tip off

ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

The monthly ReachTEL poll for the Seven Network gives Labor its biggest post-election lead to date, the slow-moving Essential Research also ticks a point in Labor’s favour, and Morgan records little change.

UPDATE (Essential and Morgan): The fortnightly Morgan multi-mode poll, conducted over the past two weekends from a sample of 3019 by face-to-face and SMS, shows little change on the primary vote, with the Coalition up half a point to 39.5%, Labor down one to 37%, the Greens up one to 11.5% and the Palmer United Party down half a point to 3%. Labor’s lead is up half a point on the headline respondent-allocated two-party preferred measure, from 52.5-47.5 to 53-47, but the precise opposite happens on the previous election preferences measure. Today’s Essential Research moves a point in Labor’s favour on two-party preferred, which is now at 50-50. Both major parties are down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 36%, with the Greens and the Palmer United Party steady on 9% and 4%. See bottom of post for further details.

GhostWhoVotes relates that the latest monthly ReachTEL automated phone poll conducted for the Seven Network gives Labor its biggest post-election lead to date, up to 53-47 from 52-48 in the December 15 poll. Primary votes are Coalition 39.8%, down from 41.4%; Labor 40.6%, up from 40.4%; and Greens 9.1%, up from 8.7%. The poll also has 20.3% reporting being better off since a year ago compared with 39.3% for worse off and 40.4% for neither. Prospectively, 23.5% expect to be better off in a year, 39.4% worse off and 37.1% neither. On the economy as a whole, 34.9% think it headed in the right direction and 39.3% in the wrong direction, with 25.8% undecided. A very similar question from Essential Research last week had 38% rating the economy as heading in the right direction versus 33% for the wrong direction, which while better than the ReachTEL results was a substantial deterioration on post-election findings which had it at 44% and 27%. These figures here courtesy of Ryan Moore on Twitter.

The poll was conducted on Thursday from a sample of 3547. Full results will be available on the ReachTEL site tomorrow, which will apparently include personal ratings that have Tony Abbott up and Bill Shorten down. Stay tuned tomorrow for the weekly Essential Research and fortnightly Morgan.

UPDATE (Essential Research): Crikey reports Essential Research has moved a point in Labor’s favour on two-party preferred, which is now at 50-50. Both major parties are down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 36%, with the Greens and the Palmer United Party steady on 9% and 4%. Also featured: privatisation deemed a bad idea by 59%, including 69% for Australia Post and 64% for the ABC and SBS; 24% think we spend too much on welfare, 41% too little and 27% about right; 64% believe the age pension too low, but only 27% think the same about unemployment benefits; 78% believe alcohol-related violence is getting worse, and perhaps also everything they see in the news media; “87% support harsher mandatory sentences for alcohol-related assaults; over 60% support earlier closing times for bottle shops, pubs and clubs; 76% support lockouts and 59% support lifting the age at which you can buy alcohol”. UPDATE: Full report here.

2159
  • 2101
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:04 am | Permalink

    Lyndajcla re Grandfather and notes
    __________
    Certainly thwy should be placed in an appropriate place
    There are several such repositories
    The National Library in Canberra would be interested I am sure,as would the Butlin Archives at ANU,and indeed The State Linbrary of Victoria also should be consided

  • 2102
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:04 am | Permalink

    Ten times more people in Austalia are killed by horses every year than by sharks.

  • 2103
    confessions
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:06 am | Permalink

    Thanks guytaur.

    Goodnight.

  • 2104
    lyndajcla
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:08 am | Permalink

    Thanks psephos and shows on. The notes ate obviously hand written and full of his thoughts for the days battle. How did you know pseph?

  • 2105
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:08 am | Permalink

    2012

    It is a good thing that horse are no longer a major means of transport because of that reason and also the public health issues of the manure in cities.

  • 2106
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:10 am | Permalink

    Psephos

    Ten times more people in Australia are killed by horses every year than by sharks.

    There you go. They shoot horses don’t they?

  • 2107
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:11 am | Permalink

    They also jump sharks.

  • 2108
    Unitary State
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:14 am | Permalink

    I still wish we had horses as a means of mainstream transport. It would be amazing.

  • 2109
    Just Me
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:15 am | Permalink

    {2067
    Fulvio Sammut

    I owe you an apology, Just Me. I got the wrong poster!]

    No problem, I suspected as much. :)

    FWIW, I broadly agree with you, the sexual lives of politicians are off limits, except if they are being hypocrites or breaking the law.

  • 2110
    Just Me
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:15 am | Permalink

    2067
    Fulvio Sammut

    I owe you an apology, Just Me. I got the wrong poster!

    No problem, I suspected as much. :)

    FWIW, I broadly agree with you, the sexual lives of politicians are off limits, except if they are being hypocrites or breaking the law.

  • 2111
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:16 am | Permalink

    Although come to think of it, in WA they shoot sharks don’t they?

  • 2112
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:19 am | Permalink

    http://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-calls-ministerial-meeting-on-european-boycotts/

    The Times of Israel notes that Netanyahu is to seek a cabinet meeting to deal with the latest Boycott action by Dutch pension funds withdrawing from dealings with Israeli banks

    This follows a spate of such actions across the EU and is related to policies on the West Bank affecting the Palestinians

  • 2113
    bemused
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:21 am | Permalink

    Psephos@2102

    Ten times more people in Austalia are killed by horses every year than by sharks.

    The solution is obvious.
    CULL THE HORSES! :evil:

  • 2114
    confessions
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:24 am | Permalink

    Although come to think of it, in WA they shoot sharks don’t they?

    And Barnett was musing on the news tonight about culling saltwater crocs in Broome, even if the method of culling wasn’t yet determined.

    Shooting horses is a vastly different proposition from shooting sharks, though.

  • 2115
    Schnappi
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:24 am | Permalink

    2105

    Think Motor vehicles ,have killed far more than Horses

  • 2116
    bemused
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:25 am | Permalink

    Schnappi@2115

    2105

    Think Motor vehicles ,have killed far more than Horses

    Oh, alright then.
    CULL THE CARS! :EVIL:

  • 2117
    davidwh
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:27 am | Permalink

    That Age poll has to be an error. I have never seen aFairfax. Poll that favoured Abbott until this one. We need a recount.

  • 2118
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:28 am | Permalink

    Psephos re your plans for” dealing” with Iran
    ________________________
    When Bemused asked this question last night you fobbed him of with some statement re the Elders of Zion and you still working on the project

    Your may be interested to know that the PM of Turkey has taken advantage of the opening to Iran by making his first visit to Tehran this week,and starting a number new trade deals,etc with Iran,notably re oil and gas

    and tonight in his State of the Union speech Obama made it clear that the attempts in Congress by the usual suspects for tighter sanctions of Iran, will not succeed
    so what ARE your plans

    http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5iXoUDKOYl59M6k19GxSQwvTNFNyQ?docId=121985c5-dfe6-49bd-9015-cab577ed32b8

  • 2119
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:29 am | Permalink

    I think the only fair way to kill sharks and crocodiles is in unarmed combat.

    And I think all Coalition politicians should have the courage of their convictions and lead by example.

  • 2120
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:32 am | Permalink

    2115

    Cars have killed more than horses, for many decades, but they have a lot more contact with people. At similar traffic levels, horses kill more than cars but the trouble is that cars allow a much higher level of traffic. Horses are not the solution but car use does drastically reduced. PT, walking and bicycles are the answer.

  • 2121
    Diogenes
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:32 am | Permalink

    Most animal related deaths in Australia are actually caused by motor vehicle accidents. Horses, cows, kangas, emus, dogs etc.

  • 2122
    bemused
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:32 am | Permalink

    Fulvio Sammut@2119

    I think the only fair way to kill sharks and crocodiles is in unarmed combat.

    And I think all Coalition politicians should have the courage of their convictions and lead by example.

    Any way we could arrange for the crocs and sharks to fight it out? :D

  • 2123
    rossmcg
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:32 am | Permalink

    Confessions

    We do shoot horses in WA. Remember just a few months ago there was a massive wild horse cull in the Kimberley.
    As for Barnett raising the matter of a croc cull, er croc mitigation campaign, that was just a thought bubble.

  • 2124
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:32 am | Permalink

    I was joking.

    I intend no harm to sharks and crocodiles.

  • 2125
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:37 am | Permalink

    Anyway, sharks and crocodiles won’t fight Coalition politicians.

    It’s a matter of professional courtesy.

  • 2126
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:38 am | Permalink

    Thanks psephos and shows on. The notes ate obviously hand written and full of his thoughts for the days battle. How did you know pseph?

    How did I know the MHR for Bendigo who died in 1960 was Percy Clarey? Because I know the membership of the House of Representatives since Federation pretty much by heart.

  • 2127
    confessions
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:39 am | Permalink

    rossmcg:

    Culling horses in the Kimberley impacts our biodiversity in a positive way.

  • 2128
    confessions
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:40 am | Permalink

    Anyway, sharks and crocodiles won’t fight Coalition politicians.

    Because the sharks and spivs line up to take shots at the ALP.

  • 2129
    rossmcg
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:40 am | Permalink

    Confessions

    I had no problem with the horse cull.

  • 2130
    bemused
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:41 am | Permalink

    Goodnight all.

  • 2131
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:43 am | Permalink

    and tonight in his State of the Union speech Obama made it clear that the attempts in Congress by the usual suspects for tighter sanctions of Iran, will not succeed
    so what ARE your plans

    My plan is support Israel’s right to take whatever steps it deems necessary to defend itself against the threat of a nuclear-armed Iran. Since Rouhani succeeded Ahmedinejad that threat has diminished somewhat, but not by a great deal. If Israel deems it necessary to attack Iran’s nuclear sites (as it previous attacked sites in both Iraq and Syria), I will support their right to do so.

  • 2132
    Acerbic Conehead
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:45 am | Permalink

    Psephos,

    I’m pretty certain the Communist Party case did not go to the Privy Council.

    Maybe the report went to the privy instead.

  • 2133
    lyndajcla
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:46 am | Permalink

    Hi pseph you have memory of all that? Walking history you are…. I thought I alone remembered and know. Thankyou. A friend just told me about her grandfather who fought in Spain and was executed at 34…would have been a believer like Nana….these people gave their lives in s foreign country for freedom….no monuments for them…no recognition by and large

  • 2134
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:48 am | Permalink

    these people gave their lives in s foreign country for freedom….no monuments for them

    There is a memorial near Lake Burley Griffin in Canberra to all the Australians who fought in the Spanish Civil War, on which they are all named.

  • 2135
    confessions
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:50 am | Permalink

    rossmcg:

    Nor do I.

  • 2136
    Yesiree Bob
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:51 am | Permalink

    Fran Barlow@2106

    Psephos


    Ten times more people in Australia are killed by horses every year than by sharks.


    There you go. They shoot horses don’t they?

    only when they’re nags and can’t win the cup

  • 2137
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:55 am | Permalink

    http://monumentaustralia.org.au/themes/conflict/spain/display/90184-spanish-civil-war-memorial
    Spanish Civil War memorial, Canberra

  • 2138
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:58 am | Permalink

    2137

    Did any Australians die fighting on the wrong side (Franco)?

  • 2139
    absolutetwaddle
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 12:59 am | Permalink

    Psephos

    “There is a memorial near Lake Burley Griffin in Canberra to all the Australians who fought in the Spanish Civil War, on which they are all named.”

    I note you said ‘all’ twice. I take it this means the Nationalists and Republicans are listed together?

    If so I wonder how they’d feel about that.

  • 2140
    lyndajcla
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:01 am | Permalink

    Thanks pseph…I travelled to Canberra to show my girl the Parliament… stopped along the way and never saw it… glad though…many Australians fought and its mostly forgotten. They lived their beliefs and died without fanfare..
    It would fitting to document and show it to people on the telly….ordinary but extraordinary people…

  • 2141
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:04 am | Permalink

    2139

    Follow the link in 2137 and read the inscription. A distinctly republican memorial (which is good).

  • 2142
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:05 am | Permalink

    I note you said ‘all’ twice. I take it this means the Nationalists and Republicans are listed together?

    So far as I know, no Australians served with the Francoist forces. There was no international volunteer force comparable to the International Brigades serving on the Francoist side, although there were some individual fascists from other countries who volunteered. Franco of course had a large Italian Army force and a German Luftwaffe unit, the Condor Legion, serving with him.

  • 2143
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:06 am | Permalink

    I may be wrong in saying that the names of the Australian volunteers are listed on the memorial. None of the photos I’ve looked at online shows names.

  • 2144
    absolutetwaddle
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:08 am | Permalink

    I asked because I remember an awkward conversation with my late, earnestly Catholic grandfather in which he recalled a strong desire to join the Nationlist forces in Spain. He ended up somehow donating a large sum if money to the effort instead.

    Yeah.:/

    I figure given the militancy if the time at least a few Aussies ended up there on the side of fascism.

  • 2145
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:15 am | Permalink

    I figure given the militancy if the time at least a few Aussies ended up there on the side of fascism.

    Not that I’ve ever heard, and I read most of the material on Australian involvement in Spain while I was researching my thesis.

  • 2146
    absolutetwaddle
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:17 am | Permalink

    Psephos

    Good!

  • 2147
    lyndajcla
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:23 am | Permalink

    I think this is really interesting and largely unknown history to many…Chrissie Pyne may not like it but it speaks of a time when people had empathy for one another and fought for it with their lives…they died because they knew it was important to do so…people who cared about working people’s lives…only unions gave us z better life….if they are destroyed then so are we…

  • 2148
    absolutetwaddle
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:32 am | Permalink

    It was an unspeakably ugly conflict and I cannot help but marvel at the conviction and bravery of those that chose to stand against mechanised fascism in such a way. It boggles the mind.

  • 2149
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:45 am | Permalink

    I broadly agree with both 2147 and 2148, but we should not overly romanticise the other side. The International Brigades were organised by the Comintern and served the propaganda purposes of Stalin’s regime. Republican Spain rapidly degenerated into a colony of Stalin’s Soviet Union, complete with secret police, purges and executions. Andres Nin, the leader of the Trotskyist POUM, for example, was murdered by the NKVD. By 1939 there wasn’t much to choose between the two sides.

  • 2150
    lyndajcla
    Posted Thursday, January 30, 2014 at 1:57 am | Permalink

    I guess your right psephos…great movements have created horrors that weren’t envisaged at the start.. when it all seemed clear..
    I’d rather be hopeful though of course people fuck stuff up….sadly so

Womens Agenda

loading...

Smart Company

loading...

StartupSmart

loading...

Property Observer

loading...