the then PM Gough Whitlam …that I take out a High Court action to test parts of the Electoral Act which allowed for certain margins between country and city federal seats which of course had advantaged rural members(most of whom were tories anyway)

    We actually failed on all those matters (only Justice Lionel Murphey ruled in my favour)but we did get a favourable majority judgement on the matter of the timing of redistributions…which had previously been done nationwide..sometimes many years apart.

    After the 1975 Judgement, there must be a redistribution as the population statisics show to be needed,so we now usually have a redistribution in some states(but not others) in the life of each parliament,and this ensures equity and fairness in the number of seats to which the state is entitled
    This procedure is now common practice.
    In the coming election there are new boundaries in Victoria for example,but not in other states I think (I may be wrong here!)
    The Court Judgement bears my surname …” ********’s Case
    As for my other ” Predilictions ” to which GG alludes… sounds sexual doesn’t it ?)………
    I have long been a supporter of the Palestinian cause and that for many years …a view I shared with Gough in conversations I had with him in the years after he ceased to be PM …..

  • 3220
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:12 am | Permalink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_mitLcbHHz8

    like the wind that shakes the bough, he moves me….do right now…i mean forever…hold up the sky …crazy,crazy sure i’m crazy…

    America, long ago….

  • 3221
    J M
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:12 am | Permalink

    Please explain.

  • 3222
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:15 am | Permalink

    J M

    Greensborough Growler – hard to come by practicing Christians who support Labor.

    Rubbish. For a start there is a rightwing Christian faction in the ALP which weilds much power, so I am told.

    There is nothing in Christianity which says a Christiam has to be conservative and I aware of Left voting Christians. me for one.

    At its outset it was pretty damn radical movement, with all those socialist ideas like giving away anything you didn’t need to people who had a need, free medical treatment, equitable food distribution, whipping bankers, and telling the rich to go to hell.

    Christian conservatives like the structure and the comfort of an external authority telling them and everyone else what to do. Christian progressives do not avoid the chaos brought on by challenging inequitable social structures.

    Anyway it is late and I can’t get my thoughts to flow coherently onto the screen.

    goodnite.

  • 3223
    Dorrie Evans
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:15 am | Permalink

    Try ‘The Other Woman’ by Nina Simone
    ‘..but the other woman, will always cry herself to sleep. The other woman will never have his love to keep….
    The talk about funeral songs is quite funny. What do think would be apt for the Mad Monk’s swan song?

  • 3224
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:15 am | Permalink

    Why JM, you don’t want to change your mind….why explain anything to you….you can have doubt and learning…or neither doubt nor learning….listen to this instead:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jrMp3URM1JI

    so tender….billie holiday….

  • 3225
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:16 am | Permalink

    Mad Monk…he can have a requiem…we can have the jazz

  • 3226
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:22 am | Permalink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lxGQ1kyQqU4&list=PL0DFC96BAA474236E

  • 3227
    Dorrie Evans
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:31 am | Permalink

    I am a bit of a music nut and I have catholic tastes so it was hard to find just one particular song for Tones. However, Bohemian Rhapsody is so deliciously perfect that I fell on the floor laughing just hearing the first few lines…’Is this the real life..is this just fantasy… caught in a landslide, no escape from reality..’

  • 3228
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:34 am | Permalink

    Dorrie…..it’s far far too good for him….

  • 3229
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:37 am | Permalink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4ZyuULy9zs

    strange fruit….oohh….no escapism here

  • 3230
    Dorrie Evans
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:38 am | Permalink

    ‘I see a little silhouette-o of a man’ lol

  • 3231
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:42 am | Permalink

    love will make you drink and gamble….do things that you know is wrong…aint that the truth

  • 3232
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:45 am | Permalink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YtqjW2uhBT4

    drive me away (i know you’re gonna)…

  • 3233
    Just Me
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:45 am | Permalink

    Carey Moore@3061


    It’s disturbing that people automatically assume that somebody who thinks differently is a troll.

    I don’t make a habit of it. Feel free to cite evidence to the contrary.

    J M’s act is well tailored to provoking this blog audience. Seems to know exactly which buttons to push, and how to do so, and just when to stonewall further debate with the old ‘Well, that is just what I believe’ routine.

    J M already knows us well. Don’t ya, J M… ;)

    3221
    J M

    Please explain.

    Cased closed.

    My bill is in the mail.

    :D

  • 3234
    J M
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:46 am | Permalink

    AWU rears its ugly head again.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NSqDExOvUdM

    Thanks for the question, Julia. I think I will go with Ralph.

  • 3235
    J M
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:49 am | Permalink

    Just Me – no idea what you’re on about.

  • 3236
    Dorrie Evans
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:54 am | Permalink

    ‘Sugar plum fairy came and hit the streets… looking for soul food and a place to eat..

    Holly is Pyne
    Candy is JB
    Little Joe is Hockey of course
    Jackie is Jackie Kelly naturally.
    The coloured girls? There are none in the Liberal Party as they smell like failure and cost too much.

  • 3237
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 2:54 am | Permalink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=fvwp&v=QzcpUdBw7gs&NR=1

    now this is an exit song…..st james infirmary…louis armstrong

  • 3238
    Dorrie Evans
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 3:11 am | Permalink

    I have asked the other half to play ‘Asleep’ by the Smiths and then ‘Ae Fond Kiss’ by Fairground Attraction when I finally shuffle off. I say finally because I have been waiting a long time for all this silliness to end. No matter what you think of God, you can’t fault the humour.

  • 3239
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 4:18 am | Permalink

    JM, there are two approaches a Labor opponent can take with Ralph Blewitt – one potentially very telling, the other evidence merely of stupidity on the part of the accuser. The former is that Gillard’s past involvement with him raises serious questions about her judgement. The latter is that Blewitt is “busy trying to expose the fraud”, “happy to answer all questions”, and whatever else was said of him in your video link which will never be watched all the way through by anyone with an IQ above room temperature.

  • 3240
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 4:19 am | Permalink

    A word search on The West Australian site brings up an article which is introduced as follows – but the link doesn’t work. Guess we’ll have to wait until tomorrow for the gory details.

    Mark McGowan has made no headway in his 12 months as Labor leader against Colin Barnett and the Liberals, according to the latest Westpoll, which shows Perth's transport congestion woes have emerged as the defining issue of the election campaign.

  • 3241
    J M
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 5:40 am | Permalink

    William – I will take Blewitt’s word over Gillard any day.

    Good news from that article that you quoted. Looks like Labor is going to lose heaps of seats in WA. Always a joy to watch Labor lose, no matter where it is. A nice little entree for September’s main course…

  • 3242
    J M
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 5:42 am | Permalink

    Westpoll: 59-41 to the Coalition.

  • 3243
    BK
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 6:46 am | Permalink

    Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
    A really good article on how Obama may conduct his second term. Also some interesting parallels with Abbott’s tactics.
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/no-more-mr-nice-president-20130118-2cym7.html
    I don’t know what to think of this.
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/pm-rejects-criticism-on-gun-control-20130118-2cxgp.html#poll
    Matt Golding on the NRA and the media.
    http://images.smh.com.au/2013/01/18/3961785/ac-golding-defcon-20130118073552632474-620×0.jpg
    A CLASSIC from Cathy Wilcox!
    http://images.smh.com.au/2013/01/17/3961047/port-wilcox_jan18-600×400.jpg
    David Pope from Planet Armstrong.
    http://images.smh.com.au/2013/01/18/3964554/JD-gal-pope-20130118202442189101-600×400.jpg

  • 3244
    markjs
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 6:52 am | Permalink

    I’m gobsmacked that so many PBers have been taken in by an obvious spoof …JM’s just “avin a laff” …at your expense …Lol!!

  • 3245
    BK
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 7:03 am | Permalink

    And from the Land of the Free -

    Jon Stewart has identified the one executive order that has the NRA and its apologists all worked up.
    http://americablog.com/2013/01/jon-stewart-obama-executive-order-guns.html
    Some more cartoons on the gun country -
    http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/paranoid.jpg
    http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/paranoid1.jpg
    http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/paranoid2.jpg
    The desperation is beginning to show big time. And on FoxNews of all places!
    http://videocafe.crooksandliars.com/heather/malkin-aca-has-deputized-gun-grabbing-doct
    Yes, there are responsible gun owners throughout their fine country.
    http://videocafe.crooksandliars.com/david/recreational-assault-weapons-fire-riddles-oh

  • 3246
    BK
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 7:05 am | Permalink

    After Abbott’s “Can’t stop the boats, can’t stop the guns” comment yesterday one could be tempted to throw back at him “Can’t stop the fires!”

  • 3247
    frednk
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 7:05 am | Permalink

    markjs
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 6:52 am | Permalink

    I’m gobsmacked that so many PBers have been taken in by an obvious spoof …JM’s just “avin a laff” …at your expense …Lol!!

    Unfortunately Mark, JM is what you see on #AUSPOL daily. It is difficult to take their shit seriously but this seems to be the standard of debate offered by the LibP and their supporters at the moment.

  • 3248
    victoria
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 7:08 am | Permalink

    Morning

    JM is of course taking the piss. The funniest comment so far is that Bolt, Jones, and Piers are logical. Even funnier, that Bolt and Savva are non partisan. Hilarious stuff. Keep it up JM. I enjoy a belly laugh!

  • 3249
    victoria
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 7:12 am | Permalink

    On twitter

    Tony Abbott and Lance Armstrong have similarities both wear lycra both ride bicycles both pedal lies LA ruined sport TA could ruin Australia

  • 3250
    victoria
    Posted Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 7:23 am | Permalink

    IF there is one thing that must really frustrate voters it is the narrow partisanship our political class adheres to. There is virtually no such thing in this country as a politician breaking ranks from their party to vote according to their conscience. And believe you me, the political class do not always agree with the policies their leaders put forward.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/columnists/parliament-plods-along-party-lines/story-fn53lw5p-1226556966209

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