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South Australian election live

A thread for discussion of tonight’s South Australian election count as the results roll in.

As I type, polling booths in South Australia are set to close at any tick of the clock. I do so from the studios of ABC Television in Adelaide, where I’ll be standing in for Antony Green, who spends the evening grappling with Tasmania’s high-maintenance electoral system. Obviously I won’t have much to offer in the way of live commentary on this site, but here’s a thread where you can call the toss as the results roll in.

452
  • 1
    Diogenes
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 6:30 pm | Permalink

    Sky reporting exit polls 52-48 to Libs with 3% swing in marginals so easy Lib win.

    Then again, they also said that last time.

  • 2
    sprocket_
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 6:30 pm | Permalink

    GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 17m
    #Newspoll SA Exit Poll Who will win: ALP 21 LIB 61 #savotes #auspol
    Details

  • 3
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 6:33 pm | Permalink

    That would be about 24-25 seats to the Libs, not counting Mt. Gambier. Wait and see, obviously, but that kinda is what my gut’s been telling me all day.

  • 4
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 6:38 pm | Permalink

    My gut’s been telling me “Tim Tams” all day. Let’s wait for NUMBERS.

  • 5
    J341983
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 6:43 pm | Permalink

    As I said in the other thread… let’s remember Newspoll’s Federal Election exit poll, which had the LNP winning 97 seats and Griffith at 50/50…

    I mean, I fully expect a Liberal Government one way or another… but Australia still isn’t really that good on exit polling.

  • 6
    confessions
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 6:45 pm | Permalink

    All the best with your commentary on the ABC William!

  • 7
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 6:52 pm | Permalink

    To be quite honest, I’m more interested in the Legislative Council results than the House of Assembly ones.

  • 8
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:06 pm | Permalink

    Go Bilbo on Aunty.

  • 9
    Diogenes
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:06 pm | Permalink

    I’m sure William had more hair last time I saw him.

  • 10
    Edi_Mahin
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:08 pm | Permalink

    Listen to ABC Radio coverage.

    For what it is worth Liberal Jamie Briggs did not seem confident of the Liberals claiming Ashford but extremely confident of picking up Torrens.

    Michael Atkinson seems to be a bit worried about Giles.

  • 11
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:08 pm | Permalink

    Well we know who is to blame for that.

  • 12
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:12 pm | Permalink

    Lots of insight from guests on ABC24 suggesting the close marginals are seats to watch. Who would’ve thought?

  • 13
    confessions
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:15 pm | Permalink

    The SA ABC panel is way less tribal than the Tas ABC one. Green got the short straw on that front.

  • 14
    Peter of Marino
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:16 pm | Permalink

    Watching Hamilton Smiths eyebrows is the only entertainment so far excluding William.

  • 15
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:18 pm | Permalink

    How come the ABC vote totals are going backwards?

  • 16
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:19 pm | Permalink

    Well, bad weather here is making my TV signal constantly cut out, so I might have to endure without the ABC hijinks

  • 17
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:19 pm | Permalink

    Diogs,

    So did you!

  • 18
    Edi_Mahin
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:20 pm | Permalink

    I cannot stand Vicky Chapman, she just annoys me every and any time I hear her.

  • 19
    rossmcg
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:22 pm | Permalink

    Confessions

    There used to be a tradition years ago where election night coverage was a time to just step away from partisan positions in the interests of informing the brewers
    I think nick Minchin is one of the first I saw throw that in the bin and if has got worse since.
    I imagine watching Abetz tonight will be even more stomach churning than usuall.

  • 20
    Diogenes
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:23 pm | Permalink

    GG

    Diogs,

    So did you!

    That’s true actually.

    When I put on the TV and said to Mrs Diogenes (who has seen William once before) that William was on, she said which one is he. I replied the one whose hair looks like mine.

  • 21
    Diogenes
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:24 pm | Permalink

    Edi

    I cannot stand Vicky Chapman, she just annoys me every and any time I hear her.

    Most people in the Liberal Party think the same.

  • 22
    confessions
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:26 pm | Permalink

    rossmcg:

    Actually I find Minchin way more charming and with greater personality than Abetz.

  • 23
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:26 pm | Permalink

    Vicki Chapman sounds like one of those British Tories. You know the ones who think they’re aristocracy?

  • 24
    rossmcg
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:27 pm | Permalink

    Confessions

    Yeah Minchin is charming, like a rattlesnake. Ask Malcolm turnbull.

  • 25
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:30 pm | Permalink

    I’ve met Minchin and he is actually quite pleasant. You’d never know how evil he is.

  • 26
    confessions
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:31 pm | Permalink

    rossmcg:

    Experience has taught me it’s often the charming ones you have to be wary of. Minchin comes across as quite engaging and personable, despite having a ruthless, cunning undercurrent.

  • 27
    Raaraa
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:33 pm | Permalink

    At least the discussion on the SA panel is a long more diplomatic as compared to the one of the Tasmanian panel. Abetz and O’Connor are at it.

  • 28
    Edwina StJohn
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:36 pm | Permalink

    What a shame for Jay!

    The Federal factors and the unpopularity of Shorten was the extra bit of lead in the saddlebags that’s cost him a surprise win!

  • 29
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:36 pm | Permalink

    Everyone has their human side. Minchin quit politics after his son was badly injured in a boating accident. My former boss has a lot of respect for him. But he was the intellectual leader of climate denialism in the Liberal Party.

  • 30
    rossmcg
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:38 pm | Permalink

    Minchin is the ultimate political powerbroker. A whatever it takes man. Labor isn’t the only party with them.

  • 31
    Edwina StJohn
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:40 pm | Permalink

    Yes rossmcg but only Labor assassinates first term Prime Ministers.

  • 32
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:41 pm | Permalink

    Seems much of the swing to the Libs has come from others, yet others are on track to win 2 seats.

    If edwina wants to get on the table and dance, it may be a tad premature.

  • 33
    rossmcg
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:42 pm | Permalink

    Psephos

    Minchin quit parliament, I doubt he has quit politics.
    That is a pinch of a quote from the late Tony Benn.

  • 34
    thesilverbodgie
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:42 pm | Permalink

    Erica Betz,what a nasty piece of work he is.

  • 35
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:42 pm | Permalink

    On early votes the swing against the ALP is going to the Greens.

  • 36
    confessions
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:43 pm | Permalink

    But he was the intellectual leader of climate denialism in the Liberal Party.

    As well as the scientific evidence around exposure to second hand smoking and its manifest harmful effects.

  • 37
    rossmcg
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:44 pm | Permalink

    EStJ
    I know I shouldn’t reply to you… Tories knife first term premiers and chief ministers

  • 38
    Edi_Mahin
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:44 pm | Permalink

    Early figures might be misleading but it seems we are not heading to the close election that Newspoll indicated, more of a Reachtel result election.

  • 39
    outside left
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:44 pm | Permalink

    ESJ @ 31, you’re 2 and a half years early with that statement

  • 40
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:45 pm | Permalink

    Can anyone name any seats changing hands yet? The ECSA site is pretty useless so far,

  • 41
    J341983
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:46 pm | Permalink

    Edi @38… on what grounds are you suggesting this?

    It looks even closer than I was anticipating.

  • 42
    Edwina StJohn
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:46 pm | Permalink

    Portolesi and Fox GONE!

  • 43
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:49 pm | Permalink

    The ECSA website has crashed.

  • 44
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:49 pm | Permalink

    Portolesi and Fox GONE!

    ABC says otherwise, no seats have changed so far. Get your knickers wet somewhere else if you wish to provide false facts on an election thread.

  • 45
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:49 pm | Permalink

    Interesting that the Green vote seems to be increasing, albeit slightly.

  • 46
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:50 pm | Permalink

    (Of course, there’s still plenty of time for that to change)

  • 47
    Edwina StJohn
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:51 pm | Permalink

    Silly ruawake k.c – hartley is there on abc website. Dont worry Bright is Gooorne to – itll show up shortly

  • 48
    Edi_Mahin
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:51 pm | Permalink

    According the ABC radio Hartley and Bright are down as losses . Also Tom Kenyon in trouble in his seat. Big swings in Mawson as well. Giles might be in trouble as well.

  • 49
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:52 pm | Permalink

    Colton update: 43.8% caica (alp) at Henley south booth. 38.1% Barrie (lib). Greens 10.2%. FF 2.2%.

  • 50
    deblonay
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 7:52 pm | Permalink

    Ed?? Edwina ?? St John
    ________________________
    Only you could be stupid enough top think that Shorten could have any effect on the SA Election

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