Slight movement in Labor’s favour in the latest quarterly state Newspoll result from Queensland, but this most likely represents a correction after an exaggerated LNP lead last time around.
Newspoll’s result on state voting intention in Queensland for the April-June quarter has the LNP government’s lead over Labor at a commanding 59-41, albeit that this is down slightly on the 62-38 blowout recorded in January-March. The LNP is down five points on the primary vote to 44%, with Labor up two to 29%. However, Newspoll still seems to be having trouble with Katter’s Australian Party, which it has unchanged at an unrealistically low 3%. It appears much of the party’s support it stuck in the “others” column, which is at 14% (down one). The poll has the Greens making a handy four-point gain to 10%, which can partly be put down to a correction after a subdued result last time. Campbell Newman is down two on approval to 41% and up one on disapproval to 46%, while Annastacia Palaszczuk is up one to 34% and steady on 33%. Newman’s lead as preferred premier is down from 53-21 to 49-26, which once again marks a correction after a blowout result last time.
UPDATE (12/7): ReachTEL has published results from a union-commissioned automated phone poll of 1613 respondents which suggests Labor’s Rudd-backed federal surge may have translated to state level, with the Labor on 37.0%, the LNP on 43.3%, the Greens on 5.1%, Katter’s Australian Party on 5.7% and the Palmer United Party on 4.5%. By my reckoning, this pans out to an LNP two-party lead of a bit higher than 53-47 based on preference flows from last year’s election. Further questions on recent state political issues were also included, which you can read about at the link.