The second Tasmanian state poll conducted since the election finds some of the sheen coming off the support that delivered a landslide win to Will Hodgman and the Liberal Party in March.
The second EMRS poll of state voting intention in Tasmania since the Liberals’ landslide win in March finds evidence of a Labor recovery, their primary vote of 33% comparing with 27.3% at the election and 25% at the last poll in May. The Liberal Party is at 46%, compared with 51.2% at the election and 48% in May, while the Greens – whose support EMRS tends to exaggerate – are at 16%, up from 13.8% at the election but down five points on the last poll. Will Hodgman retains a commanding 51-25 lead over Labor’s Bryan Green as preferred premier, down slightly from 54-22 in May.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
The Poll Bludger, who is known to his mother as William Bowe, can be contacted at: pollbludger-at-bigpond.com.
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