tip off

BludgerTrack: 52.2-47.8 to Labor

The latest poll aggregate puts Labor back in parliamentary majority territory, as a new result from ReachTEL makes the Coalition’s strong result from Nielsen a fortnight ago look still more like an anomaly.

Following on from the thumping Labor lead in last week’s Newspoll, the addition of the latest ReachTEL to the BludgerTrack poll aggregate causes Labor to regain nearly all the ground it lost on the back of last fortnight’s Nielsen. However, with new contrary signals emerging through a shift back to the Coalition in Essential Research, it’s perhaps telling that the two-party trendline (displayed as always on the sidebar) looks as though it’s not sure which way to turn. Labor is now back into majority territory on the national seat projection, having picked up three seats each in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland and a further one in the territories (i.e. Solomon). It’s interesting to note that the state breakdowns show emphatic swings to Labor except where they govern at state level, at least until next Saturday’s elections. On the primary vote, Labor makes a gain this week directly at the expense of the Coalition, while the Palmer United Party is up slightly on a post-election low last week. There is no new data for leadership ratings this week.

3396
  • 901
    DisplayName
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:28 am | Permalink

    Further to myself at 844

    Having said all that, I think Qantas has passed on the cost to consumers and are now trying to conflate the effects of the carbon price with the effects of their competition with other airlines.

  • 902
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:30 am | Permalink

    BBC interviews neo-Nazis…some now in Kiev Govt and finds them liking Hitler et al

    Ukranian fascists were some of the most enthusiastic Jew-killers on record.

  • 903
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:31 am | Permalink

    “@JEChalmers: #RBA blows out of the water Abetz lie that there’s a ‘wages explosion’ – says wage growth lowest since the stat began in 97 #auspol #ausecon”

  • 904
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:35 am | Permalink

    DN

    Having said all that, I think Qantas has passed on the cost to consumers and are now trying to conflate the effects of the carbon price with the effects of their competition with other airlines.

    Well yes. Blaming the carbon price, (which they volunteered to participate in, partly because EU rules imposed a levy on airlines not pursuing a policy of pricing carbon emissions) for their parlous position amounts to the kind of self-serving and unconvincing apologetics one hears from errant schoolchildren who blame their dodgy printer or the dog for eating their homework.

  • 905
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:36 am | Permalink

    @strom_m: Seems @SenatorLudlam has been watching a bit of WWE smackdown. He’s on a roll http://t.co/sFAGTWDwT4

    @Asher_Wolf: It gets better. http://t.co/JMYPLZWMtK

    “@SenatorLudlam: .@MWhalan @EnsignR i just want to be in rake why aren’t they demanding to DM me.”

  • 906
    rossmcg
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:37 am | Permalink

    Guytaur

    I take your point about working for Murdoch, but people have to eat. I suspect there are a lot of people at News Corpse who would rather be somewhere else. At lot have already left and had their jobs outsourced.

    The stories that offend you most would probably be rarely seen by the average down table sub. They are concocted, written, edited and the pages laid out at the highest levels.

    There are hundreds of stories in a newspaper every day. The vast majority cause no offence to anybody.

  • 907
    imacca
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:38 am | Permalink

    http://tamino.wordpress.com/2014/02/25/by-request/#more-7094

    Thanks for the link to this. Its not a site i regularly visit. too sane and reasonable. the last of those graphs highlights the great 1998 cherry pick quite well.

  • 908
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:40 am | Permalink

    I think you are a bit harsh on media workers and their attitude to other workers under threat. A lot of media people have lost their jobs over the last few years.

    I’m not talking about the ones that have already lost their jobs. It’s the ones who have survived the culls that exhibit a general gotterdammerung air.

    They make it their business to show little if any concern for the economic plights of others. It’s “Eat, drink, and be merry, for tomorrow we’re sacked” for them.

    There’s no other explanation for the shameless way they present Abbott brainfarts as the result of some kind of higher level brain process.

    They set about trying to make sense of the absurd. Even Waleed Aly today tried to argue that Abbott has a “plan” for chaos; that it’s some kind of ideological drive.

    It’s not. It’s the only way he operates and has ever operated. Calling this reptilian instinct inside Abbott’s brain “ideology” is being too kind.

    He doesn’t have a clue what he wants to do except be Prime Minister. He’s making it up as he goes along. That’s plain enough. No sooner have they drawn some excuse for a line in the sand than they step over it, then step backwards, then over it again.

    They promised they had hundreds of policies in the bottom drawer, ready to go. They had none, except maybe the PPL scheme.

    They had no legislation ready for debate. They spend most of their time in parliament doing sheap comedy routines about “Conroyvism”, or bleating “Carbon Tax! Carbon Tax!”

    Yet the media try to ascribe some kind of thought process to it. If they don’t, they get the “Qantas Treatment”: shut out until they change their ways.

  • 909
    poroti
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:45 am | Permalink

    Bushfire Bill

    They make it their business to show little if any concern for the economic plights of others. It’s “Eat, drink, and be merry, for tomorrow we’re sacked” for them.

    Also many of them have been for years earning salaries that would put them in the top 2-3% . Which would mean no matter what befalls their industry many would be financially secure and feeling “I’m alright jack”.

  • 910
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:45 am | Permalink

    On the question of the relations between the Greens and the ALP

    1. I have no problem at all with the ALP wanting to maintain policy distance from us. Indeed, I believe that may well be teactically wise, in terms of maximising the number who don’t preference the LNP.

    2. If the ALP could simply avoid being egregious in the area of asylum seekers they could work on picking up the votes of those who don’t feel strongly about Green issues (the environment, social justice, equity, human rights) and leave us to bring those who do feel strongly about these things to the voting table.

    Had the ALP not supported rendition and mandatory imprisonment of asylum seekers, I’d have held my nose on the rest of their policies and given them my preference. I have a dream that one day, the ALP will make it possible for people like me to vote for them.

  • 911
    fredex
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:46 am | Permalink

    Dog bless the ABC.

    I just listened to ABC RN News in SA. I sorta hoped to hear something about QANTAS admitting [sort of] that they responded to government pressure which has been reported by newspapers. But nup, didn’t happen.

    Anyway the traditional pre-September opening of “the Leader of the Opposition” says….” was missing. Whatever happened to that?
    The main news item was a fella named Scott Morrisson who spoke at length.
    But nobody refuting him. Strange.

    Anyway end of ‘news’ and then on came an ABC fella to tell us that the next programme would be him talking about climate change – with some bloke named Barnaby Joyce.

    Sad ain’t it?

  • 912
    rossmcg
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:46 am | Permalink

    Bb

    At the risk of repeating myself and disagreeing with a respected observer such as yourself, my experience is that there many journalists who do care. For every Kenny or hartcher there a probably a dozen decent hard working types. They are not all Rupert clones.

  • 913
    davidwh
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:48 am | Permalink

    Having said all that, I think Qantas has passed on the cost to consumers and are now trying to conflate the effects of the carbon price with the effects of their competition with other airlines.

    DN there is a lot of noise and distortion, some call it BS, around the QANTAS situation and it’s comeing from lots of groups including both sides of politics. The carbon price distraction is nothing more than a distraction.

  • 914
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:49 am | Permalink

    At the risk of repeating myself and disagreeing with a respected observer such as yourself, my experience is that there many journalists who do care. For every Kenny or hartcher there a probably a dozen decent hard working types. They are not all Rupert clones.

    Then let this “many” step up and say so.

  • 915
    DisplayName
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:49 am | Permalink

    Fran @ 904
    Yes, and the real problem they don’t mention at all is poor management. Naturally, Qantas management controls what Qantas says :P .

  • 916
    poroti
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:52 am | Permalink

    rossmcg

    ..there many journalists who do care

    There are indeed but it is the Hartchers and Kenny’s that get the media prime real estate.

  • 917
    DisplayName
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:55 am | Permalink

    david @ 913, certainly the life of such arguments as the one around the word “impact” depend on silly word games from those involved in them.

  • 918
    BK
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 11:58 am | Permalink

    Could any intelligent person not think that the initial Qantas statement about the carbon tax not being a major contributor to its plight had been properly authorised before its release?

  • 919
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:00 pm | Permalink

    There are some owners, some editor and some journalists trying to make a difference.

    Some with more success than others.

    The Hoopla
    The Saturday Paper
    The Global Mail
    The Guardian
    Crikey.com
    Independent Australia

    Just some examples I can think of.

    It would be good to see the same from radio and television streaming channels. However I suspect these latter will not appear until proper unlimited data plans are available. You can see some examples of this future running in the US.

  • 920
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:03 pm | Permalink

    BK

    It’s a definite crock. QANTAS were leaned on by someone.

  • 921
    Simon Katich
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:06 pm | Permalink

    BK – By properly authorised, do you passed through the PM’s office? ;-)

  • 922
    rossmcg
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:07 pm | Permalink

    BB and Poroti

    There are many journalists who are no more responsible for the philosophy of the newspaper they work for than the teller is responsible for bank fees and charges or the checkout operator for the price Coles charges for milk

    I presume In your ideal world they could go and front the management and things would change.

    And there are fairies in the corner of my garden too.

  • 923
    Simon Katich
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:07 pm | Permalink

    guytaur, been thinking its time there was a new independent radio station.

  • 924
    Steve777
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:11 pm | Permalink

    Could any intelligent person not think that the initial Qantas statement about the carbon tax not being a major contributor to its plight had been properly authorised before its release?

    The Coalition are not appealing to intelligent people in this instance, or at least not to the knowledgeable. Their base and supporters, especially big business, know it’s bullshit, as do their opponents. As with boats, an alleged ‘wage explosion’, ‘union thuggery’ and ‘debt and deficit’, they are trying add the unengaged and uninformed to their voter base.

  • 925
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:14 pm | Permalink

    “@markjs1: RT .@SenatorLudlam: .@chriskkenny m8 i don’t want this to sound harsh but reason i won’t be going on your show is that *nobody watches it*”

  • 926
    cud chewer
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:14 pm | Permalink

    I like Crikey but I don’t necessarily entirely trust it.

    Bernard can be absolutely spot on at times, but he can also get hung up and confused on his own erroneous ideas.

  • 927
    poroti
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:18 pm | Permalink

    rossmcg

    As I’ve said many times here. The journalists are hired to work for the proprietor not the public. However how low they are prepared to stoop to demonstrate their fealty to the proprietor is their choice.

  • 928
    badcat
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:18 pm | Permalink

    cud chewer

    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:14 pm | Permalink

    I like Crikey but I don’t necessarily entirely trust it.

    Bernard can be absolutely spot on at times, but he can also get hung up and confused on his own erroneous ideas.

    ————————————————

    ( substitute appropriate PB member here )can be absolutely spot on at times, but he can also get hung up and confused on his own erroneous ideas ;)

  • 929
    cud chewer
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:19 pm | Permalink

    True, but you don’t need a subscription to find those ideas out :)

  • 930
    rossmcg
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:19 pm | Permalink

    Poroti

    That’s a tough call.

  • 931
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:25 pm | Permalink

    “@political_alert: Shadow Employment Minister @BOConnorMP will hold a doorstop on Productivity Commission review of industrial relations, 1pm Melbourne #auspol”

  • 932
    DisplayName
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:26 pm | Permalink

    I can absolutely spot on at times, but I can also get hung up and confused on my own erroneous ideas.

    Diogenes might attest to that :p.

  • 933
    victoria
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:27 pm | Permalink

    BB

    There’s no other explanation for the shameless way they present Abbott brainfarts as the result of some kind of higher level brain process.

    They set about trying to make sense of the absurd. Even Waleed Aly today tried to argue that Abbott has a “plan” for chaos; that it’s some kind of ideological drive.

    It’s not. It’s the only way he operates and has ever operated. Calling this reptilian instinct inside Abbott’s brain “ideology” is being too kind

    This is more or less the case, but i would add that part of Abbott’s modus operandi is a deliberate mangling of the message

  • 934
    BK
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:28 pm | Permalink

    BK – By properly authorised, do you passed through the PM’s office?

    Simon Katich
    I think that process may well now be in effect.

  • 935
    pom
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:28 pm | Permalink

    It would be nice to think that Labor and Greens would be adult enough to sit down over a coffee and discuss privately a preference deal for the upcoming WA senate election.
    I fear that the distrust that both sides have for each other will cloud progress on any deal. Which may well be to the detriment of both parties and Australia.
    This WA election as everyone knows can effect the control the Senate has over the madness of Abbott. I can only hope if a micro party gets up it’s the Sex party, as it’s a long time since I have had a sex party and I wonder how I will go.

  • 936
    victoria
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:29 pm | Permalink

    Phil Coorey said yesterday that he had been told that Qantas were leaned on by the govt to change their message re the carbon tax. Coorey giggled as he said this with a little hint of embarrassment

  • 937
    sohar
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:33 pm | Permalink

    I think Waleed, et al, are confusing ideology with criminality.

  • 938
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:35 pm | Permalink

    “@ABCNews24: Live: Defence Chief David Hurley is delivering a lecture on national security at @UniCanberra. Watch http://t.co/FlRWJArtyW #ABCNews24”

  • 939
    WeWantPaul
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:36 pm | Permalink

    The WA preference stuff is all about the real risk Ludlum will not get up.

  • 940
    victoria
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:47 pm | Permalink

    Speaking of Senator Ludlam. Check out his twitterfeed. The wonderful Chris kenny has his say on ludlam’s speech

    https://mobile.twitter.com/SenatorLudlam

  • 941
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:50 pm | Permalink

    @jamesmassola: For those interested, the draft terms of reference for the PC inquiry into the Fair Work laws are here: http://t.co/5ZU0vYQX1C

  • 942
    Roger Miller
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:52 pm | Permalink

    Senator Ludlam speaking directly to the WA electors. Chris Kenny disapointed he doesn’t get to set the agenda.

  • 943
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:53 pm | Permalink

    @TheRealPBarry: If ABC defends Chaser/Kenny defo it could risk loss of funding, says PM! Govt will ask questions. http://t.co/H4rpQInmAg

  • 944
    Dee
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 12:58 pm | Permalink

    Guytaur

    Kenny may have asked and I’ve missed it but did he suggest an apology would be sufficient?

  • 945
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 1:00 pm | Permalink

    Dee

    Like you if so I missed it.

  • 946
    badcat
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 1:02 pm | Permalink

    Doing it tough ???? …. become a PM

    PM or VIP? The lavish lives of former Australian Prime Ministers Kevin Rudd, Julia Gillard and John Howard

    Taxpayers provide former prime ministers with:

    • Airport pick-ups and special customs clearance to avoid long queues at airports, all arranged by the local embassy;

    • At home, an office and two staff at a maximum cost of $300,000 a year plus payment of all home and mobile telephone bills;

    • Lifetime gold passes for domestic and international travel and access to limousine services in Australia.

    READ MORE : http://www.news.com.au/national/pm-or-vip-the-lavish-lives-of-former-australian-prime-ministers-kevin-rudd-julia-gillard-and-john-howard/story-fncynjr2-1226847863411

  • 947
    guytaur
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 1:05 pm | Permalink

    Brendan O Connor live now 24

  • 948
    Steve777
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 1:08 pm | Permalink

    Re Guytar @ 943. What does that idiot Tony Abbott expect? That the ABC roll over everytime someone takes exception to something they broadvcast? What about legal due process? Tony Abbott acting the thug again.

  • 949
    milenko
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 1:10 pm | Permalink

    Glenn Stevens today..

    RBA governor Glenn Stevens on Friday said that while current levels of household debt weren’t “disastrous”, he would be worried about an acceleration in credit growth to home buyers.

    “For some time, our view has been that growth has been running below its trend pace,”
    “It’s (household debt) pretty high now and we’d, surely, be asking for trouble if we saw a big step up from where we are,” he told federal politicians of the House Economics Committee in Sydney.
    “People need to keep in mind that prices don’t just rise, they can fall, they have fallen and we need to be careful that we don’t take on too much leverage,” he said.
    Mr Stevens said that while housing affordability had improved in recent years due to interest rate cuts and a soft housing market, buying a home had become less affordable recently due to a runup in prices, especially in Sydney

    Would he ever say this about share market value?
    Some how the market is correct about share speculation but wrong about the value of real estate

    Darts at the board are more accurate

  • 950
    Dee
    Posted Friday, March 7, 2014 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    Steve777

    What does it say about Rabbott’s relationship with Kenny that he feels this issue requires his intervention?

Womens Agenda

loading...

Smart Company

loading...

StartupSmart

loading...

Property Observer

loading...