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Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

The latest Essential Research result finds little change on voting behaviour, while the monthly leadership ratings are the first from any pollster to show Bill Shorten leading Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister.

The latest weekly result from Essential Research, a rolling average of polling conducted over the past fortnight, shows little change on last week with Labor up a point on the primary vote to 39% and the Greens down one to 9%, while the Coalition and Palmer United are steady on 40% and 5% and Labor’s two-party preferred lead is unchanged at 52-48. The poll also includes the monthly personal ratings, which are the first such results from any pollster showing Bill Shorten leading Tony Abbott on preferred prime minister, the latter’s lead of 42-32 last month crashing to a deficit of 37-36. This is down to a slump in Abbott’s ratings, his approval down six to 35% and disapproval up eight to 55%, with Shorten’s ratings little changed at 35% approval (up one) and 37% disapproval (down one).

In other questions, the poll comprehensively gauged opinion the Commission of Audit’s recommendations, of which three have a positive net approval: university students repaying HELP debt once they earn minimum wage, relocation by unemployed young people to areas of high unemployment to retain access to benefits, and Youth Allowance rather than Newstart for those under 25. The least popular measures were raising the retirement age and increasing interest rates on HELP debts. Respondents thought the Coalition heavily favoured the rich (54%) over the poor (5%) and the average Australian (22%), while tending to place Labor in the middle, with 34% for the average Australian, 16% for the rich and 22% for the poor. The poll found broad awareness that Australia’s national debt was lower than other developed countries (45% believing it lower, 22% higher), and a belief that large companies and high-income earners paid too little tax and small businesses and low-income earners too much.

2295
  • 101
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 3:58 pm | Permalink

    94

    The PT system is improving and can be significantly improved so that it is a real alternative for many more trips and thus have a higher mode share. Oil prices will also take their toll on car use, as they will just keep going up.

  • 102
    citizen
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 3:58 pm | Permalink

    Albanese on the radio has exposed the Abbott/Hockey lies about road funding. He pointed out that they have tried to include roads funded under Labor as part of their ‘$40b’ roads program.

    He went on to channel Croc Dundee: “you think you have a roads program – THIS is a roads program”.

  • 103
    mexicanbeemer
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:00 pm | Permalink

    Tom

    The only improvement is in the mind of the Minister for Transport.

    Most Australians are still better off using a car.

  • 104
    zoidlord
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:01 pm | Permalink

    I miss the Japanese public transport, even when packed :(

  • 105
    shellbell
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:04 pm | Permalink

    I didn’t read the police statement is, unsurprisingly, credibility suicide.

  • 106
    billie
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:04 pm | Permalink

    I would not like to be cross examined by Dr Katherine Hascombe QC,

  • 107
    ruawake
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:04 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt drops Knowicki in the shit. Game set and match.

  • 108
    sceptic
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:04 pm | Permalink

    FFS Blewitt signs another statement issue dot police HE didn’t read or write…

    RC should just stoke out all his evidence & send him to gaol….
    Abbott is MAD to have set this RC up.. lucky they have till the end of years to manufacture more evidence

  • 109
    Rex Douglas
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    WOW, VicPol and Knowicki in deep doo doo

  • 110
    daretotread
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    The Libs do NOT look happy.
    Julie bishop rather alarmingly looks like she was dragged through a hedge. I have NEVER seen her looking so old and unkempt. She normally is a sharp and well presented as anyone on this earth

  • 111
    ruawake
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt is paddling like shit to keep himself out of jail.

  • 112
    imacca
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    WOW, VicPol and Knowicki in deep doo doo

    Hows that??

  • 113
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    Now Blewitt’s saying others verballed him. Admitting he perjured himself to the police, but only accidentally. He apologizes.

    Turns out Harry Nowicki drafted his sworn statements to the cops from 2012, but now Blewitt is walking away from them. He didn’t read them properly, he says.

    Geez, if you’re swearing to something being truthful on pain of perjury, you’d better read it, hadn’t you?

    Seems Blewitt’s statements are all over the place. He’s signing just about anything that’s put in front of him, then backtracking.

  • 114
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:07 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt now says he signed the statements to the police without reading them except for a few glances as they were prepared by someone else. Hesays he apologises if her perjured himself in them.

    *sounds of unravelling.

  • 115
    shellbell
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:07 pm | Permalink

    Dr Katherine Hascombe QC and Geoffrey Watson SC show the different approaches one can take to cross-examination.

    Sledge hammer or the scalpel.

  • 116
    ruawake
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:08 pm | Permalink

    Now he drops Galbally in the site.

  • 117
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    I think this day IS peak Abbott.

  • 118
    sceptic
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    reawaken
    No Blewitt is leading up to .. ” take me to gaol I have a headache ”

    Has he just dropped Mr. Galbally in it???

  • 119
    ruawake
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt looks like he want to plead terminal idiocy.

  • 120
    Rex Douglas
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:11 pm | Permalink

    the jig is up !

  • 121
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:11 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt now pleading with the Commissioner. “I came here to tell the truth and assist the Commission. On some occasions I make mistakes.”

    Counsel Assisting coming to Blewitt’s defence.

    Nice to be a protected species.

  • 122
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:11 pm | Permalink

    Dr Hascombe could have made a brilliant surgeon on ant brains.

    Oh…

  • 123
    Just Me
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    100
    zoomster

    >An average broadband plan will cost $72 per month, compared to $139 under Labor.

    Mine is $40. And that’s with the maximum download capability I could find. (Satellite).

    $70 here, for the maximum plan I can get (ADSL 1), in a rural zone. (Equivalent plan 20 km away in the suburbs is $40.)

  • 124
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    Now she’s accusing him outright of lying.

  • 125
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:14 pm | Permalink

    “I suggest to you that this event never happened?”

    “It happened.”

  • 126
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:16 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt says Wilson is lying. Counsel says, “Lying? don’t people make mistakes?” zinger!

  • 127
    ruawake
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:18 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt trying to play for bad light, not gunna work.

  • 128
    Boerwar
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:19 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt pleads ‘stupidity’.

  • 129
    Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:19 pm | Permalink

    He does not recall seeing the document. Memory does the Swiss cheese thing again.

  • 130
    Boerwar
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:19 pm | Permalink

    Sergeant Schulz getting a bit of a hammering.

  • 131
    Steve777
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:21 pm | Permalink

    Using public transport is cheaper if you don’t bother buying a car. After all, buying a car is $30,000 up front plus fixed costs of several thousand dollars a year (e.g. rego, insurance). But if you’ve already bought a car then fo most short and medium trips it is cheaper, not to say far more convenient, to use the car.

    There are parts of inner Sydney (and probably Melbourne) where public transport availability makes doing without a car a viable option. Also, congestion and lack of parking (unless you pay through the nose) pretty much negate the advantages of travel by car.

    However, for the majority of Australians, public transport is not a genuinely viable option. A 10 km cross-suburban commute might be a 15 minute drive or a one hour plus treck involvoling a couple of long walks and a couple of bus or train trips. Again, not buying a car and using public transport is cheaper in money but much more expensive in time.

  • 132
    BK
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:21 pm | Permalink

    And here is my reply to Briggs.
    ________________________________________________________

    Dear Jamie

    Thank you for your prompt reply to my recent query on broadband capacity at Mount Torrens.

    Putting aside the party political content which dominated the reply I am intrigued by your seemingly unequivocal statements “nine out of ten Australians will receive download speeds of 50 megabits per second or more by 2019″ and ” an average broadband plan will cost $72 per month, compared to $139 under Labor”.

    Am I to presume that I can be assured of a consistent download speed of a minimum of 50Mbps at a cost approximately half of what I pay today?

    I saw yesterday that NBNCo will be releasing its new roll out program in the next 4-6 weeks. I await it with anticipation.

    Kind regards,

    Ken

  • 133
    Boerwar
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:21 pm | Permalink

    ‘Bill the Greek’ enters the record.

  • 134
    zoidlord
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:24 pm | Permalink

    @BK/132

    It should be interesting if MTM Model is more expensive or not, then we can go back and blame Jamie Briggs :P

  • 135
    mexicanbeemer
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:24 pm | Permalink

    Steve777

    That’s true but even in inner Melbourne car use is on the rise, traffic congestion in inner Melbourne is a real issue even in places like Fitzroy where you would think PT, cycling and walking would dominate.

  • 136
    Boerwar
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:24 pm | Permalink

    ‘Since you weren’t there you don’t know.’

    Which neatly precludes statements that assumed that he DID know.

  • 137
    zoidlord
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:24 pm | Permalink

    Rob Oakeshott ‏@RobOakeshott1 1m

    As former Chair of Public Accounts,disappointed to hear Budget statement that Audit Office+Budget Office face cutbacks. Less oversight now.

  • 138
    Boerwar
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:25 pm | Permalink

    Has he perjured himself?

  • 139
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:26 pm | Permalink

    briefly

    Excise is regressive – mostly, it cannot be avoided by workers and commuters. But it can and will be passed on by those businesses that have enough pricing power.

    That’s true, and it’s also true of schemes to price emissions. The trick is to ensure that those in the bottom three quintiles don’t bear any (or only trivial parts of it near the top) of the the burden in practice. Accordingly, much as the CEF package did, you need compensation. Ideally, this would largely not be delivered as cash but in service – at least for those near the bottom — improved public transport, housing and health services for example.

    I am all in favour of high taxes on tobacco and alcohol. Rather than taxing fuel, I would prefer taxes on gaming, which is a destructive pursuit that delivers absolutely no economic welfare whatsoever.

    That’s true, but one may say that the externalities associated with use of petrol dwarf those of alcohol or gaming. Public transport, a move to electric vehicles and more support for renewables can preserve what is worthy in ad hoc transport while lessening these externalities.

    Personally, I’d prefer to reconfigure the whole roadcharging system, moving away from excises on fuel and road hardware, registration and CTP and charging instead for road usage taking into account TARE, road space contention, driver profile, vehicle emissions (not just CO2), vehicle size etc.

    At the moment, that is not on the agenda.

  • 140
    zoidlord
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:26 pm | Permalink

    @135

    Increasing Roads, Increases Cars = More congestion = Fact.

    Pretty dumb idea to keep spending endless amount of money on Roads (& Maintain them).

    Gold Coast and area’s like that are a nightmare.

  • 141
    zoidlord
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:27 pm | Permalink

    Further my reply, it goes back to the lie about the National Broadband Network, and how it was treated by the Liberals.

  • 142
    ruawake
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:27 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt seems to sign lots of things without looking at them.

  • 143
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:28 pm | Permalink

    “Oh COME ON, Mr. Blewitt!”

  • 144
    zoidlord
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:29 pm | Permalink

    Retweeted by Nick Ross
    Delimiter ‏@delimiterau 1h

    Anti-piracy lobby still suffering from self-delusion http://goo.gl/xXvA2E

  • 145
    dave
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:29 pm | Permalink

    ruawake@142

    Blewitt seems to sign lots of things without looking at them.

    Well thats what he is now saying.

  • 146
    guytaur
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:29 pm | Permalink

    zoid

    Hockey and Abbott live on the car is king North Shore. Trains are for the plebs

  • 147
    Boerwar
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:30 pm | Permalink

    Blewitt seems not know what a ‘crossed’ cheque is…

    LOL.

  • 148
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:31 pm | Permalink

    Now Blewitt’s denying that letters sent to his address and bank cheques in his name never arrived.

  • 149
    Boerwar
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:31 pm | Permalink

    Bill the Greek might get another run.

  • 150
    fredex
    Posted Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 4:31 pm | Permalink

    We pay $110 per month for satellite broadband with a 10 gig download max.
    That’s with one company.
    I can change to another company which offers 10 gig max download for $110 per month.
    There is no third company.
    We lose connectivity maybe a dozen times a week for as short as a few mins up to some hours.
    Currently it is taking me about 2-4 minutes to load so that from switch on computer to go straight to PB to type this is about 2-4 mins plus.

    Not a happy camper.
    Neither is my neighbour.

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