tip off

BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor

After a period of erratic poll results from various outfits, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate appears to be recovering its equilibrium.

This week’s 51-49 Newspoll result has caused a slight moderation in this week’s BludgerTrack poll aggregate, which blew out to 52.2-47.8 last week on the back of strong result for Labor from ReachTEL. The 0.5% shift has had a bigger-than-usual effect on the seat projection, with Labor slipping four seats to barely make it to majority government status. This amounts to one seat each in New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland and Western Australia. There are two new data points for leaders’ ratings, from Newspoll and Essential, and they’ve caused the trendlines to continue moving in the directions they were already headed – inexorably downwards for both leaders on net approval, with a gently narrowing trend on preferred prime minister.

2558
  • 651
    don
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:29 pm | Permalink

    milenko@648

    MH370.. I’m sure the authorities would have checked everything …. A long shot, a few years ago flying LA to Sydney I left phone on in language ( set on roaming), when I arrived in Sydney had a text from Vodaphone New Caledonia asking to connect( time was correct for overflight @ 38000′

    Have they checked all local phone providers for auto connect data?

    That is a very interesting hypothesis/possibility. I didn’t know that about phone software, thanks.

  • 652
    Everything
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:33 pm | Permalink

    I reckon the whole thing is an elaborate ABC (the US network not old Aunty) media campaign to prepare for a new series of LOST

  • 653
    Tricot
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    And the final straw for tonight I suppose…according to Sandilands again…..the Chinese have declared they issued the satellite images of supposed debris “by mistake” and have withdrawn them.

  • 654
    Diogenes
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    A nice boat trip to Langkawi is looking better all the time.

  • 655
    Dee
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    Watched an episode of Air Crash Investigations and three bolts on the tail wing were el cheapos/counterfeit, $30 instead of the $200 a bolt.

    Three dodgy bolts brought the plane down.

  • 656
    frednk
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:36 pm | Permalink

    Plane pinched is better than plane crashed, that is for sure.

  • 657
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:38 pm | Permalink

    The weekly column of Prof Wallerstein of Yale UniV(USA) looks at world problems and often at the M East

    Here he looks at the changing scene in the often seemingly changeless Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

    The Saudi ruling family is nowadays scared witless as all sorts of revolts spread around them
    The richest family in all human history seek to save themselves and their vast wealth…even starting to question their 70 year long alliance with the USA…

    ‘The author..an expert in the field… has some interesting insights on what may be to come in the Gulf…some of which will shake the world…not to mention the House of Saud… and it’s neighbours….the Gulf Emirates…

  • 658
    zoidlord
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:40 pm | Permalink

    Possum Comitatus ‏@Pollytics 1m

    Dear citizens of Burleigh RT @MichaelHartMP: pic.twitter.com/5h3l64P4U5

  • 659
    Dee
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:40 pm | Permalink

    Who knows what the satellite spotted.

    Up to 10000 shipping containers disappear overboard every year

  • 660
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:41 pm | Permalink

    Prof Wallerstein’s column on Saudi

    http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2014/3/saudi-arabia-foreignrelations.html

  • 661
    Diogenes
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:42 pm | Permalink

    It’s not getting any better..

    AUTHORITIES in Malaysia have denied reports that the Malaysian Airlines plane continued to emit data and fly for four hours after it was last tracked on radar.

    At a press conference in Kuala Lumpur, Defence Minister Hishammuddin Hussein debunked the theory, saying that both Boeing and Rolls Royce experts say they are inaccurate.

    And he revealed that Chinese satellite imagery, purporting to show what looked like debris in the South China Sea, were released without permission and were not connected to the search for MH370.

  • 662
    Centre
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:49 pm | Permalink

    Could the pilot have steered a magnificent dive into the ocean like they do off a diving board at the Olympics?

  • 663
    Rossmore
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:53 pm | Permalink

    There is no media release on the Rolls Royce website confirming or denying the story about Rolls Royce receiving data from the MAS 370 flight. Yet the Malaysian authorities claim the story is not true.

    If the story wasnt true a responsible multi national company would quickly put out a release denying or confirming the study one way or another.

    Somehow I get the feeling that the real story of MAS is yet to emerge.

  • 664
    Centre
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:59 pm | Permalink

    frednk

    Who’d want to pinch the plane with a few hundred people on board?

  • 665
    Centre
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:00 pm | Permalink

    Gee that’s funny Everything :(

  • 666
    Thomas. Paine.
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:01 pm | Permalink

    Wasn’t there a warning giving about fatigue/cracking of the fuselage around/below the antenna? For this/these planes.

    Does the transponder use the antenna to transmit? If the antenna came away and immediately decompressed the cabin it is possible that all became unconcious fairly quickly.. but I thought the pilots as well as cabin had drop down oxygen masks for such a situation.

    However the scenario would allow for the plane to fly on until it ran out fuel…with all on board unconscious/dead.

    That would leave the question of the planes change in direction….however if pilot was suffering the effects of lack of oxygen…then mistakes in piloting guaranteed. However again the immediate reaction would be to dive to a lower altitude…

    If the plane for such a long time…and in distress their would have been text messages from passengers….thus they would have had to have been unconscious…..

    curiouser

    Want to see the engine data transmission story confirmed..

  • 667
    frednk
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:02 pm | Permalink

    Centre
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 10:59 pm | Permalink

    frednk

    Who’d want to pinch the plane with a few hundred people on board?

    Dam good question, fiction authors eat your heart out!

  • 668
    frednk
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:05 pm | Permalink

    Probable been posted, but worth a second read surly.

    And all three men are serious, economically minded people. Ignore them at your peril.

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/tony-abbott-or-ken-henry-bernie-fraser-and-ross-garnaut–who-do-you-believe-20140313-34oxf.html#ixzz2vqN1IIkT

  • 669
    Thomas. Paine.
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:06 pm | Permalink

    Prof Wallerstein’s column on Saudi

    And this is how Russia could play the game back at the US coup in the Ukraine and current gamesmanship as I alluded to before. Stirring trouble in Suadi Arabia through Shiites ….

    I recall that the Suadi King? made a direct threat to Putin not so long ago for his interfering in their attempt to change the Syrian govt.

  • 670
    Dee
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:08 pm | Permalink

    [ ‘‘A slow decompression (e.g. from a golfball-sized hole) would have gradually impaired and confused the pilots before cabin altitude (pressure) warnings sounded,’’ it said.
    ‘‘If the decompression was slow enough, it’s possible the pilots did not realize to put on oxygen masks until it was too late. [It] also explains why another pilot thirty minutes ahead heard “mumbling” from MH370 pilots. (VHF comms would be unaffected by SATCOM equipment failure.).’’]

  • 671
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:12 pm | Permalink

    669…T Paine…re Saudi
    Yes absolutly right Tom

    At the time it was said that Putin might deal with the Saudi threat to the Soochi Games in several ways
    He was clearly thyreatened by the Saudis who resented his sujpport fopr the secular govt in Syria

    Any”crash”in Saudi would be an immense blow to the US power…and to its part of the wealth of the oil there

  • 672
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:16 pm | Permalink

    Rwe lost plane
    ____________
    Wasn’t there a crash some years ago…in the US??..of an aircraft where the crew and passengers of a small plane were all killed by a windscreen blow-out and that de-pressurized the cabin…and the plane continued on it’s course until it later crashed…pilotless to the end????

  • 673
    frednk
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:17 pm | Permalink

    Another conspiracy theory.
    This ended the British Aircraft manufacturing industry.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBcCv2UaiPo

    Similar problem with the 777 could do the same to the USA industry; Airbus rules.
    Interpole rules out terrorism, oh no no said the CIA.
    She ran for another 5 hours says the WSJ.

  • 674
    frednk
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:20 pm | Permalink

    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:16 pm | Permalink

    Rwe lost plane
    ____________
    Wasn’t there a crash some years ago…in the US??..of an aircraft where the crew and passengers of a small plane were all killed by a windscreen blow-out and that de-pressurized the cabin…and the plane continued on it’s course until it later crashed…pilotless to the end????

    Been several.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000_Australia_Beechcraft_King_Air_crash

  • 675
    markjs
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:26 pm | Permalink

    Deblonay…

    Is this the one you’re thinking of?

    http://www.pga.com/news/golf-buzz/remembering-payne-stewart-14-years-after-tragic-death

  • 676
    deblonay
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:27 pm | Permalink

    Re the 1950ies comet crashes..one flying to England from SE Asia
    carried on board the Vic State Liberal leader,Trevor Oldham
    Oldham was bound for London for the Coronation

    His death wasa great shock to the LIbs then in opposition to the Cain Labor Govt…Victoria’s first ever majority Labor Govt(soon to to destroyed by the DLP in the 1955 split)

    Oldham’s death caused a leadership vacancy…it was filled by Henry Bolte… soon to become the longest serving Liberal leader ever in Vic

  • 677
    Dee
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:28 pm | Permalink

    Helios plane circled Athens for two hours on auto pilot before crashing.

    All 121 on board were frozen solid.

  • 678
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:29 pm | Permalink

    Gnarly surf pics dude …

    http://dailym.ai/1i8LYFJ

  • 679
    imacca
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:35 pm | Permalink

    http://articles.latimes.com/2005/sep/11/local/me-then11

    Some out of control planes just dont want to die.

  • 680
    kezza2
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:39 pm | Permalink

    Not to mention Helios Airways Flight 522 of 2005

    The so-called ghost plane.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helios_Airways_Flight_522

    Tragic.

  • 681
    imacca
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:41 pm | Permalink

    Hmmmmm, reading that article makes me think it must have been VERY unpleasant to have been on the ground in WWII, in Germany, when a stream of allied bombers was passing overhead on its way to break things and hurt people elsewhere. There would have been a constant rain of big bullets, jagged shrapnel, and shell casings all falling from 20000 feet or so.

    As well as odd bits of aircraft and aircrew. :(

  • 682
    kezza2
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:43 pm | Permalink

    Ooooh, snap, Dee @ 677.

    Actually they weren’t frozen solid, just oxygen-deprived,

    They were alive when they hit the ground, fortunately unconscious.

  • 683
    Jimmyhaz
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:46 pm | Permalink

    fred @668

    “Australia, at the official level, went from being a high-tax, high-regulating government to being a low-tax, deregulating government.” – Abbott

    He does realise he sounds like an utter moron, right?

    These things are a means to an end, not an end in and of themselves. He seems to think that somehow implementing his ideology will make the Australian economy boom overnight.

    He makes my head hurt.

  • 684
    zoidlord
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:54 pm | Permalink

    @Jimmy/683

    Sounds like he wants to tax the country to death.

  • 685
    Jimmyhaz
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:57 pm | Permalink

    zoid @684

    Sure, as long as the tax doesn’t fall upon our wealthy overlords.

  • 686
    Steve777
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:58 pm | Permalink

    He does realise he sounds like an utter moron, right?

    He probably doesn’t. So who’s really running the Federal Government? When GW Bush was US President, it was Dick Cheney running the USA, but in Australia now?

  • 687
    zoidlord
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:58 pm | Permalink

    @Jimmy/685

    That’s easy, Expand and Increase GST, and give wealthy Mass Tax Cuts.

  • 688
    lefty e
    Posted Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 11:59 pm | Permalink

    6% unemployment. Abbott Fail.

  • 689
    Jimmyhaz
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 12:08 am | Permalink

    steve @686

    I want to say Murdoch, but it’s a bit of a cop-out answer really. I suppose the real answer is those that finance his campaign’s, and have sold the LNP on the voodoo economic’s that they are currently pushing. Very, very wealthy people, I imagine.

  • 690
    kezza2
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 12:09 am | Permalink

    Jimmyhaz

    He makes my head hurt.

    You’re not on your own, kiddo.

    He makes my

    laughter die
    teeth gnash
    buttocks clench

    and makes me wonder if

    life is worth living

    when a two-faced narcissistic pathological liar has assumed the grandest seat in the land.

    Poor fellow, my country.

    (which reminds me, excellent joke way back when, badcat :lol: )

  • 691
    zoidlord
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 12:26 am | Permalink

    God downloading something 2.3gb takes forever on 400Kb/sec connection compared to someone on a 15Mbps connection!

  • 692
    kezza2
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 12:39 am | Permalink

    Thanks to whoever posted this link:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2578228/Surfer-ditches-board-camera-capture-precise-moment-biggest-waves-break-positions-right-them.html

    Phew! Glad I didn’t see this when studying ‘light’ in physics. I would have had too many questions.

    Simply magnificent photography, though.

  • 693
    zoidlord
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 12:44 am | Permalink

    Sounds like liberals been rewriting the NBNCo website:
    http://www.nbnco.com.au/get-an-nbn-connection/wholesale-speeds.html

  • 694
    Otiose
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 4:15 am | Permalink

    → → 14/03/2014 04:15 —- Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #auspol http://bit.ly/1fzWvcz by David Rowe ©

  • 695
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 5:13 am | Permalink

    Phone-hacking trial: Princess Diana 'gave royal phone book to NoW'

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-26557920

  • 696
    BK
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 7:20 am | Permalink

    Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
    This alleged sporting sledge went way too far.
    http://www.smh.com.au/sport/brendon-santalabs-sledge-revealed-why-ali-abbas-couldnt-stay-silent-20140313-hvibs.html
    Arrests reported to me imminent for the Manus murder. Complete with a nice little Ron Tandberg cartoon.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/arrests-loom-over-manus-island-killing-police-says-20140313-34pm6.html
    Sinidinos is really going to muck things up with these ideological and unnecessary changes.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/financial-advisers-have-most-to-gain-in-proposals-20140313-34pmi.html
    MUST READ. Michelle Grattan tells us about the excessive tribalism of the Abbott government.
    http://tinyurl.com/mdpn522
    Abbott would rather listen to his own “experts”.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/economists-back-carbon-pricing-as-effective-tool-against-climate-change-20140313-34pkt.html
    Hardly surprising that the WA Opposition has called for an inquiry into the Buswell fiasco.
    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/13/troy-buswell-car-crash-wa-opposition-demands-public-inquiry
    Now this will be an interesting case!
    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/bendigo-bank-claims-15m-from-crown-for-stolen-funds-20140313-34plc.html
    Richard Ackland on Brandis’s problems with 18.c and he piles nicely into Chris Kenny.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/george-brandis-knottwister-over-free-speech-20140313-34p6q.html
    Don’t worry children. Fiona has your back!
    http://www.theage.com.au/lifestyle/diet-and-fitness/kelloggs-sneaky-sugary-cereal-swap-20140313-34ntx.html
    A big serve for Abbott on his attitude to protected environments.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/retreat-on-protected-areas-unfortunate-experts-20140313-34pcj.html

  • 697
    BK
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 7:20 am | Permalink

    Section 2 . . .

    Alan Moir has Popeye Abbott explaining his policy development process.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/alan-moir-20090907-fdxk.html
    MUST SEE! David Rowe does it again.
    http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO
    And Cathy Wilcox come in in similar vein
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/cathy-wilcox-20090909-fhd6.html
    David Pope on balancing the budget.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html

  • 698
    victoria
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 7:37 am | Permalink

    Morning

    Qantas Senate inquiry today. Alan Joyce will front up as well as union represenfatives.

    Also Abbott being interviewed this morning in ABC 774 with Jon Faine. Apparently he will discuss the Royal commission into union corruption.

  • 699
    BK
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 7:46 am | Permalink

    And from the Land of the Free -

    FoxNews’s Varney on overtime. Makes your eyes bleed.
    http://crooksandliars.com/2014/03/foxs-varney-overtime-pay-unfair-companies
    This says EVERYTHING about Fox!
    http://crooksandliars.com/2014/03/oklahoma-fox-affiliate-edited-evolution
    Paris makes public transport free to tackle pollution.
    http://crooksandliars.com/2014/03/paris-makes-public-transport-free-tackle
    The worm has well and truly turned with ObamaCare.
    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/03/13/1284460/-Bloomberg-poll-Obamacare-gets-record-nbsp-support
    Just have a look at this slew of legislation to relax the already lax gun laws in Georgia!
    http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2014/03/georgia-guns-concealed-carry-stand-your-ground
    “Flexibility” MacDonalds style.
    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/03/13/1284440/-McDonald-s-workers-file-suits-over-wage-theft-in-three-states
    Only in America! Cop shoots old guy reaching for his cane.
    http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017180839
    The Young Turks on “Guns for Jesus” in Kentucky.
    http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017180682
    A Repug Senator gets a lot more than he bargained for in this committee hearing on health care.
    http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017180682

  • 700
    zoomster
    Posted Friday, March 14, 2014 at 7:47 am | Permalink

    Kudos to Cathy McGowan – this is a ballsy but realistic approach to this issue –

    IT’S time to move on from Big Buffalo, says Indi MP Cathy McGowan.

    See your ad here

    Plans to expand Lake Buffalo, near Myrtleford, into a million-megalitre dam are no longer practical with the advent of the Murray-Darling Basin agreement, Ms McGowan said yesterday.

    And with 50 years of inaction on the proposed project, she added, successive state and federal governments would have built it by now if they truly wanted it.

    ..Ms McGowan made the comments following a tour of the Lake Buffalo region from Big Buffalo lobby group members Tiff Rayner, Kev Dinneen and Fred Neal.

    The group wants the Victorian government to make a decision on whether the project will go ahead or not.

    If it won’t, they want the land that was compulsorily acquired from local families for the project in the 1960s to be returned to freehold.

    And the last State government also gave the same group exactly the same answer McGowan did, but they didn’t accept it.

    It will be interesting if they do this time.

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