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Galaxy: 52-48 to federal Coalition in Queensland

A Galaxy poll of federal voting intention in Queensland has a somewhat less bruising result for the Abbott government than it has lately been accustomed to, as Campbell Newman’s state government girds itself for a difficult by-election.

Galaxy has produced a poll of federal voting intention in Queensland shows the Coalition leading 52-48, representing a swing to Labor since the election of 5%, with further detail presumably forthcoming courtesy of the Courier-Mail. UPDATE: The primary votes are 33% for Labor (steady since February, as is the two-party result), 41% for the Coalition (steady), 7% for the Greens (steady) and 12% for Palmer United (up one). The poll also has a surprisingly high 48% in support of the GP co-payment with 50% opposed, 46% and 48% for increasing the GST, and 25% and 72% for raising the pension age to 70.

In other Queensland news, it today emerged that a state by-election looms in the inner Brisbane seat of Stafford following the resignation of Liberal National Party member Chris Davis. This neatly coincides with a ReachTEL automated phone poll of 687 residents in the electorate, which did not canvass voting intention, but found Davis’s recent dissident activity had made him considerably more popular in the electorate than the Premier. The poll also furnishes rare data on opinion concerning campaign finance laws, finding 60% opposition to the government’s removal of caps on political donations with only 22% in support.

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  • 651
    nappin
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:41 pm | Permalink

    Andrew Elder was floating the theory that the Fed Libs were actively playing the politics to force the Lib state governments out.

    I just don’t think they are that smart. The theory assumes a level of forward thinking and strategy …. not happening, clearly.

  • 652
    Work To Rule
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:43 pm | Permalink

    @Victoria @640

    It seems a game with a poor payoff. They can certainly see Napthine off this year. But even Abbott in the full the full-on crazy mode of the last few weeks is unlikely to get the ALP back in NSW and QLD.

    So that would mean at the 2016 election a huge list of marginals at risk in NSW and QLD for the chance to snag back a few seats from those lefty Victorians.

    If that’s their game – bring it on.

  • 653
    briefly
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:44 pm | Permalink

    596
    psyclaw

    At first blush one would say that there is no way the Abbotteers would shaft Abbott the PM, given the mileage they gained from damning Labor for shafting Rudd the PM.

    But make no bones about it ……. self interest always prevails, and if circumstances demand it they’ll shaft him.

    I doubt it. Two factors need to be considered. First, the Liberals are cowards. They lack all fortitude and will not dare to confront the bully. Second, there is no-one else in their ranks likely to step forward. Hockey? Pfft! Turnbull? Out of the question! Bishop? Ridiculous! They have no-one and Abbott knows it.

    The Liberals chose badly. They would prefer to shrink and hide than admit their blunder and try to repair the damage. No matter the damage to their party or the country. The Liberals are a squalid lot.

  • 654
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:49 pm | Permalink

    The latest theory on MH370 … From Sarah Palin … It’s a doozy …

    http://twitter.com/Dazr/status/470188346472296450/photo/1

  • 655
    guytaur
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:50 pm | Permalink

    briefly

    Yes Minchin shafted the party. Now the extremists are in charge and sensible people standing up for jobs in SPC will be allowed no where near any semblance of position within the party.

  • 656
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:51 pm | Permalink

    CW,

    BB. Or anyone. Pondering Abbott.

    No idea if you have read David Marr today or any day.

    I reckoned Marr was seriously sucked in by Abbott. In his what, interview of say three years ago.

    That struck me too. Marr was quitew the fanboy of Abbott a couple of years ago.

    Can’t remember the exact details of Marr’s argument pro-Abbott, but I CAN remember thinking, “He’s in love.”

  • 657
    FarQU
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:54 pm | Permalink

    I'm no expert on international aviation

    You don’t say.

  • 658
    crikey whitey
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:54 pm | Permalink

    Andrew Elder usually posits information and opinion I happen to agree with. Sometimes from a point of no knowledge whatsover about a particular issue. The Young Fools of the Sydney Uni Libs, for one.

    On Abbott’s cunning plan, I reckon Andrew is dead wrong. With respect.

    Some, what? Cunning plan to install Labor Premiers Australia wide to, to some what plan to install Labor Premiers to, to. Erm. Erm. Wink.

    It is so Mach V, not completely beyond the crazed imaginations of say, Murdoch and his lackeys, but totally beyond the wit of the Lib Lackeys to carry it out.

    Their skills are there for all to see. QED.

    Not even Lord Murdoch can save them from themselves.

  • 659
    WarrenPeace
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:57 pm | Permalink

    Better minds than mine are required to say whatcan and can’t be rejected in the budget, without it being against Labor policy not to block supply.

    It is obvious that a lot of things will be blocked by this senate and the next.

    What can the Libs do
    Negotiate, too many things will be rejected.
    Have an election of any kind, suicide.
    Change leader, may help in the short term.
    Stay as they are and shit their pants every time a new poll comes out, that at least may put the fire in their pants out

  • 660
    crikey whitey
    Posted Saturday, May 24, 2014 at 11:59 pm | Permalink

    Interesting BB.

    I didn’t think of Marr being ‘in love’ but not impossible.

    I have a post of Marr’s on Crikey, which I uncovered today.

    Which is pretty damn lovey.

    I’ll try to find it.

  • 661
    Walter E Plinge
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 12:00 am | Permalink

    Who will abbott make a dame or knight and when. It will just make him look stupid again and remind people what a fool he is, but I think he will have to do it

  • 662
    crikey whitey
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 12:03 am | Permalink

    BB.

    The article is slavering crap.

    The comments tell all.

    http://www.crikey.com.au/2012/09/10/marr-on-abbott-nine-things-you-didnt-know-about-tony/

  • 663
    guytaur
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 12:04 am | Permalink

    Insiders is going to be interesting tomorrow. It has sunk in with the Canberra Press Gallery that despite the spin the budget is rejected by the people so how they handle it is going to be a study in spin.

    Goodnight

  • 664
    mari
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 12:10 am | Permalink

    http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/speaker-bronwyn-bishop-under-fire-for-hosting-liberal-fundraisers-in-her-parliament-house-office-20140524-zrn5n.html the “unbiased” Bronnie busy as usual

  • 665
    crikey whitey
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 12:16 am | Permalink

    Fran Barlow.

    While you are there. Thank you for responding to Bemused’s offensive, to me, remarks. I had no time to do so myself. You exactly represented how I found it. Including the later take up of ‘Their ABC’ by the trolls. I had time enough to save it.

    • 1022
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Friday, May 23, 2014 at 9:22 am | Permalink
    bemused

    1. I reject the claim that “theirABC” is tin foil hat stuff*.

    The ABC clearly launders the Murdochracy’s fantasy visions to make them palatable to left-of-centre audiences. It also empties them of content, doing faux balance, and presenting most of discourse on public policy as not about tyhe substance of policy but about its appearances — “how it will play with the punters”

    2. I also stopped paying attention to Fran Kelly and her partner in crime, Michelle Grattan some years ago — probably in 2009.

    * I am aware that the far right also uses the term “theirABC” to make the opposite claim — that it’s a nest of leftwing trolls. That simply reflects (variously) their stupidity, disingenuity, studied ignorance and/or malice.

  • 666
    crikey whitey
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 12:28 am | Permalink

    The problem with Bemused is that he loves to pick baubles. From his lofty perch.

    If he had bothered to read my entire post, it was not about me.

    Whilst I have a modest claim to my description of the ABC, it is hardly tin foil stuff. As we all know by now, I have a title and a tiara. Albeit Papier-mâché. Since renounced.

    Mine was simply a response to Atticus.

    Bemused would be well advised to cease copying and criticing what others say and put forward his own formulated view.

    He occasionally but rarely does so.

    Bemused has a lot to offer. I appreciate his best side.

    Don’t appreciate his spiteful side.

  • 667
    psyclaw
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:00 am | Permalink

    WarrenPeace

    The “Budget Bills” have 3 elements

    1) Appropriation Bills ie legislative authority to spend money, the spending of which has already been legislated ie “Supply”. These won’t be blocked.

    2) Bills to create new taxes or change existing ones eg the deficit levy or the co-payments. These are about legislating what the government can do to grab our $s. These are not “Supply” and can be certainly blocked. Some will be blocked/amended.

    3) Bills to create new programs / alter old ones eg Direct Action, or PPL. These also are not “Supply” and can be blocked. Some will be blocked/amended.

  • 668
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:02 am | Permalink

    I normally like Elder.

    But the GST conspiracy is one too far.

    That is one aspect of policy they do not care enough about to form a grand fed-state conspiracy to up the GST.

    Just does not align to what they believe in.

    A grand conspiracy for a massive revenue raiser? Na.

    The grand conspiracy would be for a massive cost cutter. Nothing else.

    No way different levels of government would agree to raise GST by stealth. More stupid than smart.

  • 669
    psyclaw
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:06 am | Permalink

    Tom

    The uncle didn’t have it to leave to the church till the challenge to the Will was made and upheld.

    I have not referred at all to what and how might have happened to the assets / benefits after the priestly uncle successfully retrieved them by challenging the Will.

  • 670
    cud chewer
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:08 am | Permalink

    What are the next state elections in order?

  • 671
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:10 am | Permalink

    If you sold all of the assets of all the christian churches globally slowly over several decades you could easily wipe poverty from the face of the earth.

  • 672
    psyclaw
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:11 am | Permalink

    Cud Chewer

    I think Vic, NSW, Qld, WA.

  • 673
    psyclaw
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:14 am | Permalink

    Deflationite

    But then how would all the reverends dress up in all the lavish gear and jewellery.

    Surely you don’t want Pell to have to wear jeans n T-shirt from Lowes and a paira thongs do you!!!

  • 674
    cud chewer
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:17 am | Permalink

    Hmm.. according to wikipedia the next QLD election can be no later than 20 June 2015
    That should be interesting.

  • 675
    cud chewer
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:19 am | Permalink

    Oh and 28 March 2015 for NSW, but I doubt Labor will win. Feel free to convince me otherwise.

  • 676
    crikey whitey
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:31 am | Permalink

    Truly, weirdly, deeply.

    Cud Chewer.

    Who are you batting for?

  • 677
    Tom
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 1:44 am | Permalink

    psyclaw, the uncle didn’t need to “have it” to challenge the will. If I was your son and you wrote me out of the will, I could probably challenge – you had lost your marbles or some such argument – whilst you are still alive. If the uncle wanted it challenged, he could have asked the Church legalese to help him. Not the trustees though.

    At least that is my understanding. I am a trustee with another (not catholic) Church and we had a bequest left to the church via a will. It was challenged by a relative. We didn’t fight it for ethical reasons. The Church still got what was left to it as the courts did not approve the challenge from the relative (actual details not known by the church as we didn’t want to get involved in family matters). That’s why I can’t fathom why the Catholic Trustees would fight a will unless they were specifically instructed to do so by the Uncle.

    But without the facts, a lot of this is conjecture.

    There is a saying in the Church – where there’s a will there’s a relative. Sounds cynical, but it is very true. The clergy have to deal with grieving relatives a lot, family battles over wills are a major thing for clergy to deal with when they are helping families through the grieving.

    Tom.

  • 678
    cud chewer
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 2:17 am | Permalink

    crikey, I’ll be voting Labor in the next NSW election. However, I don’t think labor will win. Again, if I’m wrong I’ll be happy about it.

  • 679
    mexicanbeemer
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 2:33 am | Permalink

    Happy Birthday CW, hope you are making good use of the weekend by having a cracker of a time

  • 680
    mexicanbeemer
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 2:40 am | Permalink

    I agree that Andrew Elder is more than likely wrong but then again in Tone world he might actually think having state ALP governments is a but I don’t see it.

    The federal government if anything is actually giving the states greater power thus control which may well benefit them politically.

  • 681
    Otiose
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 4:24 am | Permalink

    Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy 25/5

  • 682
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 5:30 am | Permalink

    New thread.

  • 683
    bemused
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    crikey whitey@665

    Fran Barlow.

    While you are there. Thank you for responding to Bemused’s offensive, to me, remarks. I had no time to do so myself. You exactly represented how I found it. Including the later take up of ‘Their ABC’ by the trolls. I had time enough to save it.

    • 1022
    Fran Barlow
    Posted Friday, May 23, 2014 at 9:22 am | Permalink
    bemused

    1. I reject the claim that “theirABC” is tin foil hat stuff*.

    The ABC clearly launders the Murdochracy’s fantasy visions to make them palatable to left-of-centre audiences. It also empties them of content, doing faux balance, and presenting most of discourse on public policy as not about tyhe substance of policy but about its appearances — “how it will play with the punters”

    2. I also stopped paying attention to Fran Kelly and her partner in crime, Michelle Grattan some years ago — probably in 2009.

    * I am aware that the far right also uses the term “theirABC” to make the opposite claim — that it’s a nest of leftwing trolls. That simply reflects (variously) their stupidity, disingenuity, studied ignorance and/or malice.

    Hi crikey whitey, I hope you had a happy birthday and enjoyed your celebratory swipe at me.

    I stand by my comment about “Their ABC”. It is just trite and nonsensical. It is real tinfoil hat stuff. Did you get a new tinfoil hat for your birthday?

    The ABC is not the mouthpiece of any political party and at times presents views quite at odds with mine and other ALP members and supporters. That’s its job and I am sorry you and some others don’t understand it.

    The Libs are not faring too well on Insiders this morning and deservedly so.

  • 684
    bemused
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 9:25 am | Permalink

    crikey whitey@666

    The problem with Bemused is that he loves to pick baubles. From his lofty perch.

    If he had bothered to read my entire post, it was not about me.

    Whilst I have a modest claim to my description of the ABC, it is hardly tin foil stuff. As we all know by now, I have a title and a tiara. Albeit Papier-mâché. Since renounced.

    Mine was simply a response to Atticus.

    Bemused would be well advised to cease copying and criticing what others say and put forward his own formulated view.

    He occasionally but rarely does so.

    Bemused has a lot to offer. I appreciate his best side.

    Don’t appreciate his spiteful side.

    Greetings CW from my “lofty perch” which on this occasion is a comfortable lounge chair from which I am watching Insiders and enjoying it.

    My formulated view on various topics appear fairly regularly. Favourite topics include Unemployment, 457 visas, public transport, economic management and education issues, together with the issues of the day. You really should pay close attention, you might learn a few things.

    Maybe you miss a lot of what I say as I strive for brevity.

    Have a great day post birthday.

  • 685
    bobball_au
    Posted Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 2:36 pm | Permalink

    I’m extremely suspect of this poll. The Courier Mail has hardly a fair and balanced News Corp paper in the past months.
    This outcome is quite strange.

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