The latest monthly ReachTEL poll of state voting intention in Queensland indicates a sharp move back to the LNP, but it’s a somewhat different story from Galaxy.
Channel Seven in Brisbane reports the latest monthly ReachTEL automated phone poll has support for Queensland’s LNP government rebounding, up from 42.5% to 47.1% on last month with Labor down from 34.9% to 28.9%. Full results will have to wait until their publication on the ReachTEL site.
UPDATE: Didn’t take long: results here. Katter’s Australian Party is up from 10.5% to 11.5% the Greens are down from 8.4% to 7.9%. I calculate that as a clean 60-40 lead for the LNP, compared with 54-46 a month ago.
UPDATE 2: Now we have a result from Newspoll, which I wouldn’t have picked because it normally reports quarterly from Queensland and it’s still on February – I guess Queensland has been promoted to bi-monthly now (UPDATE: Need to read more carefully. It’s Galaxy, not Newspoll). Anyway, GhostWhoVotes relates it’s quite a different set of numbers from ReachTEL, with the LNP two-party preferred lead at only 55-45 (down from 56-44) from primary votes of 43% (down one) and 34% (up one). Campbell Newman’s lead as preferred premier has also narrowed from 53-28 to 52-31.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
The Poll Bludger, who is known to his mother as William Bowe, can be contacted at: pollbludger-at-bigpond.com.
Comment moderation guidelines can be viewed here.
Level 6, 22 William St,
PH: 1800 985 502
Fax: (03) 8623 9975