Newspoll finds Denis Napthine’s polling honeymoon coming to abrupt halt, with his personal ratings down sharply and voting intention back in Ted Baillieu territory.
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the September-October Newspoll of state voting intention in Victoria has Labor’s lead widening from 51-49 to 53-47, from primary votes of 39% for the Coalition (down two), 38% for Labor (steady) and 14% for the Greens (up one). An even bigger headline-grabber is that Denis Napthine’s honeymoon personal ratings have ended with a thud: he is down 11 points on approval to 42% and up five on disapproval to 36%, with his lead as preferred premier narrowing from 47-25 to 41-27. Daniel Andrews is down three on approval to 35% and one on disapproval to 31%. Full tables here. Below are two-party and primary vote poll trend charts, based on the same principles as BludgerTrack, from the 13 Newspoll and five ReachTEL results published during the current term:
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
The Poll Bludger, who is known to his mother as William Bowe, can be contacted at: pollbludger-at-bigpond.com.
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