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William Bowe


William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.


Simulating the Senate

Simulating the Senate

William BoweMay 24, 201633 Comments

Some tentative projections of how things might look in the Senate, after electoral reform and a double dissolution have done their work.

Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

William BoweMay 23, 20161683 Comments

Newspoll tells a familiar tale, with the two-party vote unchanged over four successive polls, Malcolm Turnbull's personal decline levelling off, and Bill Shorten continuing to rise.

ReachTEL: 50-50; Ipsos: 51-49 to Coalition

ReachTEL: 50-50; Ipsos: 51-49 to Coalition

William BoweMay 20, 20161780 Comments

Two new national polls do nothing to dispel perceptions of a tight race, and they're accompanied by another result showing Labor with its nose in front in the key outer Sydney seat of Macarthur.

BludgerTrack: 50.1-49.9 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 50.1-49.9 to Labor

William BoweMay 19, 20161731 Comments

Labor pokes its nose ahead on two-party preferred in the latest reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, but a stronger showing in Queensland finds the Coalition keeping its head above water on the seat projection.

Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor

William BoweMay 17, 20161374 Comments

No change from Essential Research this week, which also records Malcolm Turnbull dipping into net negative territory on personal approval for the first time.

Morgan: 52.5-47.5 to Labor

William BoweMay 16, 2016577 Comments

The first poll of national voting intention in nearly a week records a significant drop in the Coalition's primary vote.

Galaxy: 52-48 to state LNP in Queensland

William BoweMay 15, 20165 Comments

The first Queensland poll since Tim Nicholls seized the Opposition leadership finds the Liberal National Party edging further ahead, despite a tentative reaction to its new leader.

ReachTEL Tasmanian electorates polling

William BoweMay 15, 20161316 Comments

A poll of Tasmania's electorates finds the Liberals grimly hanging on in the three seats gained from Labor in 2013, and independent Andrew Wilkie going untroubled in Denison.

Galaxy: 54-46 to federal Coalition in Queensland

William BoweMay 14, 2016571 Comments

After a week spent splashing cash at marginal seats in South Australia and Tasmania, new polls arrive from Queensland and western Sydney to steady the Coalition's nerves.

Highlights of days three and four

Highlights of days three and four

William BoweMay 13, 2016862 Comments

Pre-election High Court action, reports of a Labor surge in the Melbourne seat of Dunkley, Labor's candidate crisis in Fremantle, and a closer look at Labor's now-finalised Senate tickets.