tip off

Galaxy: 53-47 to Labor

The first poll since the budget finds it to have been the worst-received budget since 1993, although the Coalition’s position on voting intention is no worse than it was already.

The Sunday News Limited tabloids have published the first poll since the budget, courtesy of Galaxy. Details from the reporting are sketchy, but it is presumably a phone-plus-online poll of around 1400 respondents, assuming it followed the same routine as the previous Galaxy poll a fortnight ago. Two-party preferred is at 53-47 in favour of Labor, up from 52-48, from primary votes of 38% for the Coalition (down one), 38% for Labor (up one) and a new high of 8% for Palmer United (up two). No result is available as yet for the Greens. (UPDATE: GhostWhoVotes relates that the Greens are down a point to 10%, and that the poll was conducted from Wednesday to Friday from a sample of 1399.)

With regards to the budget, only 41% rate it as good for the economy versus 46% for not good, while fully 74% say they expect to be worse off against only 11% for better off. The former set of numbers are in stark contrast to the Howard government’s first tough budget after it came to power in 1996, which according to Newspoll was rated good for the economy by 59% and bad by only 22%, with 6% opting for neither good nor bad (an option not available from Galaxy). The only other budget since 1995 to have scored a net negative rating from Newspoll on this measure was last year’s, at 35% for good, 37% for bad and 7% for neither).

The results on impact on respondents’ financial position resemble Newspoll’s findings for the politically disastrous budget that John Dawkins brought down after Labor’s election victory in 1993, which had 4% for better off, 74% for worse off and 17% for no change (the latter option again not available from Galaxy). However, whereas the results from 1993 were accompanied by a collapse in support for the Keating government, this poll has two-party preferred unchanged on pre-budget polling.

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  • 51
    Otiose
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 4:10 am | Permalink

    Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy

  • 52
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 7:22 am | Permalink

    The first poll since the budget finds it to have been the worst-received budget since 1993

    I asked yesterday whether this budget was the most we’ve seen, and I guess this answers my question. People simply don’t like what the govt announced.

  • 53
    BK
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 7:32 am | Permalink

    Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    More examples of the effects of “bubble up” budget are being exposed.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/families-paying-the-price-of-a-new-financial-order-20140517-38gon.html
    This open letter to Robert Hughes by one of his victims is well worth reading. It says a lot.
    http://www.theage.com.au/national/robert-hughes-accuser-writes-letter-explaining-her-feelings-20140517-38ghe.html
    Morriscum continues his good form.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/scott-morrison-was-wrong-no-psychiatrist-on-manus-island-20140517-38gix.html
    The states are far from happy.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/states-want-hospital-school-cuts-delayed-20140517-38gpe.html
    Dutton’s “remedy” will not work.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/leaving-a-sick-feeling-20140516-38fz3.html
    Annabel Crabbe with a reasonable tilt at our favourite right wing commentators.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/conservative-columnists-taxed-by-political-climate-change-20140516-zreyq.html
    Peter FitzSimons. Not one of his best.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/when-surprising-things-lean-upon-us-20140516-zrezv.html

  • 54
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 7:32 am | Permalink

    ‘most ridiculed’ even.

  • 55
    BK
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 7:50 am | Permalink

    And from the Land of the Free -

    Bill Maher’s “New Rules”.
    http://crooksandliars.com/cltv/2014/05/bill-maher-republicans-put-or-shut
    Breastfeeding obstacles and a fightback.
    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/05/14/1299348/-Because-public-restrooms-aren-t-really-the-best-place-to-feed-babies
    Bill Maher reads some “conservative porn”.
    http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017192444
    A Tea Bagger militia man has a breakdown.
    http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017192509

  • 56
    The Lorax
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 7:55 am | Permalink

    Galaxy Poll spin in The Oz:

    WITH protests expected in several cities today against the federal budget and with state leaders meeting on funding cuts for their services, a new opinion poll shows support for the major parties was almost unchanged last week after the budget.

  • 57
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 8:06 am | Permalink

    Don’t forget everyone … March in May today wherever you are. In Sydney, Belmore Park near Central, 1pm

  • 58
    Socrates
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 8:11 am | Permalink

    Morning all. The poll did not ask the questions I would have liked to seen asked. That the budget would be tough was a given. The real questions were:

    1. Do you believe that the budget cuts are due to a debt crisis or ideology?
    2. Do you believe that the budget cuts have been targeted at all sectors evenly?

    For me the answers were 1. Ideology and 2. No. And that is the problem, not that it was tough.

    Have a good day all, i must be off. Kudos Fran, enjoy the march.

  • 59
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 8:48 am | Permalink

    Test – is the site still online?

  • 60
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 8:49 am | Permalink

    Obviously yes.

  • 61
    BK
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 8:57 am | Permalink

    A very snarky Pontificating Paul Kelly on Agenda this morning – and Chris Bowen batted him away beautifully.

  • 62
    Rex Douglas
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:00 am | Permalink

    Fairly strong effort by Chris Bowen on Sky this morning in the face of hostile and misleading Murdoch interviewers.

    The problem for the ALP going forward though is I think the public are just not listening to politicians words anymore.

    Shorten and his front benchers can have all the strong speeches and doorstops they can muster but people don’t accept words anymore.

    It’s all about actions now.

  • 63
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:04 am | Permalink

    Fran Kelly introduces the Budget as “Tony Abbott’s”.

    Where’s Joe when you need him?

  • 64
    Dee
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:04 am | Permalink

    Huh??

    With regards to the budget, only 41% rate it as good for the economy versus 48% for not good

    Thought the newspaper reported 41% good for the economy and 46% bad??????

  • 65
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:04 am | Permalink

    I’m increasingly impressed by Bowen. He’s done well the past couple of months.

  • 66
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:08 am | Permalink

    Annabel Crabbe:

    People used to write of Hockey that he lacked political and economic courage. But they don't any more. That's political climate change for you.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/conservative-columnists-taxed-by-political-climate-change-20140516-zreyq.html#ixzz3218Antga

    “Courage” is one word for it.

  • 67
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:09 am | Permalink

    Paul Howes gets married.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/paul-howes-and-olivia-wirth-hold-wedding-near-byron-bay-20140517-38gzf.html

  • 68
    AussieAchmed
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:11 am | Permalink

    Amgen is the world’s largest independent biotechnology firm a MEDICAL RESEARCH COMPANY!

    They are also a sponsor for Abbott when he embarks on one of his travel claim tours on his bike.

    How much of $20b Research grants will they get?

  • 69
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:13 am | Permalink

    “Political sado-masochists”?

    Good grief! Now he’s the “BDSM Prime Minister”.

  • 70
    BK
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:14 am | Permalink

    Looks like the Fran Kelly/Abbott interview was pre-recorded.
    As usual!

  • 71
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:14 am | Permalink

    Abbott still trying to spruik the Budget Emergency.

    “We couldn’t just do nothing.”… which is not the point… did he do TOO much?

  • 72
    Dee
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:14 am | Permalink

    re: good v bad polling figures for the economy.

    A perception that although bad for people personally, a high proportion think the budget will be better for the economy.

  • 73
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:15 am | Permalink

    Abbott looks two seconds away from losing his control.

  • 74
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:16 am | Permalink

    Abbott’s boxer’s hands are up defensively.

    Geez, even Fran Kelly scares him.

    Resorts to 3-word slogans, rattles them off. They’re his security blanket.

  • 75
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:16 am | Permalink

    BK:

    Was wondering about that myself.

  • 76
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:16 am | Permalink

    Frank half-skewering Abbott but lacks the killer blow.

  • 77
    Henry
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    Thus far a foot rub from Fran.
    Where’s Barrie when you need him.
    Of course monkey pops up on Insiders when he is not around…

  • 78
    Rex Douglas
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    What a deadset cockroach this bloke is.

  • 79
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    Abbott is very, very heavily pancaked.

  • 80
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    Abbott is still trying to make out that he hasn’t broken any promises. There’s more weasels around than in Wind In The Willows.

  • 81
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:19 am | Permalink

    Come on Insiders, play him that 10 second clip about no cuts to education, health, ABC etc.

  • 82
    BK
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:20 am | Permalink

    Abbott’s excuse for lying. “I know what I said – I can’t help what you heard”. Bloody disgraceful.

  • 83
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:20 am | Permalink

    That is a damning quote: wtte “We deserve to be condemned if we break our promises.”

    STILL running the “over-arching promise” line.

    Says the fact that he broke all his promises PROVES how serious the situation is.

  • 84
    Phil Vee
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:21 am | Permalink

    Tony talking about the exact problem. He wants to avoid inter generational theft and avoid being a problem to our children.

    Guess what Tone, you are already a problem to my children. The budget measures specifically aimed at the under 30s is your prosecution of inter generational theft. Newstart TAFE and athe other cuts aimed at the young. More lies on top of lies. You are a delusional liar.

  • 85
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:21 am | Permalink

    Pie in the sky promises was EXACTLY what Abbott offered pre-election!

  • 86
    Rex Douglas
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:23 am | Permalink

    Can’t spend beyond our means… but here’s $50,000 to all you rich mums

  • 87
    bemused
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:24 am | Permalink

    confessions@67

    Paul Howes gets married.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/paul-howes-and-olivia-wirth-hold-wedding-near-byron-bay-20140517-38gzf.html

    Who cares?

  • 88
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:24 am | Permalink

    Abbott, after just having his farrago of pre-election lies exposed, keeps referring to OTHER promises he made pre-election as if they’re going to be kept.

  • 89
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:24 am | Permalink

    Abbott, ‘Money isn’t everything.’

    Tell it to the rich, pal.

  • 90
    Everything
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:24 am | Permalink

    Are we all enjoying Abbott fronting up to a political interview this morning????
    :devil:

  • 91
    victoria
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:25 am | Permalink

    Morning bludgers

    Attended a dinner engagement last night, a good night was had by all. I was asked by a couple of guests as to what i thought of the budget. Surprised to learn that several of fhe dinner guests who are rusted on liberal voters thought that the budget was disgraceful, and that they could not stand Abbott.
    They declared that his mob should be kicked out before they wreck the country.
    I have never seen such a response to a budget. quite amazing.

  • 92
    sceptic
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:26 am | Permalink

    I guess the ABC have Sarah Furguson locked in a tea room somewhere

  • 93
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:26 am | Permalink

    LOL
    Abbott did not even know that the GST was a federal tax.

  • 94
    Boerwar
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:26 am | Permalink

    E.
    Yep. It is fascinating watching a consummate liar at work.

  • 95
    Everything
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:27 am | Permalink

    “This idea that there is some kind of emergency because things have to be adjusted in 3 years is not right”

    (Abbott on school funding changes)

    ….kinda argues against his own position on the budget as a whole!

  • 96
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:27 am | Permalink

    Boerwar is right. Kelly lacks the follow through with her interviews. She can’t quite finish off.

  • 97
    victoria
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:27 am | Permalink

    And the main gripes by the guests, 70 year retirement age. The Gold plated PPL scheme and the cuts to Uni funding, as well as health

  • 98
    Keyman
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:27 am | Permalink

    GST is now as state tax according to Abbott. He also came to power to “bring taxes down” I guess he means create new taxes

  • 99
    confessions
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:28 am | Permalink

    victoria:

    I can’t remember such widespread hostility to a budget. Hockey and co have done such a terrible job in selling it – no wonder Abbott’s had to come out to try to patch it up.

  • 100
    victoria
    Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:29 am | Permalink

    It was funny listening to ine of the male guests stating that the mere sight of Abbott induces the desire to punch the tv screen. I thought it was only me that felt this way!!

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