A post-budget poll of voting state voting intention in Queensland is in line with other results of the last six months in finding the government on track to be returned with a comfortable but substantially reduced majority.
The Sunday Mail carries a ReachTEL automated phone poll of state voting intention, conducted two days after Tuesday’s budget from a sample of 1800, which finds primary vote support for Campbell Newman’s Liberal National Party government at 40.9%, with Labor on 34.0%, the Palmer United Party on 13.6% and the Greens on 5.2%. No two-party preferred result is provided, and the emergence of Palmer United has made determining one rather tricky, but it comes out as 53.6-46.4 on a formula that has half the minor party vote exhausting and the rest allocated as per preferences at last year’s federal election. The poll also finds strong opposition to proposed asset sales, with 24% rating the budget as good or very good and about the same number rating it average, while more than 46% thought the budget poor or very poor.
UPDATE: Docantk relates in comments: Channel Seven news has ReachTEL Newman performance ratings: Very poor 30%, poor 19%, satisfactory 20%, good 15% and very good 15%. Palaszczuk performance: Very poor 18%, poor 20%, satisfactory 30%, good 15%, very good 11%, don’t know 6%.
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.