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Nielsen: 63-37 to Coalition in NSW

A new Nielsen poll suggests whatever modest gains NSW Labor had made since its shattering 2011 election loss have evaporated.

The Sydney Morning Herald brings us a Nielsen poll of New South Wales state voting intention which suggests the Eddie Obeid matter has stripped away any modest gains the opposition may have made since the election. The Coalition leads 63-37 on two-party preferred from primary votes of 52% for the Coalition, 23% for Labor and 10% for the Greens, all of which is in the ballpark of the 2011 election result. Barry O’Farrell records better approval ratings than in other polling of the past year or so, with 54% approval and 35% disapproval, while John Robertson is on 32% and 43%. O’Farrell’s lead as preferred premier is 62-25.

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  • 1
    davidwh
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 3:50 am | Permalink

    OMG I go away for a couple of days and things go crazy.

  • 2
    izatso?
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 7:46 am | Permalink

    …. ‘cos you livin’ in 1999 …. and you are a little red corvette.

  • 3
    grubbidok
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 8:07 am | Permalink

    Who’s John Robertson?

  • 4
    Socrates
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 8:15 am | Permalink

    This poll highlights exactly where Labor will lose the next Federal election. We still have he Maitland case to come, so there is no respite in the near future. Terrible numbers for NSW Labor. O’Farrell has been uninspiring but safe and fairly successful so far. Much better than Bailleau.

  • 5
    ltep
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 9:02 am | Permalink

    Woeful. Just woeful.

  • 6
    Bird of paradox
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 9:39 am | Permalink

    Are Labor planning on running in the Northern Tablelands by-election? Even if they get belted, they’ll still probably add about 20% to their vote (they got a piddling 3.4% in 2011, which has to be some kind of record). Then again, bearing in mind the circumstances, they’re gonna get belted. Tough gig for the Labor candidate, if there is one.

  • 7
    Henry
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 1:03 pm | Permalink

    The O’Farrell govt has been ordinary to say the least.
    Hunting in national parks and flip flopping all over the joint on coal seam gas seem to be the only stand outs in terms of policies that i can recall.
    Infrastructure is still stuffed and they are starting to look like the previous govt – lots of plans but not much action.
    But they are united behind their leader, don’t have the stench of corruption about them and have the shock jocks on side.
    That and the ICAC hearings means labor is stuffed for at least another 2 years. Which means that federal labor will be caught in the wake at the september election.
    I despair. John Robertson is not much chop either for that matter. Not much cut through at all.

  • 8
    Oakeshott Country
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 1:07 pm | Permalink

    Gee I just didn’t see this coming.
    Robbo has done such a fine job, after all Eddie, Joe and Eric picked him especially for the job -the people of NSW are just ungrateful bastards.

    What are tragedy that these slimeballs, having brought themselves down will now bring down Gillard.

  • 9
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 1:39 pm | Permalink

    Geez, the Coalition are only about a 13% swing away from losing the next election. I’d hate to be in their ranks right now. O’Farrell needs to go! :-P

  • 10
    Generic Person
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 2:43 pm | Permalink

    O’Farrell’s right to silence ‘reforms’ are disgraceful, as is the continued accelerated rollout of speed cameras. Otherwise slaughtering the corrupt and inept Labor party run by Obeid supporter ‘Robbo’

  • 11
    shellbell
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 5:22 pm | Permalink

    Persevering with Robertson is a daily act of surrender

  • 12
    Mod Lib
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 7:05 pm | Permalink

    Could the Coalition actually GAIN seats at the next election? OMG :devil:

  • 13
    Socrates
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 8:07 pm | Permalink

    We may have spoken too soon in not as ascribing any corruption to the new NSW government.

    Mr Greiner, the current chair of Infrastructure NSW, and Bradken's managing director, Brian Hodges, were involved in Bradken’s "misleading or deceptive conduct", the judge said.
    Mr Greiner, Bradken and Mr Hodges, were last week ordered to pay $21.6 million to Swiss company Pala. The judge found Mr Greiner had used his positions at the two companies to hoodwink Pala into selling its mining-parts manufacturer – Norcast– for less than it was worth.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/nick-greiner-entangled-in-deceptive-deal-20130326-2grul.html#ixzz2OdOzEGhu

    Well if that opinion by a judge does not disqualify Greiner from being a suitable person to chair Infrastructure NSW I can only wonder what would. Seriously, on access to information alone, Greiner has the potential to receive valuable information on several billion dollar projects now being investigated in NSW. Greiner clearly cannot be trusted with that sort of role. H must go.

    Robinson and NSW Labor seem to have here their first opportunity to pin the C word on NSW Liberals. They should take it. Greiner must go, and questions should be asked on what checks were made of his business dealings before he was appointed by whoever chose him.

  • 14
    Oakeshott Country
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 8:11 pm | Permalink

    Isn’t it funny that forces in the right must replace Gillard at 35% but Obeid’s right ball is safe at 23.

  • 15
    Socrates
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 9:09 pm | Permalink

    I am not a fan of Gillard or Obeid but I do not see how you can blame Robinson for current NSW polls. Whoever took over takes the backlash from the Obeid Tripodi stench was bound to get bad polls.

  • 16
    Oakeshott Country
    Posted Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 10:31 pm | Permalink

    Except there were and are some good people in caucus who could have been persuaded to be leader. I am thinking Tebbutt, Foley ( difficult to find a seat admittedly) and Andrew MacDonald all of whom could plausibly be said to be cleanskins.
    Instead on the night of the election as Jane Jetson was conceding and apologising for the mess, Sussex St was imposing a leader who had not only brought down 3 premiers but was an inexperienced and poor politician. In Keatings words if ever you become the leader of the party it will be in opposition for ever (or something like that)

  • 17
    Posted Wednesday, March 27, 2013 at 2:30 pm | Permalink

    Sadly I have to agree. NSW Labor is unsalvagable until Robertson and all his crew are purged. But it will have to wait until after the federal election.

  • 18
    outside left
    Posted Wednesday, March 27, 2013 at 5:00 pm | Permalink

    lol @ Nick Griener, typical liberal businessman! And he is Barry’s[or backroom boys] boys choice as head of infrastructure NSW. Labor, amateurs at corruption

  • 19
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, March 27, 2013 at 5:49 pm | Permalink

    Socrates, Robertson is mostly a dolt anyway. He and his Obeid-backing crew should be purged.

  • 20
    Henry
    Posted Thursday, March 28, 2013 at 12:01 am | Permalink

    Mod Lib@12

    Could the Coalition actually GAIN seats at the next election? OMG

    No they will lose seats then, they are by and large a poor, timid govt. I mean FFS with the thumping majority they have you would think they would do something.
    But no, they are dribblers. Gifting Packer a casino license without due process? Inexcusable, thankfully state labor is realizing this is a dodgy deal and will likely appose it.
    That said their honeymoon ensures federal labor will pay for state labor’s sins at the next federal election. As unfair as that seems.

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