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Federal Politics 2013-

Mar 20, 2014

BludgerTrack: 50.1-49.9 to Coalition

A slight lead in Nielsen, together with the fading effect of weak results a few weeks back, finds the Coalition squeaking ahead on two-party preferred for the first time this year.

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This week’s lead to the Coalition in Nielsen, together with a particularly bad result for Labor from Essential, has given the Coalition a two-party lead in the weekly BludgerTrack poll aggregate for the first time this year, albeit by the barest of margins. This represents a considerable move on last week’s result, which equally reflects the fading effect of Labor’s 54-46 and 53-47 leads in Newspoll and ReachTEL three to four weeks ago. With the electoral terrain favouring the Coalition, a fairly comfortable majority is recorded on the seat projection, with four coming off the Labor gains from Queensland since last week, together with two each from New South Wales and Victoria and one each from Western Australia and Tasmania. A new set of leadership figures is provided by Nielsen, which maintains the slowly narrowing trajectory on preferred prime minister and slightly lifts both leaders on net satisfaction.

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

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1655 comments

1,655 thoughts on “BludgerTrack: 50.1-49.9 to Coalition

  1. deblonay

    hullo me old commo mate

    you seek fascists under the bed but look in all the wrong places – the only fascist with power in today’s world is inside the kremlin – a basically uneducated thug with criminal cunning who is driven by a search for self aggrandisement – one suspects a main reading is hitler and desire for living room for german speakers in greater germany. that and arms build up and bleitzreig – this man jails or kills his oppositions, and will tolerate no dissent – he is as close to a dictator as one knows in the western world – and you mr deblonay will make no criticism of your hero, and continue to spout pro putin propaganda for weeks on this place. errors in american interventions in past decade do not excuse putin – he is no answer to american excesses, and in this instance america has very very good reasons which you seem to ignore or misunderstand for getting involved in the ukraine – they have indeed helped stymie the great threat to world peace in decades –

  2. re:the picture in the article

    https://theconversation.com/png-mateship-on-asylum-seekers-no-substitute-for-rigorous-policy-and-decent-conditions-24701

    Is it just me, or do others think abbott is getting that freaky plastic surgery/botox/hair dye look that you see more commonly in the US? I know it probably shouldn’t matter, but somehow it does – I see it a sign of an immature, vain, bull-shit artiste and superficial individual, who knows the real him is not very attractive.

  3. sustainable future@1652

    re:the picture in the article

    https://theconversation.com/png-mateship-on-asylum-seekers-no-substitute-for-rigorous-policy-and-decent-conditions-24701

    Is it just me, or do others think abbott is getting that freaky plastic surgery/botox/hair dye look that you see more commonly in the US? I know it probably shouldn’t matter, but somehow it does – I see it a sign of an immature, vain, bull-shit artiste and superficial individual, who knows the real him is not very attractive.

    Been at it since he was made LOTO, in my inexpert opinion. There have been a lot of sudden changes in his face and hair colour than can be explained by Mummy Nature. In fact I think Mummy Nature was expressing disapproval when she gave him that hunch-back.