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BludgerTrack: 51.8-48.2 to Labor

After last week’s lurch to the Coalition, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate is back where it was a fortnight ago after three stronger poll results for Labor, most notably from Newspoll.

The BludgerTrack yo-yo moves in Labor’s direction this week, returning to almost exactly where it was a fortnight ago after lurching to 50.1-49.9 in favour of the Coalition last week. The movement last week was driven by a 51-49 lead to the Coalition in Nielsen, while this week’s comes on the back of three strong results for Labor from Newspoll, Morgan and Essential, with the former having the greatest weight in the model. The primary vote results are notable for having the Greens at a new high for the current term, and a look at the charts suggests the recent move in their favour is more than just statistical noise.

On the seat projection, Labor is up 11 this week after losing 10 last week, the distribution of gains being two from New South Wales, one from Victoria, four from Queensland, two from Western Australia and one each from South Australia and the Northern Territory. This is the second week in a row that four seats have shifted on the Queensland projection, emphasising the point that the state remains a target-rich environment for marginal seats. Newspoll also provides a new set of results for leadership ratings, which produce only negligible shifts on last week’s numbers.

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  • 101
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:37 am | Permalink

    Thank you. From now on I shall be Sir Lefty E, Earl of Keating Towers.

  • 102
    mari
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:38 am | Permalink

    http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/22174112/labor-likens-tony-abbott-to-marty-mcfly/

    From Yahoo 7 very popular article :grin:

  • 103
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:38 am | Permalink

    Abbott getting it on the ABC every caller is is calling themselves Dame Lady or Sir.

    This is quite possibly the moment the republic came back into vogue.

  • 104
    Tricot
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:39 am | Permalink

    I think it is pretty well accepted the conservatives do not get irony.

    One of Abbott’s skites is that these up-to-4-per year new Nites and Dames are somehow special – gongs for those who walk close to the gods or are gods themselves in the Land of Oz. The gongs are there to distinguish the recipients from the other plebs who have to be satisfied with their various levels of OAs or, like the majority of Oz citizens, get nothing and do not care.

    Meanwhile, in the UK, the Nites and Dames are two-a-penny and handed out, for among other things, as a reward for being popular or being good at what the recipient does. So we see David White (Frost) and Ian Botham getting them in the Old Dart for being good at what they do and is it Terry Wogan? for just being Terry Wogan?

    In the meantime, when our Dames and Nites turn up at Heathrow without their British passports they are seen as ‘aliens’ despite Lizzy tickling them on the shoulder.

    I suppose Sir General Peter and his good lady will be off for another trip to Buck House at tax payers expense to get his gong.

    Or, now with Skype, could he go through some kind of ceremony on line?

    Imagine if Labor had pulled this stunt…we would never heard the end of it.

    Not so bad if the Liberal party itself had promised to restore these anachronistic awards before the election and/or they had even talked about it beforehand.

    But no, autocratic, erratic, despotic Abbott has done this all on his own.

    Sir Talc’s response shows who is a total phoney as well.

    And for those conservatives who think the former GG (QB) is some kind of sell out, I gather she was ambushed and was too polite to throw it back in Abbott’s face so as not to make a fuss, will not use the title and not expect to be addressed by the title.

    Meanwhile General Sir Peter Blimp is likely to wallow in the title. A working class boy made good.

    I wonder if his good lady wife will be Lady…..Cosgrove? If so, what has she done to have such an honorific given to her?

  • 105
    MTBW
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:40 am | Permalink

    lefty e

    That is a great moniker! You have chosen one of my two favourite PMs.

    Titles as cheap as chips it seems. We can all have one.

  • 106
    Steven Grant Haby
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:41 am | Permalink

    Re: Brandis and the winding back of the anti-discrimination legislation.

    There is a ripper letter from Rowan Forster in today’s Age regarding what might be in the future if this legislation gets through.

    I wonder how long it goes before some of the more conservative commentators with glass jaws and thin hides might want this legislation changed … back

    Bolt
    Albrectstein
    Devine
    Henderson
    Jones

    to name just a few…

  • 107
    mari
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:41 am | Permalink

    MTBW
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:37 am | PERMALINK
    mari

    I am a republican too but is the honors are free we may as well all get one. :smile:

    But not from this particular “giver out” of titles

    Agree ridicule is the best way to fight this idiot

  • 108
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:42 am | Permalink

    Cue massive jump in support for the republic.

    One day historians will mark this event as the beginning of the end for constitutional monarchism in Australia.

  • 109
    dave
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:44 am | Permalink

    zoomster@87

    dave


    He refused one from the UK many years ago


    Not what I’ve heard. The story I read said that he was on the list, and the Queen rejected his nomination — apparently the only time she has used her veto in this situation.

    He is, however, a papal knight, so he’s not adverse to honours.

    You may be right and what I read sometime ago may just sour grapes from murdoch ?

    No doubt someone will raise it further in the current circumstances.

    I think Carlton said something yesterday along the lines that murdoch was anti knighthoods etc yesterday as well.

  • 110
    guytaur
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:44 am | Permalink

    “@MrDenmore: If colonialism is back, can we put the governor-general in a top hat, fill him up with gin & have him to turf the government out? #auspol”

  • 111
    MTBW
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:45 am | Permalink

    mari

    And it is rampant on Sydney rradio.

    I hope Labor have real fun in Question Time.

    Bronwyn may have apoplexy!

  • 112
    Tricot
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:45 am | Permalink

    And the thought also occurred to wonder if Mrs Cosgove now becomes Lady Cosgrove, what does the male half of a Dame get called?

    Boy, so long ago when all this touch-of-the-forelock stuff meant something…..

  • 113
    davidwh
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:46 am | Permalink

    One day historians will mark this event as the beginning of the end for constitutional monarchism in Australia.

    I believe our current constitutional system will long outlast knights, dames and Abbotts.

  • 114
    Steve777
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:46 am | Permalink

    And Ill say it: bit disappointed in Bryce for accepting the silly thing.

    I said something similar yesterday but I’m now inclined to agree with the poster above that she was wedged. She didn’t want to involve herself in political controversay, especially at the time of her handover to her successor. In the normal course of her duties she accepts the advice of her Prime Minister. She could have refused but there would have been a question mark – why Cosgrove and not her? The reason would have been interpreted as a statement of her views on the matter and disapproval of Abbott’s revival of the title. It may have been interpretted as a snub to Abbott. So she probably did not want to make that statement in what would have been a highly visible way. Also, just her natural grace and dignity would make her hesitate to refuse the honour.

  • 115
    cud chewer
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:46 am | Permalink

    William,

    I think bludgertrack is a little bit too highly strung.

  • 116
    DisplayName
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:46 am | Permalink

    This just goes to show how empty and superficial Abbott is.

  • 117
    DisplayName
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:48 am | Permalink

    He’s not going to *be* a great PM, he’s going to *play* one.

  • 118
    davidwh
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:50 am | Permalink

    Abbott was never going to be a great PM not even a good one. I was hopeing his government could be an average government though.

  • 119
    Diogenes
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:51 am | Permalink

    If Bryce was happy to say she was a Republican (but still hypocritically became GG) I can’t see why she wouldn’t be happy to say she disagreed with Knighthoods.

    There’s a lot of turd polishing going on here.

  • 120
    CTar1
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:52 am | Permalink

    davidwh

    I was hopeing his government could be an average government though.

    Forlorn hope.

  • 121
    guytaur
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:53 am | Permalink

    @strom_m: This is turning into a government of Sir Prizes (geddit)

    http://t.co/0WtghDio5h via @smh #fb

  • 122
    daretotread
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:53 am | Permalink

    Sir William of Bowe

    I shall hence forth be known as Dame Dare Twotread of Bananaland

  • 123
    Boerwar
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:54 am | Permalink

    Congratulations to Credlin and Loughnane and their brilliant unicorn tactic of knights and dames.

    Here are some Liberal things that desperately need unicorns:

    (1) The Assistant Treasurer has had to stand down and is about to be questioned by ICAC. At best he could be viewed as an incompetent know-nothing who was the official leader of a gang of desperadoes intent on plundering the public purse. At worst, he could be viewed as one of the gang.

    (2) Abbott ripped money off war orphans.

    (3) Brandis is telling Australia’s ethnics, gays, atheists, Jews, muslims, Arabs, Aborigines, Somalies, etc, etc, etc, that bigots have a right to bastardise them.

    (4) Sufficient of the Woodies’ organisations were onto what Abbott was trying to organise for the Liberal spivs in his financial advice ‘reforms’. This was to transfer tens of billions from Mums and Dads to Liberal spivs.

    (5) Abbott’s trip to PNG came a cropper when the PNG Government told him that Rudd did not have signature on a bit of paper (Abbott, of all people, should know about that little trick) about PNG resettling all the asylum seekers.

    (6) Bishop’s huffing and puffing at Russia over the Crimea had zero effect and made her, and Australia, look stupid. Again.

    (7) Obama’s Government has told Denialist Nutter Abbott that he had better put climate change back onto the G20 Agenda. Yes boss.

    (8) The APS is in serious disarray with department after department announcing cuts in staff, often in the order of 25% to 30%. The work of a host of contractors, part timers and consultants has also been slashed. Morale is rock bottom. The stress and workplace heart attacks are occurring. Naturally the Government is trying to screw their wages to less than the rate of inflation. That is, while Sinodinos was apparently sniffing the trough for a possible $20 million, Abbott helping his staff with COL problems consists of trying to keep pay increases to less than inflation. Not that Abbott or Hockey appear to be giving a sh*t about the human wreckage that surrounds them in the workplace. It is a bit like war orphans, isn’t it? Tough decisions have to be made.

    (9) The only good thing you could say about Bishop’s war on parliamentary democracy is that it is derailed when she forgets something. Which appears to happen several times a QT.

    A lot of unicorning needed. Crashed plane seaches, knights and dames? You betcha!

  • 124
    Diogenes
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:56 am | Permalink

    BW

    (6) Bishop’s huffing and puffing at Russia over the Crimea had zero effect and made her, and Australia, look stupid. Again.

    In fairness to Bishop, she wasn’t Robinson Crusoe with that one.

  • 125
    cud chewer
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 10:58 am | Permalink

    Is there a link for that bit about Obama and climate change and the G20?

  • 126
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:02 am | Permalink

    I still reckon “Dame Christopher Pyne” is the best gag so far.

    But plenty of mileage left in it.

    And the ACM should take note: Abbott is probably the best thing the Repubican Movement has had going for it in 15 years.

  • 127
    DisplayName
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:02 am | Permalink

    david, well of course not, but that’s beside the point :P .

  • 128
    davidwh
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:03 am | Permalink

    Sir William of Bowe. It has a nice rhyme to it.

    Do we now have to bow before Bowe?

  • 129
    MTBW
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:04 am | Permalink

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/tony-abbott-bypassed-colleagues-on-dames-and-knights-move-as-labor-says-its-a-distraction-from-bad-headlines-20140326-35h7y.html

    Has the video of Abbott making the announcement.

  • 130
    Tricot
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:05 am | Permalink

    I suppose we should have had some inkling of what the conservatives think is really important as Brandis was never satisfied with the SC honour.

    He longed for Queens Counsel as more befitting his lofty opinion of himself.

  • 131
    mikehilliard
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:06 am | Permalink

    I like Sir Stuntalot. :-)

  • 132
    guytaur
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:06 am | Permalink

    “@AdamBandt: Gov gags debate on ‘repeal day’. Seems in Tony Abbott’s Parliament you have the right to be a bigot but not to scrutinise legislation.”

  • 133
    kakuru
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:06 am | Permalink

    One day historians will mark this event as the beginning of the end for constitutional monarchism in Australia.

    I think so too, lefty e. I think most Australians were quite content to let sleeping dogs (corgies?) lie. Now this monarchy thing is pushed down our throats.

  • 134
    MTBW
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:07 am | Permalink

    davidwh

    We do not have to bow before Bowe we just have to be pleasant to him and not cause him trouble.

  • 135
    cud chewer
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:08 am | Permalink

    Was Abbott’s Knights and Dames stunt approved by Peta?

  • 136
    KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:09 am | Permalink

    STEVE777 – She wasn’t wedged. Many people refuse knighthoods. Just ask Keef Richards. Nobody can (or should) force someone to take an honour they do not want to take. She’s either weak or a hypocrite. My guess is both.
    In any event, she’s really soiled her reputation.

  • 137
    MTBW
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:09 am | Permalink

    mike

    How about Sir Stutter Alot!

  • 138
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:09 am | Permalink

    In more serious news report finds Australians seen as more unfriendly, racist than in the past:

    http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2014/03/24/australians-seen-more-unfriendly-racist-past-report

    This is my problem with Tories, Bigotry, border violence, and the politics of petty vengeance: I dont want my children (or anyone else’s) taking this sort of shitty, peevish small-minded behaviour as a role model.

    Fortuantely most ordinary people are more decent that our political class. But it does rub off on many.

  • 139
    KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:10 am | Permalink

    Every time Abbott comes up with an idea himself, it’s a disaster, isn’t it. The man just can’t think straight.

  • 140
    poroti
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:10 am | Permalink

    Gee the Bananafuhrer must have a death wish. Threatens doctors doctors and today in the Courier Mail this headline.

    LNP Divided in War With Lawyers

  • 141
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:11 am | Permalink

    STEVE777 – She wasn’t wedged. Many people refuse knighthoods. Just ask Keef Richards. Nobody can (or should) force someone to take an honour they do not want to take. She’s either weak or a hypocrite. My guess is both.
    In any event, she’s really soiled her reputation.

    Agree, Kevin 17. She probably could have sunk the whole silly enterprise by refusing it.

  • 142
    Darn
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:11 am | Permalink

    I’ve always found it amusing how meaningful questions like “What is your vision for Australia” completely stop Sir Pository in his tracks. His unimaginative mind just goes totally blank. Neil Mitchell asked him this morning “What is the biggest lesson you have learned so far since becoming PM?” – which was followed first by an uncomfortable silence, then by nervous laughter and a few ums and arhs and finally by what you would expect from an intellectual minnow – “Not to lose elections”.

    Pathetic. Exactly what you would expect from an attack dog posing as a Prime Minister.

  • 143
    guytaur
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:11 am | Permalink

    K17

    Give an example of a Governor or similar position that has done this.

    Refusing the honour as GG is not the same as refusing it as a private citizen.

  • 144
    davidwh
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:12 am | Permalink

    We do not have to bow before Bowe we just have to be pleasant to him and not cause him trouble.

    MTBW we would never cause him trouble except when he is distracted by his new found TV fame.

  • 145
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:13 am | Permalink

    That is pathetic Darn, yes. He’s got nothing on the agenda except petty vengenance, leaving a blank policy slate filled with half-baked and unworkable brainfarts from the IPA.

  • 146
    DisplayName
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:14 am | Permalink

    He’s a cargo cultist. He thinks it’s a matter of putting out the right symbols, gestures, atmosphere or whatever and that will magically result in a change of reality.

  • 147
    lefty e
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:15 am | Permalink

    Even Warren Mundine is criticising Brandis now. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-03-26/mundine-critical-of-proposed-changes-to-racial-discrimination-a/5345742

  • 148
    Darn
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:15 am | Permalink

    As I commented yesterday I wonder if Bill has the cajonies to tell his mother in law he thinks her damehood is a pile of pretentious crap.

  • 149
    davidwh
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:17 am | Permalink

    Re the current issue in QLD over Jarod Bleijie’s inappropriate comment the proper thing for him to do is either apologise or step down as A-G. When our top law officer makes public confidential discussions then his position becomes untenable.

    The situation with doctors is different. We needed to tackle all the problems in our health system and I think Springborg is doing a reasonable job.

  • 150
    guytaur
    Posted Wednesday, March 26, 2014 at 11:19 am | Permalink

    Dame Bronwyn Bishop for services rendered to the kerosene industry

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