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Seat of the week: Port Adelaide

Keeping things focused on South Australia as the state election looms into view, the latest instalment of Seat of the Week takes us to the state’s safest Labor seat.

Numbers indicate size of two-party preferred booth majority for Labor. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

The electorate of Port Adelaide includes Port Adelaide itself and the adjacent Le Fevre Peninsula, including the suburbs around Sempahore and Largs Bay, along with Woodville and its surrounds to the north of the city and, some distance to the north-east, a stretch of suburbs from Parfield Gardens north to Salisbury North, which are separated from the rest of the electorate by the Dry Creek industrial area. A very safe seat for Labor, its margin after the 2013 election was 14.0%, pared back from a redistribution-adjusted 20.9% by a 6.9% swing to the Liberals.

Port Adelaide was created with the expansion of parliament in 1949 from an area that had previously made Hindmarsh a safe seat for Labor. Such was Labor’s strength that the Liberals did not field candidates in 1954 and 1955, when the only competition for Labor came from the Communist Party. Rod Sawford assumed the seat at a by-election in 1988 upon the resignation of the rather more high-profile Mick Young, who had been the member since 1974. With Sawford’s retirement at the 2007 election the seat passed on to Mark Butler, the state secretary of the Left faction Liquor Hospitality and Miscellaneous Workers Union and a descendant of two conservative state premiers: his great- and great-great-grandfathers, both of whom were called Sir Richard Butler.

Butler quietly established himself as a rising star over Labor’s two terms in government, winning promotion to parliamentary secretary in June 2009 and then to the junior ministry portfolios of mental health and ageing after the 2010 election. The latter promotion came despite his noted hesitancy in jumping aboard the Julia Gillard bandwagon during the June 2010 leadership coup. Butler was elevated to cabinet in December 2011 when social inclusion was added to his existing responsibilities, and he further gained housing and homeless in the February 2013 reshuffle which followed the departure of Nicola Roxon and Chris Evans. He remained solidly behind Gillard when Kevin Rudd challenged her for the leadership in February 2012, but emerged among the decisive defectors to the Rudd camp ahead of his successful leadership bid in June 2013. The subsequent reshuffle saw him promoted to environment and climate change, which he retained in the shadow ministry following the election defeat.

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  • 201
    poroti
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:12 pm | Permalink

    Boerwar

    As the Seppos say “Mosquitoes don’t kill people. People kill mosquitoes.”

  • 202
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:15 pm | Permalink

    Looks like the Warmest 100 may still be right, at least about no. 1

  • 203
    Steve777
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:17 pm | Permalink

    I seem to recall being told that sharks are more likely to attack on dull overcast days (lots of those in Sydney Summers but fewer in WA) and also that they don’t like water that’s cooler than 70 degrees F. But lots of sharks don’t bother to check the temperature or look at the sky.

  • 204
    poroti
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:17 pm | Permalink

    Bugler

    Lorde has No. 15 + 12. No.1 ?

  • 205
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:24 pm | Permalink

    Lorde misses out on #1

  • 206
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:26 pm | Permalink

    No 2. Vance Joy probs gonna get no. 1. *megasadface*

    The Strokes missed out completely, as did Edward Sharpe and the Magnetic Zeros, which I voted for :(

  • 207
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:28 pm | Permalink

    Betting up to $17 million.

    Rafa $1.50

    Still too short at 1 set down

    I’d take $1.75 :cool:

  • 208
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:30 pm | Permalink

    I got the top 3 correct, just in the wrong order.

    I had:

    #1 Lorde – Royals
    #2 Daft Punk – Get Lucky
    #3 Vance Joy – Riptide

    it was actually:

    #1 Vance Joy – Riptide
    #2 Lorde – Royals
    #3 Daft Punk – Get Lucky

  • 209
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:31 pm | Permalink

    Another break can you believe it!

  • 210
    Steve777
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:31 pm | Permalink

    No screaming headlines in Murdoch tabloids about these bludgers: http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/australian-tax-office-nets-430m-from-the-rich-20140125-31fra.html

  • 211
    poroti
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:32 pm | Permalink

    Carey Moore

    Tis alright the Grammies will right the wrong :)

    American betting site has Lorde at odds of just 1/1 to win the Song of the Year Grammy

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/music/news/article.cfm?c_id=264&objectid=11192111

  • 212
    davidwh
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:35 pm | Permalink

    Great Australia Day with two very wonderful grandchildren. The two and a half year old experienced his first dunk in the surf. Laughed his little head off :)

  • 213
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:37 pm | Permalink

    Well, like Thrift Shop, it’s a good song, just overplayed (IMHO). That Warmest 100 got the no. 1 right but the others were all over the place.

    I knew some of the ones I voted for weren’t going to get even in the 100, like “Better Days”, but thought “One Way Trigger”, and “Slow Animals” by the Strokes would get in, even in the top 50. “Promises” by Cloud Control also missed out from my top 10. At least Dizzy Rascal didn’t get in.

  • 214
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:40 pm | Permalink

    FWIW, my personal pick was Arcade Fire’s “Reflektor”, which I am happy to see get into the top 20. Although it wasn’t my pick for #1, it would’ve been nice if it snuck into the top 10.

  • 215
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:40 pm | Permalink

    At the Ceremony I was at this morning someone I know quite well (ran the program I learnt to bugle from) got the Community Service Award. We were all chuffed. Was well deserved. That made my day :)

  • 216
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:42 pm | Permalink

    My favourite this year was “Gun” by Chvrches. Well, can enjoy Nina’s House Party now :)

  • 217
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:46 pm | Permalink

    My favourite this year was “Gun” by Chvrches. Well, can enjoy Nina’s House Party now

    Chvrches are one of my pleasurable musical discoveries of 2013. It was well deserved that they got so many places in the list.

  • 218
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:46 pm | Permalink

    See also: Haim

  • 219
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:50 pm | Permalink

    Nadal has been booed.

    He’s injured and could retire?

  • 220
    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:53 pm | Permalink

    My songs were by Amity Affliction, Arcade Fire, Lana del Rey, Grouplove and John Newman.

    They didn’t do too badly.

  • 221
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:57 pm | Permalink

    Remember, correlation is not causation:

    http://filipspagnoli.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/homicide-by-firearm-v-gun-ownership.jpg

  • 222
    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:57 pm | Permalink

    Mansell joins Catallaxy in voicing displeasure at Goodes getting AOTY

    However Aboriginal activist Michael Mansell said giving the award to a high-profile Aboriginal was a desperate move by the Australia Day Council to offset debate on the appropriateness of January 26 as Australia's national day.

    He said Australia Day awards were inextricably linked to the celebration of Australia Day, a date that marked the arrival of white people on January 26, 1788.

    "Adam Goodes' standout qualities are that he is a good footballer and was abused by a 13-year-old girl at a football match. In themselves, these attributes hardly warrant a best of the best award," he said in a statement.

  • 223
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:58 pm | Permalink

    Dio,

    A friend of mine curses Amity Affliction for that cover :P (I kinda liked it). Grouplove are good quality. My top 10′s usually full of electronic stuff, that being my weakness. Should probably stear the convo back to politics, but music has always interested me that bit more, so can’t resist sometimes. Soz, William

  • 224
    mikehilliard
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 8:58 pm | Permalink

    I was board riding about 100m off Boomerang Beach (N Coast NSW) on my own when I happened to notice a large dark fish shaped shadow passing beneath me. Instantly I thought shark & started paddling back toward the beach, slowly at first but then quicker as the shark shadow seemed to be keeping pace with me. It wasn’t until I was almost into the shore break that I realised it was my own shadow on the bottom, the water was that clear. :-)

  • 225
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:00 pm | Permalink

    Lana del Rey

    She got waaay too high on that list.

    Although I got to make an Archer reference on Twitter with her first name ;-)

  • 226
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:00 pm | Permalink

    Centre

    The tennis crowds appear to be animals.

    They booed Tomic as well. Now he is off for three months following hip surgery.

    I suppose all the fist pumping, shrieking and ape-like grimaces by the players do tend to turn it all into a bit of a roman contest.

  • 227
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:01 pm | Permalink

    Had I voted, it would have been for Diane Young by Vampire Weekend. Did that make it?

  • 228
    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:01 pm | Permalink

    BW

    But if there was a country with even more guns than the US, the death rate would come down because no-one s=would shoot anyone if everyone was armed, preferably with a semi-automatic machine gun. ;)

  • 229
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:03 pm | Permalink

    Had I voted, it would have been for Diane Young by Vampire Weekend. Did that make it?

    #31

  • 230
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:04 pm | Permalink

    Dio

    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:01 pm | Permalink

    BW

    But if there was a country with even more guns than the US, the death rate would come down because no-one s=would shoot anyone if everyone was armed, preferably with a semi-automatic machine gun.

    You make a good case for the citizenry to be armed with nuclear hand grenades.

  • 231
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:05 pm | Permalink

    Let us, however, take a moment to appreciate that a Top Songs of 2013 list didn’t include the Rape Song (Blurred Lines)

  • 232
    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    Bugler

    Amity Affliction’s cover was very controversial and they copped heaps and gave back heaps.

    The album is about someone they knew who committed suicide so it’s pretty confronting but it’s quite positive, especially Open Letter.

  • 233
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    I’m a bit suspicious about that, actually.

  • 234
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    Blurred Lines, I mean.

  • 235
    zoomster
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    Who knows, William – if you’d done your civic duty and voted, the song might have been at #30.

  • 236
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    Not making it, that is.

  • 237
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:07 pm | Permalink

    William,

    No 31 (good song at a party, that) and “Step” got No. 26 and “Unbelievers” No 90

  • 238
    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:07 pm | Permalink

    It would be the greatest comeback since Lazarus if Rafa wins this match.

  • 239
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:08 pm | Permalink

    Do you choose from a list, or can you name whatever you want?

  • 240
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:08 pm | Permalink

    He still has three days.

  • 241
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:09 pm | Permalink

    I’m a bit suspicious about that, actually.

    Despite my relief, I kind of am too.

  • 242
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:10 pm | Permalink

    Too slow, it seems.

    Dio,

    Not exactly my genre but I have some time for them. Metal’s a genre where a lot of clever stuff happens, just doesn’t get attention because pretentious twats like myself are listening to Sigur Ros

  • 243
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:11 pm | Permalink

    Boer

    I think Rafa has lost some of his popularity since he upset Roger at his previous game.

    Maybe his pain killer is starting to take effect?

  • 244
    mikehilliard
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:12 pm | Permalink

    Did anyone hear Abbott’s speech at the Australia Day Citizenship ceremony in Canberra.

    Australians are “the grateful inheritors of two rich strands of history: a British heritage and an Aboriginal one,” prime minister Tony Abbott has said in his address to the first group of people taking Australian citizenship today in a Canberra ceremony.

    WTF, did he really say that. What about all the other nationalities & their histories that comprise our society?

  • 245
    Bugler
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:12 pm | Permalink

    William,

    You get to choose up to 10, from a list. If there’s something missing you can add it. I didn’t bother, though. Otherwise I would have added “Tether” by Chvrches

  • 246
    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:13 pm | Permalink

    Bugler

    I actually listen to Amity Affliction and pretentious stuff like Godspeed You! Black Emperor, Mogwai and This Will Destroy You.

  • 247
    Diogenes
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:15 pm | Permalink

    Centre

    Rafa lost popularity because he spanked Federer stupid. No-one likes to see a champion get obliterated.

  • 248
    mikehilliard
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:16 pm | Permalink

    Boris Johnson is Honorary Australian of the Year, why?

  • 249
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:21 pm | Permalink

    Don't swim alone.
    Swim in guarded areas.
    Avoid swimming at dusk.
    Don't swim with bleeding wounds.
    Avoid murky water.
    Don't wear bright jewelry or high contrasting colors.
    Refrain from excessive splashing.
    Don't swim if sharks are known to be present.
    Be alert if turtles and fish are fleeing the area.
    Remove speared fish from the water.

    Much to my utter astonishment, the time I spent on Ku’ai (the northernmost island of the main Hawaii chain) was one of the most unforgettable experiences of my life.

    Sad to say that the beach we chose as our favourite, on the northern shore, saw a young, female surf champion have her leg chomped off by a tiger shark.

    Luck of the draw, I guess. That’s what she said, when interviewed after three months in hospital.

  • 250
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, January 26, 2014 at 9:23 pm | Permalink

    Diog

    Just don’t tip Warwrinka whatever you do.

    Betfair up to $30 million. More bet than the Melb Cup.

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