The first Tasmanian state poll since Will Hodgman’s March election victory shows a big rise in support for the Greens, although it’s not clear how meaningful that is.
The new Tasmanian Liberal government’s first opinion poll, part of EMRS’s regular series of 1000-sample polling, has the Liberals at 48%, down slightly on the 51.2% recorded at their landslide win in March. Labor too is down slightly, from 27.3% to 25% – although this makes way for a 21% result for the Greens, who polled only 13.8% at the election, and whose vote tends to get inflated in EMRS polling. Apparently Bryan Green leads the Labor Party now (apologies to my Tasmanian readers that I don’t take a greater interest in their affairs), and his debut rating on preferred premier is 22% to 54% for the recently triumphant incumbent Will Hodgman. For a much better performed perspective on the poll, you can’t do any better than Kevin Bonham.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
The Poll Bludger, who is known to his mother as William Bowe, can be contacted at: pollbludger-at-bigpond.com.
Comment moderation guidelines can be viewed here.
Level 6, 22 William St,
PH: 1800 985 502
Fax: (03) 8623 9975