The latest bi-monthly Newspoll survey provides yet another indication that Mike Baird’s New South Wales state government stands to win comfortably next March despite a heavy swing to Labor.
The latest bi-monthly Newspoll result for New South Wales state voting intention from The Australian is in line with other recent polling in showing a 54-46 lead for Mike Baird’s Coalition government, down from 57-43 in May-June. The Coalition is down three on the primary vote 40%, Labor is up two to 33% and the Greens are steady on 13%. Mike Baird retains strong personal ratings, his approval rating steady on 49% and disapproval up four to 23%, and his lead of 45-21 as preferred premier is little changed on his 47-20 last time. John Robertson’s ratings are also much as they were, at 34% approval (down one) and 32% disapproval (steady).
Below are poll trend charts inclusive of the latest result, the current trend reading giving the Coalition a 54.9-41.5 two-party lead from primary votes of 42.9% for the Coalition, 33.4% for Labor and 11.8% for the Greens. I had more to say about the state of play in New South Wales, in particular concerning how it compares with Victoria, in a paywalled article for Crikey on Friday.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
The Poll Bludger, who is known to his mother as William Bowe, can be contacted at: pollbludger-at-bigpond.com.
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