Newspoll’s bi-monthly New South Wales result gives Mike Baird’s government a commanding lead, putting them well clear of what was indicated in previous post-Barry O’Farrell polling.
The latest bi-monthly Newspoll reading of New South Wales state voting intention in The Australian is a surprisingly strong one for Mike Baird’s government, which has a 57-43 lead on two-party preferred. This is down from 58-42 at the last poll on Barry O’Farrell’s watch in January-February, with no result provided for the period of his departure in March-April. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down three to 43%, Labor steady on 31%, and the Greens up three to 13%. Baird gets a honeymoon-ish set of personal ratings, including 49% approval and 19% disapproval, and a 47-20 lead over John Robertson as preferred premier, which compares with 56-39 in the last poll under O’Farrell. However, Robertson himself has spiked five on approval to 35%, and is down two on disapproval to 32%. While the result is considerably weaker for Labor than Galaxy and Essential Research results published at the end of May, it remains Labor’s equal best Newspoll result in New South Wales for about four years, along with the result of November-December last year.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
The Poll Bludger, who is known to his mother as William Bowe, can be contacted at: pollbludger-at-bigpond.com.
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