Crikey



Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll results, related through Twitter by Stephen Murray, have the Labor two-party lead down from 54-46 to 53-47, from primary votes of 37% for the Coalition (up one), 36% for Labor (down one), 10% for the Greens (down two) and 17% for others (up two). Bill Shorten maintains a lead as preferred prime minister but it has narrowed considerably after a post-budget blowout, down from 45-35 last time to 40-37. Personal ratings for both leaders are down, with Abbott off three points on approval to 30% and up two on disapproval to 61%, while Shorten is down four to 34% and up two to 45%. UPDATE: Full tables from The Australian.

Today also brought a new set of results from Morgan’s multi-mode series, with separate numbers provided for each of the last two weekends’ polling rather than the combined fortnightly result that has been the recent norm. This decision was evidently made to emphasise a disparity between the two, with the earlier result being considerably the worse for the Coalition. For the weekend of June 7/8, Labor’s primary vote lead blew out to 42% (up four on the previous fortnightly poll to 33% (down two points), with the Greens up one to 12% and Palmer United down three to 4.5%. This panned out to huge Labor leads of 60.5-39.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 59-41 on 2013 election preference flows. For the weekend just past, Labor’s primary vote lead was down to 38% to 36.5%, with the Greens steady on 12% and Palmer United up a point to 5.5%. On two-party preferred, Labor’s leads were 55.5-44.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 54.5-45.5 on previous election.

Morgan also conducted a phone poll of 637 respondents from Tuesday to Thursday last week which showed an effective disappearance for the net majority in support of repeal of the carbon tax, for which support was down two points since the previous such poll in February to 47%, and opposition up five to 46%. The poll also found 88% believing Australia should reduce carbon dioxide emissions versus only 10% opposed, while a question on global warming had 29% nominating that concerns were exaggerated, 49% selecting “if we don’t act now it will be too late”, and 16% opting for “it is already too late”.

UPDATE (Essential Research): The latest fortnightly rolling average from Essential Research has Labor’s two-party lead steady at 54-46, from primary votes of 41% for Labor (up one), 39% for the Coalition (up two), 9% for the Greens (steady) and 5% for Palmer United (down one). Also featured are semi-regular questions on international relations, climate change and same-sex marriage. The “very important” rating for a close relationship with New Zealand is for some reason up seven points since November to 61%, and that for China is for some reason down eight points to 46%; trust in the Abbott government to handle international relations is down six points to 35%, and distrust is up six to 59%; and 45% are confident that Tony Abbott will do a good job representing Australia overseas versus 50% not confident, which contrasts with the 74% and 18% recorded for Kevin Rudd in October 2009. Belief that climate change is related to human activity is at 53%, down three on the April result, while non-belief is at 35%, up one; and in a result closely reflecting Morgan’s, 38% agree with Tony Abbott’s assertion that Australia and Canada should “take the lead” in opposing carbon taxes and emissions trading schemes versus 39% who disagree. Support for same-sex marriage maintains an upward trajectory evident since the series began in late 2010, with 60% in favour (up three on October last year) and 28% opposed (down three).

Categories: Federal Politics 2013-

1250 Responses

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  1. F$ck QandA – it’s reminder that another go at tatslotto is due.

    by CTar1 on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:43 pm

  2. poroti

    And here’s another one.

    The real Peta. @ellinghausen nails this pic. #auspol #qt pic.twitter.com/xlIz1tBRqF

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:44 pm

  3. BK

    Ah yes, those claws!

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:45 pm

  4. poroti
    Absolutely gorgeous!

    by BK on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:46 pm

  5. Judith Bell ‏
    To get back $550.00 from axing CT you will have to be spending $6,000 in electricity bills for the year

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:46 pm

  6. Australia, like all anglo-phone countries performs badly on equality and health and social problems.

    Joe Hockey reckons its not the role of Government to address equality issues.

    I wonder why so many other countries do so much better.

    http://wingsoverscotland.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/spiritlevel.jpg

    by swamprat on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:46 pm

  7. Stephen Koukoulas ‏@TheKouk 1m

    It is staggering the IPA gets coverage when it’s credibility is smashed week by week. I wonder who makes the decision to have them on?

    by zoidlord on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:47 pm

  8. The wisdom of Bronnie:

    Sabra Lane ‏@SabraLane 2m
    Sen Bishop says the govt that holds most seats in Reps should also have their will reflected in the Senate.

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:47 pm

  9. lizzie

    As George Orwell said.

    At 50, everyone has the face he deserves

    by poroti on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:48 pm

  10. Not Bronnie, sorry.

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:48 pm

  11. lizzie
    Surely it’s not Bronnie as she’s not a Senator. Ther eis an ALP Senator Bishop and I doubt if he would say that now.
    But regardless of that what a stupid statement that illustrates zero understanding of the Constitution.

    by BK on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:51 pm

  12. Joe Hockey reckons its not the role of Government to address equality issues.

    If you look at Hockey’s statements over the last few months, he believes the federal government should act as nothing more than a central money distribution centre.

    by Dee on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:52 pm

  13. Just before I start cooking, and because I’m lazy, I loved this article.

    http://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/shortcuts/2014/jun/16/lazy-persons-guide-food-hygiene-chicken?CMP=twt_gu

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:56 pm

  14. So let me get this clear.

    Kathy Jackson a representative of a trade union initially established to protect the rights of hospital workers across the country charged and was paid ‘an honorarium’ of $8K JUST to attend HSU meetings.

    WTF?

    This woman is completely delusional.

    I am and always will be a rusted on ALP supporter but this makes my blood boil.

    IF and I say IF these allegations are proven to be true this woman should do HARD TIME in jail.

    A pathetic and odious individual. Rorting and creaming the top because it is there for the rorting.

    Disgusting. Truly disgusting.

    by Steven Grant Haby on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:56 pm

  15. Furthermore I have friends in the health sector who state the HSU is effectively dead and buried never to be trusted again.

    Good riddance. Bastards Jeff and Kathy

    by Steven Grant Haby on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:59 pm

  16. Factions at ten paces! http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-17/supporters-defend-integrity-of-hsu-kathy-jackson/5530394

    by BK on Jun 17, 2014 at 5:59 pm

  17. Bronnie used to be a Senator before she decided to be PM.

    by ruawake on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:00 pm

  18. It would appear Cathy has used her charm(s) to devastating effect.

    by BK on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:00 pm

  19. Joe Hockey reckons its not the role of Government to address equality issues

    Someone should ask HoJo to tell us what he thinks it is for.

    by poroti on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:01 pm

  20. @spicertracey: PNG police accused of stealing detainees’ personal property, with Manus Is. described as a powder keg. http://t.co/0kWI77PZ4D via @TheHoopla

    by guytaur on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:02 pm

  21. @JointDestroyer: Who’s afraid of the #leftwingfrightbat? http://t.co/1mjXkdhOH4

    by guytaur on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:05 pm

  22. @poroti/368

    That’s class warfare right there!

    by zoidlord on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:05 pm

  23. Good budget from NSW LNP.

    Cant see Robertson pulling off an unlikely win here.

    by Everything on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:06 pm

  24. It’s hard to fathom KJackson’s motives for dobbing in others whilst her own snout was firmly embedded in the trough.

    Was it Independent Australia who gained possession of receipts from the HSU paying for KJackson’s kids uniforms, child minding etc..?

    by Dee on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:08 pm

  25. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/policy/labor-torn-over-offshore-processing/story-fn9hm1gu-1226957409560

    Good on you Melissa Parke and Anna Burke. I salute you! :)

    by Everything on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:10 pm

  26. @Mod Lib/372

    Sure when your focus is on Western Sydney.

    by zoidlord on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:10 pm

  27. Western Sydney has been neglected for years.

    by Everything on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:10 pm

  28. @Mod Lib/376

    No it hasn’t.

    by zoidlord on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:14 pm

  29. And NSW Liberal Party have been in power for “years”, but they chose the surplus over infrastructure.

    by zoidlord on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:15 pm

  30. It would have taken something catastrophic for the LNP to get turfed from NSW after the shred job they did on Labor at the last election. From 2015 the actual governance should begin, with both parties having skin in the game.

    by teh_drewski on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:17 pm

  31. zoidlord:

    After a quarter century of ALP promises of public transport for the west and a second Sydney airport, the LNP is actually delivering it.

    That is a meme that is going to do significant damage to the ALP here in NSW: all talk and no action vs. the LNP which actually delivers.

    by Everything on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:18 pm

  32. If the Libs vote is 46% in NSW at the next Fed election, forget Western Sydney look at North Sydney.

    by ruawake on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:20 pm

  33. That would that be the same LNP which actually delivers no public transport, just big clogged up roads.

    by mikehilliard on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:23 pm

  34. @Mod Lib/380

    They have NOT delivered anything, and quiet frankly, blaming the opposing party does not solve the issues either.

    Quiet pathetic response from you.

    Youth Unemployment in this country is sky high, who gives a sh!t about who didn’t do what.

    NSW Budget does not do a thing to reduce this.

    by zoidlord on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:23 pm

  35. And actually Youth Unemployment is one of the highest in New South Wales.

    by zoidlord on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:24 pm

  36. Steven

    The HSU is clearly a cesspit of corruption.

    by Diogenes on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:25 pm

  37. Everything

    Fixed it for you.

    the LNP is actually just delivering promising it.

    by poroti on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:25 pm

  38. Dee

    Yes. Lots of detail on what she was up to but protection/support by such as Uhlmann and Abbott.

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:26 pm

  39. Madlib and her empty words again. You are totally full of it. Deliver ? B f’in S. Misery is what Tory types ‘deliver’ . You lost your pants over selfish attitudes to climate change, you deranged FW

    by outside left on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:27 pm

  40. mikehilliard

    Killer line in the last W.A. election in response to the Emperor’s rail promises. “What would the Liberal Party know about railways ? They’ve never built one.”

    by poroti on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:27 pm

  41. A Liberal MP incorrectly told his constituents the Coalition's proposed $7 Medicare co-payment would not apply to those who could not afford to pay it.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/labor-accuses-government-of-misunderstanding-its-own-7-medicare-fee-policy-20140617-3aaz2.html#ixzz34spGKfqk

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:29 pm

  42. The Liberal Party is opening pathways for private companies to leverage opportunities to climb aboard the Govts plan for infrastructure rejuvenation in the air transport space.

    Sound rooly great. :P

    by ruawake on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:30 pm

  43. Presumably there will come some time when unions will lead evidence before the commission as to the manner in which they adopt accounting and auditing standards which no longer permit the ransacking of funds.

    by shellbell on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:31 pm

  44. poroti

    Or they’ve never used one.

    by mikehilliard on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:31 pm

  45. mikehilliard

    Only for iron ore :)

    by poroti on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:33 pm

  46. I have a mental image of the LNP’s second aiport.

    http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Bp3MvxE3guA/UDVf8ZxiDYI/AAAAAAAClco/iBRefhCWqLQ/s1600/Flugplatz+Oranienburg+Berlin+abandoned+airfield+IMG_9842.jpg

    by mikehilliard on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:37 pm

  47. poroti

    :lol:

    by mikehilliard on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:38 pm

  48. Tandberg

    http://t.co/7pSUyIYLDT

    by lizzie on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:39 pm

  49. If the LNP doesn’t deliver on the second airport and the western Sydney transport infrastructure, they will be condemned. If they do deliver, they will be hailed.

    The money is in the budget for the shovels to start digging!

    by Everything on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:41 pm

  50. mikehilliard

    With all the red tape gone they will be able to take off from the airport like this !.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1Bv41aQDSI

    by poroti on Jun 17, 2014 at 6:42 pm

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