EMRS: Liberal 50, Labor 23, Greens 17 in Tasmania
No respite for Tasmania’s 16-year-old government as it prepares to face the electoral chopping block on March 15.
The latest EMRS poll of state voting intention in Tasmania finds Labor’s divorce from the Greens has done nothing to alter its dismal electoral standing, with the Liberals up a point on the November survey to 50%, Labor up one to 23%, the Greens down two to 17%, and the Palmer United Party steady on 5%. Liberal leader Will Hodgman’s lead over Lara Giddings as preferred premier is likewise essentially unchanged, out from 47-22 to 48-21. This is well in line with results of a Liberal internal poll published in The Mercury recently, conducted on January 20 by ReachTEL from 1984 respondents. The Liberals were on 48.8%, Labor on 25.8% and the Greens on 15.3%.
UPDATE: Here’s how the term’s ERMS and ReachTEL polling looks when run through the Bludgerometer, which applies to both pollsters downward bias adjustments for the Liberals and the Greens: