tip off

BludgerTrack: 51.3-48.7 to Labor

This week’s Nielsen result prompts a startling shift to the Greens in the weekly poll aggregate, which in turn drives a solid move to Labor on two-party preferred.

Nielsen has this week thrown a spanner into the BludgerTrack works, producing a dramatic shift on the basis of a result that’s yet to be corroborated by anybody else. The big mover is of course the Greens, who have shot up five points to the giddy heights of 15.4%, a result I wouldn’t attach much credit to until it’s backed by more than one data point. Only a small share of the gain comes at the expense of Labor, who have accordingly made a strong gain on two-party preferred and are in majority government territory on the seat projection. A further point of interest with respect to the Nielsen poll is that the two-party preferred response on respondent-allocated preferences, which is not published by Fairfax, is at 54.5-45.5 considerably stronger for Labor than the headline result from previous election preferences. This may reflect a swelling in Greens support from the ranks of disaffected Labor identifiers, and a consequent increase in the Greens preference flow to Labor in comparison with the 2013 election result – which may in turn suggest the headline two-party result from the poll flattered the Coalition a little.

The other aspect of the latest BludgerTrack result which may raise an eyebrow is the strength of the Labor swing in Queensland, which also blew out excessively in January before moderating considerably thereafter. The Queensland breakdown from this week’s Nielsen played its part, showing Labor ahead 53-47 for a swing of around 10%. However, in this case the Nielsen is not out on a limb, providing the model with one of five Queensland data points from the past four weeks which all show Labor in the lead, with two-party results ranging from 51.1% to 56.5% (keeping in mind that sample sizes are in some cases below 200). The scattered state results provided by Morgan are not included in the model, but its poll release last week reported that Labor held a lead in Queensland of 51-49.

Nielsen also provides new data points for leadership ratings, and in keeping with the general weakness of the poll for the Coalition, their addition to the model puts Bill Shorten’s net approval rating back in front of Tony Abbott’s, and returns the narrowing trajectory to the preferred prime minister trendlines.

1593
  • 851
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:01 pm | Permalink

    Bk – Did you catch any fish?

  • 852
    crikey whitey
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:02 pm | Permalink

    Good day all. Happy Easter.

    You are a TIGER, BK!

    Jacquie Maley resumes her customary fawning writing style.

    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/mike-bairds-election-a-lesson-in-good-behaviour-20140417-zqw21.html

  • 853
    spur212
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:03 pm | Permalink

    It’s really odd. The polls are so bad this early for the Coalition but it’s hard to tell whether they’ll simply recover as time goes on or weather they’ll remain unpopular and end up like Gillard.

    If we start seeing polling around the 45/55 – 43/57 2PP mark consistently then I reckon we can say with certainty that Abbott’s screwed.

    Politically, it’s like Abbott’s caught in a dilemma between backing down and turning into a feather duster or delusionaly proceeding with his unpopular agenda and ending up like Gillard.

  • 854
    dave
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:04 pm | Permalink

    davidwh@848

    Not sure why any of that should impact on those of both sides left to clean up the mess.

    baird is being questioned because he is the new premier and it was him who took the recommendation to cabinet recommending the same appointment of Girolamo to a major Government business, ie Sydney Water.

    He now says that was a mistake but is blaming the cabinet for the mistake in order to ameliorate his ‘involvement’.

    Look at the 730 site for that interview last night for more detail.

    I don’t know why he stuck his head up today – the board appointment may well have blown over by tuesday next week when easter in over.

    The next major issue however is further ICAC hearing involving a recent former minister in the NSW tories who resigned quickly when stuff ‘surfaced’ – plus associated stuff which no one knows where it will all go – maybe even some Federal tories.

    We will know in due course.

  • 855
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:07 pm | Permalink

    and ending up like Gillard.

    I think JG went home with a bit of integrity.

    Others not quite so much.

  • 856
    BK
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:08 pm | Permalink

    CTar1
    Here is what I told mari About it @6:44 this morning.

    No fish to talk of but mauch expenditure of adrenaline with us being smashed by sharks and eagle rays. I’ve never had such battles in all my life! One monster ray nearly spooled me and we had to up anchor and chase it for half a km until I could bring it to the surface, It was then that it – five feet across – leapt out of the water and took off again. I’d had enough after 15 minutes I had to hand the rod over to my son who spent another five minutes getting it to the stage that we could just see colour in the water – but “ping!” it was then all over.
    I also got a five foot gummy shark to the edge of the tinny but while we were clearing the decks and finding a priest so we could grab the thing by the tail it rolled over and abraded the line apart on its flank.
    All good fun.

  • 857
    crikey whitey
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:10 pm | Permalink

    Goodness. The TV.

    Fleecing, bunnies, giant pumpkins, monarchies, right royal stitch up come to mind.

  • 858
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    CTar1

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 12:59 pm | Permalink

    badcat / poroti / rua

    http://www.drive.com.au/new-car-reviews/jaguar-ftype-coupe-first-drive-review-20140407-367of.html

    ————————————————

    Very Nice, Ctar1 …… managed to convince her indoors yet of the pressing need of a shiny new red Jag sitting in the garage ?????

  • 859
    crikey whitey
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:16 pm | Permalink

    Dave and davidwh

    10 questions Mike Baird must answer

    April 17, 2014 – 3:57PM

    Mike Baird is the state’s 44th premier after the shock resignation of Barry O’Farrell over misleading the Independent Commission Against Corruption.

    Here are 10 questions the new Premier needs to answer.

    1. What was your precise role in the appointment of Liberal fund-raiser Nick Di Girolamo to the board of State Water Corporation in mid-2012, how many times have you met him and what gifts have you accepted from him?

    Mr Di Girolamo is under investigation by the Independent Commission Against Corruption over his role as chief executive of Australian Water Holdings – a company linked to the family of corrupt former Labor powerbroker Eddie Obeid.

    Mr O’Farrell resigned on Wednesday after giving false evidence to the ICAC that he had not received Mr Di Girolamo’s gift of a $3000 bottle of Penfolds Grange shortly after the March 2011 election.

    The ICAC produced a hand-written thank-you note from Mr O’Farrell to Mr Di Girolamo for the wine.

    In July 2012, Mr Di Girolamo was appointed by the O’Farrell government to the board of State Water Corporation.

    Mr Baird, as Treasurer, was shareholding minister and involved in the appointment, which he has insisted was merit-based and approved by cabinet.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/10-questions-mike-baird-must-answer-20140417-36twn.html#ixzz2zChjFd7F

  • 860
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:21 pm | Permalink

    Bk – Sounds like you had fun with your sons. The fish are just a small part of what goes on.

    On the ‘I also got a five foot gummy shark’.

    About 30 years ago I’m up and out with my B-I-L at about 5 in the morning at Tathra Beach – he hooks something. He said it feels heavy.

    While I was sitting watching Robert was furiously winding line.

    The Gummy just swam up the beach next to me.

    We took it back to Canberra and chopped it up with an axe.

    Very decent on the BBQ.

  • 861
    poroti
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:22 pm | Permalink

    CTar1 @850

    Those Indian car companies are making some decent cars these day .

  • 862
    cud chewer
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:22 pm | Permalink

    I’ll reserve judgement on whether Barry “deserved it”. One could argue he earnestly believed in what he said, but that’s hard to take given the guy has a keen memory in all manner of things. More telling is what happened to the bottle. Where is the audit trail that shows he did the right thing? None? Ok, he did the wrong thing there.

    Is this whole thing a bit overblown? Yes, probably. To my mind its bits of corruption like this that divert attention from the real Crime, which is the coordinated effort between the Liberal Party and News Limited to invent narratives, concoct lies, come up with phony policies (like fraudband and direct action) and generally lie, cheat and defraud their way into power. That’s the real Crime going on here.

    As far as O’Farrell’s government goes. Ok, could have been worse – especially if you compare it to Campbell or Abbott, but still not a particularly progressive, creative endeavour either. At least Gladys has been a good transport minister.

    But after having said all of this, the good thing is that O’Farrell going down will shock some of the NSW voters, particularly certain types of voter in Sydney into realising the Liberals aren’t trustworthy in general. And those same people will now open their eyes and take a harder look at Abbott.

  • 863
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:24 pm | Permalink

    badcat – A classic in the making.

    I’ve never lusted over sports cars and will stick with what I’ve got.

    But awesome design. Mostly they stuff up the back but not with this.

  • 864
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:31 pm | Permalink

    CTar1

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:24 pm | Permalink

    badcat – A classic in the making.

    I’ve never lusted over sports cars and will stick with what I’ve got.

    But awesome design. Mostly they stuff up the back but not with this.

    ————————————————-

    I love my ’69 428 Cobra Jet …..but I would like one of these too as a shopping car ;)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LSoLYpSTpNw

    …… and some nice California canyon scenery ….

  • 865
    confessions
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:34 pm | Permalink

    Tony Windsor ‏@TonyHWindsor 4h
    When Kate and Will go can we have more of the Kate and Gerard show

    LOL

  • 866
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:35 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    428 Cobra Jet

    My brother had one in an F-350 tow truck.

    It could move things.

  • 867
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:39 pm | Permalink

    CTar1

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:35 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    428 Cobra Jet

    My brother had one in an F-350 tow truck.

    It could move things.

    —————————————————-

    Yes …..tree stump pulling torque …. the speedo goes clockwise and the fuel gauge anti-clockwise at an equally rapid rate …..

  • 868
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:46 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    The E-500 is very polite with all it’s electronics taking care of many things for you.

    But if you want to go fast it does that as well.

    Same result on the fuel tank.

  • 869
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:57 pm | Permalink

    CTar1

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 1:46 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    The E-500 is very polite with all it’s electronics taking care of many things for you.

    But if you want to go fast it does that as well.

    Same result on the fuel tank.

    ——————————————–

    Could be worse – we could own one of these :

    AUDI – Accelerates Under Demonic Influence
    BMW – Brutal Money Waster
    BUICK – Big Ugly Indestructible Car Killer
    CHEVROLET – Cheap, Hardly Economical, Runs Virtually On Luck
    DODGE – Dumb Old Dirty Gas Eater
    FIAT – Fix it again, Tony
    GM – General Maintenance
    HONDA – Had One, Never Did Again
    HYUNDAI – Hope You Understand Nothing’s Driveable And Inexpensive
    MAZDA – Most Always Zipping Dangerously Along
    OLDSMOBILE – Overpriced, Leisurely Driven Sedan Made Of Buick’s Irregular Leftover Equipment
    SAAB – Send Another Automobile Back
    TOYOTA – Too Often Yankees Overprice This Automobile
    VOLVO – Very Odd Looking Vehicular Object
    VW – Virtually Worthless

  • 870
    Laocoon
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:00 pm | Permalink

    I think it’s fantastic that we have an ICAC in NSW.

    The same or very similar body should be set in place federally.

    Has the food nutrition website back up on line?
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-02-11/labor-presses-minister-over-staffers-links-to-food-industry/5253048

  • 871
    victoria
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:04 pm | Permalink

    Hi Laocoon

    Point well made. The lobbyists have their paws in our government, and we can see what has become of fhe good ol USA as a result of this insidious disease

  • 872
    zoomster
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:05 pm | Permalink

    98% of all Volkswagens ever made are still on the road..the other 2% made it safely home.

    (I’m not allowed to say that joke out loud, because my husband loves his Kombi. My son and I recently went through the reasons hubby would choose the Kombi ahead of me…)

  • 873
    Laocoon
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:12 pm | Permalink

    Hey Victoria
    Yes…to quote Quentin Dempster

    If the reform is achieved in New South Wales and what is now broadly known as 'NSW disease' is at last confronted, there should be momentum to extend the ICAC investigative model to other jurisdictions including the Commonwealth Government. Corruption does not stop at the NSW border. It is likely to exist wherever ministerial discretion and vested interests converge.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-04-17/dempster-an-antidote-to-the-new-south-wales-disease/5397352

  • 874
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:14 pm | Permalink

    zoomster

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:05 pm | Permalink

    98% of all Volkswagens ever made are still on the road..the other 2% made it safely home.

    (I’m not allowed to say that joke out loud, because my husband loves his Kombi. My son and I recently went through the reasons hubby would choose the Kombi ahead of me…)

    —————————————————-

    At least, Zoomster – he is not as bad as my mate

    He was arguing with his wife over getting their new car. She wanted a fast sports car and he wanted a 4 wheel drive. Time passed by and no decision but when it was her birthday she thought it a great time to fulfill her wish.

    She said, ” Look, I want something that will go from o to 100 in a few seconds …

    He bought her a set of bathroom scales ..

    ( btw the funeral was last week )

  • 875
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:24 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    A list of things to stay away from!

  • 876
    frednk
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:30 pm | Permalink

    Is this whole thing a bit overblown? Yes, probably.

    The guy didn’t declare his $3000 dollar bottle of wine, the law required him to do so; he then lied under oath. I think that anyone would consider that acceptable is extraordinary. At least Barry O know what he had done was wrong, it would seem many; including the prime minister of Australia; can’t even get that far.

  • 877
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:31 pm | Permalink

    zoomster

    Kombi

    The Camper Van version I acquired near Australia House in London.

    Then OH had the hang of driving it quickly.

    Sky blue with a white roof.

  • 878
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:33 pm | Permalink

    CTar1

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:31 pm | Permalink

    zoomster

    Kombi

    The Camper Van version I acquired near Australia House in London.

    Then OH had the hang of driving it quickly.

    Sky blue with a white roof.

    ——————————————-

    Ctar1 – did you hear about the Russian driver ? …

    A Russian is travelling to Ukraine when he’s stopped to be checked by an officer.
    “Name?” the officer asks.
    “Vlad Dobryin,” the man answers.
    “Nationality?”
    “Russian.”
    “Occupation?”
    “No, No …. just visiting.”

  • 879
    victoria
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:36 pm | Permalink

    Laocoon

    Of course corruption does not stop at the NSW border

  • 880
    BK
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:42 pm | Permalink

    Hey Laocoon! How’s it all going?

  • 881
    Laocoon
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:48 pm | Permalink

    Hey BK
    Yeah pretty well thanks…Events in NSW have dragged me out of the work bunker for a while. Interesting stuff
    Trust you are well

  • 882
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:51 pm | Permalink

    vic,

    Yes, it goes all the way to Queensland!

  • 883
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:51 pm | Permalink

    As Tony Abbott puts the Budget together, he is being haunted by statements of campaigns past

    The words that will haunt Tony

    PRIME Minister Tony Abbott’s own words are nagging him as he prepares for ruthless pruning in his first Budget.

    The night before the election last September he pledged: “No cuts to education, no cuts to health, no change to pensions, no change to the GST and no cuts to the ABC or SBS.”

    No cuts to ABC, SBS: Abbott

    Those promises are cramping his fiscal style as the May 13 Budget nears, but they are not the only Abbott-isms the Prime Minister might regret using:

    “Compulsory paid maternity leave? Over this Government’s dead body, frankly.” (2002).‘

    Mr Abbott has not only accepted the principle of maternity leave since — he wants to introduce the most expensive option Australia has seen, increasing taxes to pay for it while campaigning as a tax scrapping government.

    “The science of climate change is absolute crap.” (2009)

    Whatever his views on climate change, as Prime Minister he is asking Australians to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on Direct Action, which in part would pay companies to cut carbon emissions.

    “I won’t be doing deals with independents and minor parties.” (August, 2013)

    As of July, Clive Palmer won’t be a minor presence in Tony Abbott’s life.
    He may have to in order to get his Budget through the Senate, where in July he will have to deal with a crossbench (neither government, Labor, nor Green) of eight.

    “We just can’t stop people from being homeless if that’s their choice.” (February, 2010)

    The PM has since changed his mind about homelessness. Picture: News Corp AustraliaSource: News Corp Australia

    Mr Abbott has changed his views since then — accepting that those who are homeless by choice have deeper problems — but might be reminded of his old position should funds for the homeless be cut.

    “We will be a consultative, collegial government. No surprises, no excuses.” (July, 2013)

    Well there have been some surprises — introduction of knights and dames for one — and the speculation is the Budget will have a few more. Mr Abbott also will be scrutinised for any excuses he might offer for not meeting commitments.

    “Misleading the ABC is not quite the same as misleading the Parliament.” (2000)

    Mr Abbott has in the past admitted to some relatively mild indiscretions with the truth but as Prime Minister he cannot be expected to be let off lightly for future examples.

    “No one, however smart, however well-educated, is the suppository of all wisdoms.’’(August, 2013)

    Tony Abbott will have a chance to place himself in history, whether repository or suppository.

    Compiled with the assistance of Russell Marks’ book Tony Speaks.

    http://www.news.com.au/national/as-tony-abbott-puts-the-budget-together-he-is-being-haunted-by-statements-of-campaigns-past/story-fncynjr2-1226888935642

  • 884
    taylormade
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:53 pm | Permalink

    spur212 re 853

    Way to early to tell, you would expect the polling to reach those levels after the budget if what people are saying are correct. However if Abbott can go to the next election with the budget back in shape, growth and unemployment acceptable, empty detention centres, and some wins on the infrastructure front then he is sitting pretty.

    So easy to get sucked in on here. Remember we are supposed to be in the middle of a war with Indonesia at the moment.

  • 885
    victoria
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 2:57 pm | Permalink

    Former NSW Premier Barry O’Farrell didn’t have to resign because he was corrupt. He had to resign because if he didn’t then the system collapses, writes Greg Jericho.

    http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2014/04/18/comment-why-barry-ofarrell-had-resign

  • 886
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:00 pm | Permalink

    vic,

    Yeah, the whole free world and life as we know it would disappear because another truth inhibited polly tells a porky/mistruth/incorrect info statement.

    Ponderous nonsense!

  • 887
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:06 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    It had a some times driver ‘Nigel’ – an NZ’er primary school teacher on long service leave.

    Totally fearless on French country roads.

  • 888
    zoomster
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:07 pm | Permalink

    We have a long history of owning Kombis, starting out with a split screen 6 volter. The battery power was so poor we used to get out to check if the headlights were on!

    Still, it did sterling service – we had a very well paid gig delivering groceries in the Camberwell area at the time, and it took us on many a holiday (I well remember trying to push start it at midnight on a perfectly flat surface outside a service station near Gundagai…)

    Apart from going through clutch and brake cables fairly regularly, wisps of smoke used to come out of the dashboard occasionally, accompanied by a strong smell of burning. We put this down to wires burning out, but nothing ever seemed to be affected.

    On our way to my 21st party (on a beach near Inverloch) it broke down beside the Princes Hwy, laden with provisions for the party. Fortunately other party goers stopped (“Strange place for a party…”)

    We’ve had about three since then, which has meant that every farewell speech I’ve ever received has had a distinct car theme (“I’m sure we all remember having to push start her Kombi…”)

    Still, when one of my friends took me on a drive in her brand new car and smirked, “Well, this is very different from the Kombi, isn’t it?” my comeback was, “Can you make coffee in it?”

  • 889
    Player One
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:07 pm | Permalink

    SNIP: I would appreciate it if commenters refrained from baldly accusing people of criminality without having any legal justification for doing so. It happens to be against the law, both for you to write it and for me to allow it to be published – The Management.

  • 890
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:11 pm | Permalink

    zoom

    I had the canvass and a BBQ.

    Go anywhere land!

  • 891
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:15 pm | Permalink

    zoomster

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:07 pm

    Still, when one of my friends took me on a drive in her brand new car and smirked, “Well, this is very different from the Kombi, isn’t it?” my comeback was, “Can you make coffee in it?”

    ———————————————–

    One of my work colleagues used to have one that was always packed to the hilt with everything imaginable and he drove like Ctar1′s crazy Nigel …..

    Another colleague saw him pull up in the car park one day and said, ” Here’s Robbo and The Flying Shed” …. the name stuck in my mind each time I see a Kombi

  • 892
    Just Me
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:15 pm | Permalink

    843
    davidwh

    Since when did appointing party loyals to positions become corruption?

    It is corrupting of good governance, independent of whether it is technically legal or not.

  • 893
    Roger Miller
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:16 pm | Permalink

    zoomster
    I did my driving test in a six volt split screen Kombi when we were both 18 years old.

  • 894
    CTar1
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:20 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    I parked next to one at the shops last week.

    Looking inside it was not like I remembered. Very not plush!

  • 895
    badcat
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:23 pm | Permalink

    CTar1

    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:20 pm | Permalink

    badcat

    I parked next to one at the shops last week.

    Looking inside it was not like I remembered. Very not plush!

    ————————————————–

    Ctar1- I’m sure your Kombi could tell a few good stories of the “goings on” that took place in the back of its interior ;)

  • 896
    crikey whitey
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:25 pm | Permalink

    … and

    This is a test. Carry on as if I weren’t here, please.

  • 897
    crikey whitey
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:26 pm | Permalink

    Bum.

  • 898
    zoomster
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:27 pm | Permalink

    …we had an interesting period where hubby (then boyfriend) lost his license (not in the Kombi, obviously, but in his Lotus Elite) and I had to take over the driving.

    Split screen Kombis were not designed to be driven by short females. If I put in the clutch AND went to change gear, I had to reach down so far I couldn’t see where I was going.

    So we developed a method of driving whereby I put in the clutch and hubby did the gear change.

    Worked very well, on the whole, although occasionally he decided I wasn’t steering properly and would lean over and wrench the steering wheel in what he thought was the right direction, much to the detriment of the roundabout we were navigating…

    There was also the classic occasion where we spent a weekend marshalling at Winton raceway, where he pontificated at length about the correct way to brake at a corner. I applied these principles next time we were delivering groceries (quite successfully, I must say) but he found it a bit of a nerve wracking experience….

  • 899
    Player One
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:27 pm | Permalink

    Player One@889

    SNIP: I would appreciate it if commenters refrained from baldly accusing people of criminality without having any legal justification for doing so. It happens to be against the law, both for you to write it and for me to allow it to be published – The Management.

    ok … and becasue he was caught out lying to the Independent Commision Against Corruption.

  • 900
    kezza2
    Posted Friday, April 18, 2014 at 3:28 pm | Permalink

    From the Greg Jericho link

    We can perhaps understand why Mr O’Farrell forgot the bottle (but really, would you ever forget getting such a unique gift?) but we cannot know why he did not declare it. At best it was an administrative oversight.

    Shades of Henderson’s defence. Blame the inefficient staff.

    But “administrative oversight” excuse doesn’t have legs AFAIC because the bottle of grange arrived at O’Farrell’s house, not at his office.

    How could his staff possibly know about a gift that arrived at his house unless he told them?

    The question then is: Did O’Farrell advise his administrative staff about it? Where did he write the thank you note, at home or in the office?

    It is far too easy to make staff the usual fall guys in situations like this.

    Too easy.

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