ReachTEL's monthly survey of state voting intention in Queensland maintains the broadly stable picture since support for the LNP slumped in August, and finds nearly four times as many respondents thinking themselves worse off than better off under the Newman government.
The latest monthly ReachTEL automated phone poll of state voting intention in Queensland, encompassing 1064 respondents and with a margin of error of about 3%, gives Labor its best result on the primary vote since the series began in July: up 2.8% on last month to 34.9%. However, the Liberal National Party is also up slightly, from 41.9% to 42.5%, and by my reckoning of preference flows at the last election would lead by about 54-46 oon two-party preferred. The poll has Katter’s Australian Party on 10.5% and the Greens on 8.4%. Campbell Newman’s combined very good and good rating is little changed, down from 38.2% to 37.7%, while his very poor and poor rating is down from 51.0% to 48.1%. Annastacia Palaszczuk’s positive rating has faded from 27.9% to 24.4%, although her negative rating is also down slightly, from 29.5% to 28.3%. A lot more respondents thought themselves worse off (45.9%) than better off (11.9%) since the Newman government came to office, with 42.2% opting for about the same.
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.