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Tasmanian Politics

Mar 15, 2014

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Polls have closed in Tasmania, and votes should start coming in any tick of the clock. I’ll be preoccupied this evening covering the South Australian election count for ABC Television. ABC News 24 will be alternating through the night between the South Australian coverage and the Tasmanian, the latter of which is being handled by Antony Green on account of its high-maintenance electoral system.

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

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35 comments

35 thoughts on “Tasmanian election live

  1. ALP will not get 7; they will be lucky to get 6. At this stage they have 1 in each electorate and possibly 2 in Denison, but the Greens at this early stage are leading them for a second seat there.

  2. These are misleading figures: in Bass, Braddon and Lyons they are mostly from small rural booths. In Denison Kevin B says Labor will improve when the big northern suburbs booths come in.

  3. I see Cassy O’Connor is threatening to fly down mainlanders to impose eco-extremist blockades to impose their desired outcome by force now that they’ve lost at the ballot box. Of course the CPSU and NSDAP knew how to deal with such people. I love dark fantasies.

  4. I’m posting all alone on here tonight. The behaviour of the Tassie Libs is most ungracious and unimpressive. They seem to be looking forward with great enthusiasm to war in the forest. All a bit childish. Rather depressing.

  5. Wow, that was gracious of Giddings to say sorry to Hodgeman that his parents are unfortunately not around to celebrate his victory with him.

  6. @18 meher baba,
    I’m not a big fan of electoral systems where preferences get exhausted. This one in particular has the same air as that of Queensland in 2012.

  7. She might be a nice person but she is giving the wrong speech on a night her party got slaughtered.

    Its all we were wonderful we were wonderful we have reformed we have blah blah blah

    You got slaughtered, tell the voters you will listen, don’t tell them how good you are.

  8. Everything: the speech was a bit long, but it struck the right tone: it saluted the cause she believes in and the people who believed in her.

    It was the antithesis of Rudd’s concession speech last year, which was all about him.

  9. [23
    Everything
    Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 9:20 pm | PERMALINK
    Is this speech still going?

    YIKES!]

    She’s an outgoing premier. Unless you’re Tasmanian I suggest you butt out. I hope you’re enjoying Eric Abetz while you can. He hasn’t been called the most Hayes man in Tasmani for nothing.

  10. O boy McKin’s speech started off okay but soon turned into the most long winded election night speech i can recall in way too many years of following election nights.

  11. McKim doesn’t get guaranteed media cover for his speeches, so you can understand him making the most of it.

    I thought Hodgman’s speech the least interesting of the three. He’s a decent enough fellow, but no orator.

  12. http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2014/03/tasmanian-state-election-late-night-wrap.html

    Denison 2-2-1. Called.
    Franklin 3-1-1. Almost certain but if Labor can lift dramatically in late counting 2-2-1 is still possible.
    Bass 3-1-1. Almost certain with a sliver of a chance of 3-2-0 off the back of anti-Green preferences and Ginninderra effect.
    Lyons 3-1-1 or 3-2-0. Tossup until I look at it much more closely.
    Braddon slightly leaning 4-1-0 (yikes), otherwise 3-2-0. PUP and the Greens look busted.

    Probably 14-6-3 with 1 unclear ALP/Lib, 1 unclear ALP/Grn.

    Worst Labor vote since Hare-Clark began in 1909. But still better than polls (or I) expected!

  13. #34…Don’t be silly and malicious. The pre-election opinion polls were suggesting that scenario was possible, and the Greens reacted to those independent polls by campaigning for official Opposition status, and why shouldn’t they have?

    Whether it was a bad move or not is irrelevant.