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Seat of the week: Calwell

A journey around another safe Labor seat in Melbourne that tends not to get too much attention on election night.

Red and blue numbers respectively indicate booths with two-party majorities for the Labor and Liberal. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

Calwell covers suburbs around Melbourne Airport in the city’s north-west, including Keilor, Sydenham and Taylors Lakes to the west, Tullamarine to the south, and from Broadmeadows north along Sydney Road to the southern part of Craigieburn. The seat was created with the expansion of parliament in 1984 but at that time the electorate was oriented further to the west, with only the Keilor and Sydenham area west of the Maribyrnong River carrying over to the electorate in its current form. The redistribution which took effect at the 1990 election shifted it eastwards to include Broadmeadows, which it has retained ever since. Substantial changes at the 2004 redistribution saw the electorate lose the areas west of the river to the new seat of Gorton while gaining Sunbury and Craigieburn to the north from abolished Burke, but these were reversed at the 2013 election, when Sunbury and most of Craigieburn were transferred to McEwen and Keilor and Sydenham were returned from Gorton.

Calwell has been won by Labor at each election since its creation by margins ranging from 7.1% in 1990 to 19.7% in 2010, which were respectively the worst and best elections for Labor in Victoria during the period in question. The seat’s inaugural member was Andrew Theophanous, who had been member for Burke from 1980. Theophanous quit the ALP in April 2000 after claiming factional leaders had reneged on a deal in which he was to be succeeded by his brother Theo, who served in the Victorian state upper house from 1988 to 2010 and as a minister from 2002 to 2008. Andrew Theophanous was facing criminal charges at the time of his departure from the party for receiving bribes and sexual favours from Chinese nationals seeking immigration assistance, for which he would eventually be sentenced to four years’ imprisonment, which was halved after one of the major charges was quashed on appeal.

Labor’s new candidate at the 2001 election was Maria Vamvakinou, who shared Theophanous’s Greek heritage and background in the Socialist Left faction, having spent the eight years before her entry to parliament as an electorate officer to factional powerbroker Senator Kim Carr. Vamvakinou went entirely untroubled by Theophanous’s forlorn bid to retain his seat as an independent, which scored him 9.6% of the vote. Vamvakinou had her 17.7% margin at the 2001 election pared back 1.6% by redistribution and 6.9% by a swing to the Liberals at the 2004 election, before enjoying a thumping 11.1% swing in 2007 and a further 0.4% swing in 2010. The redistribution before the September election increased her margin another 0.4%, but she went on to suffer a 6.2% swing that was slightly above the statewide 5.1%, reducing her margin to its present 13.9%. Vamvakinou has remained on the back bench throughout her time in parliament.

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  • 651
    slothy
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 10:50 pm | Permalink

    Perhaps someone can tell me if it works for them:
    election.gov.np

    Getting:

    A Database Error Occurred

    Unable to connect to your database server using the provided settings.

    Filename: core/Loader.php

    Line Number: 346

  • 652
    This little black duck
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 10:52 pm | Permalink

    I haven’t listened to TV cricket commentary since Ian Craig was Oz captain.

  • 653
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 10:52 pm | Permalink

    Thnaks. I must have crashed it by looking at it. I doubt it gets much traffic.

  • 654
    imacca
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 10:53 pm | Permalink

    I must have crashed it by looking at it.

    Hah! That would be something quantum then! :)

  • 655
    boomy1
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 10:56 pm | Permalink

    Yeah Bill Lawry. Whatever happened to him?

    I heard/read that his wife was ill, and he was hoping to be back for the Boxing Day test.

  • 656
    This little black duck
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 10:59 pm | Permalink

    boomy1@655


    Yeah Bill Lawry. Whatever happened to him?


    I heard/read that his wife was ill, and he was hoping to be back for the Boxing Day test.

    I wish no ill on Mrs Lawry but, dear Dawkins, why would anyone listen to Bill Lawry having his periods on media?

  • 657
    Darn
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:03 pm | Permalink

    confessions
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 10:50 pm | Permalink
    Yeah Bill Lawry. Whatever happened to him?

    Fess

    The last I heard was that Lawry would only be commentating on tests in Melbourne. Whether that still applies and whether he will be involved in the Boxing Day test I really don’t know.

  • 658
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:07 pm | Permalink

    boomy1, darn:

    Please let it be so. The current crop of Ch9 commentators have no personality whatsoever. With the exception of that English chap and Taylor.

  • 659
    This little black duck
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:07 pm | Permalink

    I’m just waiting for stuff to happen OS so I can watch AJ. Our media is moribund.

  • 660
    swamprat
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:09 pm | Permalink

    I notice on the Bludgertracker, the LNP (Lying Nasty Party) has “lost” 12 seats.

    Surely there is some degree of buyers remorse.

    A 7% swing against them in WA and 5% in Qld!!!

    I hope this bodes well for the WA Senate re-run.

  • 661
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:10 pm | Permalink

    That would be something quantum then!

    I have some sort of effect on machines. Street lights go out when I walk past them.

  • 662
    boomy1
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:12 pm | Permalink

    Our media is moribund.

    An unseen Agatha Christie must be a huge thrill though…

  • 663
    swamprat
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:15 pm | Permalink

    sorry …. “buyers’ remorse”.

  • 664
    This little black duck
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:17 pm | Permalink

    the LNP (Lying Nasty Party)

    Good one! Monty Python lives.

  • 665
    slothy
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:17 pm | Permalink

    Psephos @ 661

    Street lights go out when I walk past them.

    So you don’t cast a shadow then? Hmmm Tony?

  • 666
    This little black duck
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:18 pm | Permalink

    boomy1,

    It was pleasing.

  • 667
    This little black duck
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:19 pm | Permalink

    Street lights go out when I walk past them.

    Check Harry Potter 1.

  • 668
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:21 pm | Permalink

    Doesn’t look like we’re getting a Newspoll tonight.

    A feature of Newspoll night twitterverse since the election is the absence of PvO taunting tweeps with old results, or goading GWV.

    Clearly we’re All Serious Now at News ltd now the ‘adults’ are supposedly back in charge.

  • 669
    swamprat
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:22 pm | Permalink

    There was a pretty good doco on dingos on ABC1 tonight.

    Pointing out how, as top predators, they are necessary to get our environment back into balance and ways to live with them!!!

  • 670
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:26 pm | Permalink

    Check Harry Potter 1.

    I’m a bit old for Harry Potter.

  • 671
    DisplayName
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:34 pm | Permalink

    You’re only as old as you think you are.

  • 672
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:37 pm | Permalink

    I know how old I am.

  • 673
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:40 pm | Permalink

    Speaking of old, whatever happened to Showson?

  • 674
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:43 pm | Permalink

    He must be off with Bemused and Meguire Bob.

  • 675
    zoidlord
    Posted Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 11:48 pm | Permalink

    @prettyone/589

    Gee I bet you have a “I love Tony Abbott T-Shirt”, see can do the same thing?

  • 676
    confessions
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 12:06 am | Permalink

    WW2 Tweets from 1941 ‏@RealTimeWWII 8m
    UK PM Winston Churchill has declared war on Japan for their "calculated & characteristic Japanese treachery": http://hansard.millbanksystems.com/commons/1941/dec/08/prime-ministers-declaration#column_1358

    WW2 Tweets from 1941 ‏@RealTimeWWII 5m
    Some MPs protest ceremonial formality of UK's war declaration; Churchill: "When you have to kill a man, it costs you nothing to be polite."

    :lol:

  • 677
    confessions
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 12:07 am | Permalink

    Andrew Elder’s latest:

    This past week has shown that a directionless government can easily lose what little focus it has. This past week showed that a party which is a 'flat track bully' when the polls go with them will go to water when polls are less than favourable. This past week has been all about ramping up for this government's one true test: the repeal of the carbon tax, the rod for this government's back.

    http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/2013/12/disguise-fair-nature.html

  • 678
    Otiose
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 4:10 am | Permalink

    4:10am Nett_NEWS Digest Update 9/12 http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy

  • 679
    Abigail Marshall
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 5:01 am | Permalink

    How could a man like Tony Abbott end up as PM. He’s hated powerful women since the days of the woman he called “Chair Thing”.

  • 680
    ruawake
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 5:59 am | Permalink

    Good Peter Martin article includes this gem.

    The Howard government's decision to stop indexing fuel excise in 2001 means the excise take is slipping as a proportion of the budget. By 2016-17 the decision will be costing $8.4 billion a year.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/national/blowout-in-debt-is-governments-work-20131208-2yzem.html#ixzz2muXfFoyz

  • 681
    BK
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 6:47 am | Permalink

    Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
    Kim Carr gives Abbott’s dry mates nowhere to hide.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/revealed-how-to-save-holden-20131208-2yzgc.html
    Paul Sheehan outs himself as a dry.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/buck-has-to-stop-on-saving-icons-20131208-2yza4.html
    If you say so, Boxhead. He has the gall to say that her accusers are “in the shadows” of all places!
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/lay-off-tony-abbotts-adviser-peta-credlin-says-senator-mathias-cormann-20131208-2yzgw.html
    Peter Martin on Sloppy’s budget blowout.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/debt-blowout-budget-deficit-forecast-to-hit-40b-peak-20131208-2yzh3.html
    Ross Gittins – Keating gives Abbott and Hockey a master class. MUST READ,
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/keating-gives-abbott-a-masterclass-20131208-2yzap.html
    It will all turn out OK – we are in safe hands. . . . . aren’t we?
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/coalition-blocks-senate-from-secret-details-of-transpacific-partnership-trade-deal-20131208-2yzh2.html
    Mark Scott makes the case for the ABC.
    http://www.afr.com/p/business/marketing_media/public_broadcasting_drives_virtuous_GbRtaNyG4puSQlG2CFxd1I

  • 682
    BK
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 6:48 am | Permalink

    Section 2 . . .

    Bernie Fraser weighs in against the axing of the CCA.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/bernie-fraser-criticises-axing-of-climate-change-authority-20131208-2yzey.html
    Will this end in tears? Where is the cost/benefit analysis?
    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/secret-report-on-eastwest-link-reveals-traffic-explosion-20131208-2yzgz.html
    Alan Moir moves in on Dolly Downer.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/alan-moir-20090907-fdxk.html
    A nice cartoon from Andrew Dyson on SSM.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/andrew-dyson-20090819-epqv.html
    Pat Campbell on the snow in Canberra.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/pat-campbell-20120213-1t21q.html
    David Rowe’s depictions of Abbott and his mob are becoming more rabid by the day!
    http://www.afr.com/p/business/marketing_media/public_broadcasting_drives_virtuous_GbRtaNyG4puSQlG2CFxd1I

  • 683
    BK
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:01 am | Permalink

    And from the Land of the Free -

    Some cartoons on the Repug agenda.
    http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/2013/12/08/cartoons-day-gop-agenda/
    Rick Perry – champion of the oppressed.
    http://crooksandliars.com/diane-sweet/report-47-percent-increase-texas-child
    Christianising textbooks in the US. It’s a worry.
    http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017163469

  • 684
    Jackol
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:04 am | Permalink

    I like how Cormann seems to think this is an argument defending Credlin:

    ”The people that are briefing [the media] are disgruntled people,” Senator Cormann said on Sunday.

    Right, so Coalition figures are disgruntled, and this is ok (and not a problem for Credlin’s standing) how exactly?

  • 685
    BK
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:05 am | Permalink

    Today we will see the Royal Commission begin public hearings into its next case where it will examine Pell’s “Towards Healing”. It will be webcast on http://dev.childabuseroyalcommission.gov.au/case-study-4-december-2013/?doing_wp_cron=1386532973.6750359535217285156250

  • 686
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:12 am | Permalink

    Morning all. I must also out myself as a dry when it comes to car industry assistance. It is priveleging one group of workers over others. The total Holden payroll at Elizabeth is less than $100 million per year. Yet they want $150 million exta per year (beyond existing assistance) to keep it running. In other words, the extra assistance is more than the workers total pay. That is insane. We could just give each worker the money directly, and that would be a 50% payrise.

    I do not blame Holden workers. It is not their fault bad policy in the 60s and 70s saw small unecoomic car plants built far apart in every capital city. But the honest answer is that we could employ twice as many people doing something else with the money. Time for this lie to end. Alo time fot the SA government to stop building houses and industrial estates in Playord, based on the delusion employment will expand there. It will shrink.

  • 687
    Steve777
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:14 am | Permalink

    The extra Parliamentary sittings seem to have been quietly dropped.

  • 688
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:23 am | Permalink

    Off to work. Thanks for the links BK. Good luck Aussie cricket team and have a good day all.

  • 689
    guytaur
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:28 am | Permalink

    Good Morning.

    First sight I saw on the tele today was Abbott’s video to Senators trying to bully them into passing his carbon price repeal.

    With this as negotiating tactical thinking its no wonder Windsor and Oakshott went with PMJG and Labor.

    Abbott has learnt nothing.

  • 690
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:30 am | Permalink

    Steve777,

    The Libs will be grateful to get to the break without anything else blowing up in their face let alone chancing their arm bringing back disgruntled pollies for another few days sitting in the middle of the holiday season.

    It would demonstrate the Libs are clearly not in control of the Parliament.

  • 691
    don
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:32 am | Permalink

    The tanker ‘Golden Wave’ appears to have finished refuelling (if that is what was happening) the RAN ships and OP, and is now headed on a course towards CI at 17 knots.

  • 692
    Steve777
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:34 am | Permalink

    In that video, Tony Abbott says that dropping the Mining Tax will greatly benefit your family. He forgot to mention that this only applies provided your family name is Rhinehart, Hancock, Forrest, Palmer…

  • 693
    don
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:34 am | Permalink

    Whoops, 10 knots, 17 nautical miles from CI.

  • 694
    mari
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:37 am | Permalink

    http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO
    love David Rowe’s effort as BK says getting more rabid by the day

    Hope weather good today BK for the cricket?

  • 695
    guytaur
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:42 am | Permalink

    @JulianBurnside: Shaun Carney article: What’s going on with the Abbott government? http://t.co/bdxkxx7bMf

  • 696
    guytaur
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:45 am | Permalink

    @climatecouncil: Australia very likely to experience increased number of extreme fire danger days: our new report http://t.co/pMQZQLUj39 #bushfires #climate

  • 697
    BK
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:47 am | Permalink

    mari
    We will get in enough play time to finish them off today.

  • 698
    mari
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 7:50 am | Permalink

    BK

    Good go the Aussies

  • 699
    guytaur
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 8:00 am | Permalink

    “@JulianBurnside: Government and Murdoch press attacks on ABC should worry all of us. The way things are going, free speech may be our only protection”

  • 700
    mari
    Posted Monday, December 9, 2013 at 8:10 am | Permalink

    BK
    If you are still around take a bow, plus a couple from Guytaur have had 150+ interations ie comments retweets etc on Twitter this morning from your links and still coming in

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