The first WA state poll since the March election goes a long way towards explaining recent murmurings about Colin Barnett’s security of tenure.
The long-awaited first Newspoll of state voting intention in Western Australia since the March election finds the Liberal-Nationals government clinging to a 51-49 lead from two-party preferred, compared with 57.3-42.7 at the election. However, the headline-grabber here is the personal ratings, which find Colin Barnett’s approval plummeting 17 points since the pre-election poll to 34%, while his disapproval is up 18 points to 54%. Mark McGowan on the other hand has improved from his already strong election campaign result, his approval up two to 51% and disapproval down seven to 22%, and he has seized a 43-37 lead as preferred premier after trailing 52-31 pre-election.
The Australian also informs us that the quarterly aggregated federal result for the state has it at 50-50, which compares with 58.3-41.7 at the election and is well in line with the present reading from BludgerTrack. Primary votes are 41% for the Coalition and 36% for Labor, compared with 51.2% and 28.8% at the election. Hopefully this is a harbinger of a full set of state breakdowns from Newspoll’s post-election polling.