A new Queensland state poll from ReachTEL is similar to this week’s Newspoll, apart from the fact the Palmer United vote is recorded.
A ReachTEL automated phone poll of 1900 respondents, “Conducted for The Sunday Mail and Channel 7”, has the Liberal National Party with a primary vote lead of 38.7% to 34.4%, which narrows to 51-49 on two-party preferred. The Palmer United vote continues to surge, out in this poll to 15.4%. A two-party preferred figure is provided, but in a situation where a new party has come along and seized nearly one vote in six, this is a highly speculative exercise. The result given is 51-49 in favour of the LNP, perhaps at the generous end of what might be expected for Labor from the primary vote numbers provided. The Sunday Mail report says Campbell Newman has a combined poor and very poor rating of 53.1%, but no other leadership numbers are provided (and also no primary vote for the Greens).