William Bowe is a PhD student with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.
Friday, November 6, 2009 – 3:53 pm
Roy Morgan has leapt in with last weekend’s face-to-face polling of 1050 respondents, showing Labor’s lead has actually nudged slightly upwards: from 60.5-39.5 to 61-39. Labor’s primary vote is down one point to 51 per cent, but the Coalition’s is also down two to 32.5 per cent. Contra Newspoll, the Greens are up two to [...]
Posted in Federal Politics
|
Tagged Adam Searle, Berowra, Bob Debus, Brisbane, Chris Hayes, Damien Ogden, John Murphy, Laurie Ferguson, Leichhardt, Macarthur, Macquarie, Nick Bleasdale, Reid, Susan Templeman, Teresa Gambaro, Warren Entsch, Werriwa
|
Monday, November 2, 2009 – 10:20 pm
Big shock from Newspoll: Labor’s two-party lead has slumped from 59-41 to 52-48, their smallest lead since the last poll prior to the 2007 election. The shift on preferred prime minister is much more modest, Kevin Rudd’s lead slipping from 65-19 to 63-19. It’s apparently also been reported both sides have shifted seven points on [...]
Monday, November 2, 2009 – 3:30 pm
As if to refute any notion that polling disasters for the New South Wales and Queensland government can be put down to the electoral cycle, the latest Victorian state Newspoll finds the decade-old Labor government going from strength to strength. Labor’s two-party lead is at 57-43, compared with 56-44 two months ago and 54.4-45.6 at [...]
Sunday, November 1, 2009 – 12:46 am
The Sunday Mail and Courier Mail seem to be in a pattern of producing Galaxy polls of Queensland state voting intention every six weeks or so, and the latest provides no reprieve for a Labor government that seems scarcely more popular than the one south of the border. The Liberal National Party has increased its [...]
Saturday, October 31, 2009 – 5:19 am
The latest fortnightly Roy Morgan face-to-face survey finds Labor maintaining the remarkable upward trend it has recorded across recent polling: its primary vote is up 2.5 per cent to 52 per cent, the Coalition’s is up 0.5 per cent to 34.5 per cent, while the Greens, Family First and independent/others are all down. On two-party [...]
Posted in Federal Politics, Tasmanian Politics, Victorian politics
|
Tagged Bass, Brian Wightman, Cook, Elwick, Fowler, Geoff Lyons, Jenny Branch, Jodie Campbell, John van Beveren, Kevin Hogan, Laurie Ferguson, Louise Staley, Lowe, Macarthur, Matthew Groom, Michael Towke, Page, Pat Farmer, primaries, Reid, Richmond, Ripon, Russell Matheson, Steve Titmus, Sue Hickey, Terry Martin, Vic Dunn
|
Saturday, October 31, 2009 – 1:34 am
The Australian has published Newspoll’s latest bi-monthly New South Wales state poll, and it finds the Labor government continuing its slow-motion journey to disaster. Labor is down two points on the primary vote to 30 per cent, the Liberals are down one to 36 per cent, the Nationals are up two to 6 per cent, [...]
Tuesday, October 27, 2009 – 5:09 am
The latest weekly Essential Research poll shows Labor’s mega-lead remaining impervious to anything domestic or international push or pull factors might throw at it. Supplementary questions show respondents considering just about everything to be important in deciding their vote, though “political leadership” is down seven points since March and “security and the war on terrorism” [...]
Saturday, October 24, 2009 – 5:30 am
The federal redistribution of New South Wales has been completed, with a final determination that turns up fewer surprises than the recent effort in Queensland. Antony Green has as always given the new boundaries the once-over; all margins quoted herein are as calculated by him.
• The commissioners have responded to widespread criticism of the original [...]
Posted in Federal Redistributions, NSW Politics, Victorian politics
|
Tagged Arthur Sinodinos, Bankstown, Bob La Castra, Burwood, Cameron Thompson, Coogee, David Solly, Dickson, Graham Watt, Greg Warren, Hajnal Ban, Hazem El Masri, John Murphy, Lakemba, Laurie Ferguson, Lowe, Macarthur, Michael Freelander, Miranda Devine, Nick Bleasdale, Pat Farmer, Paul Nunnari, Peter Dutton, Reid, Russell Matheson, Sally Loane, Steve Lawrence, Tony Stewart, Vaucluse, Wright
|
Tuesday, October 20, 2009 – 12:12 am
The third Newspoll in consecutive weeks is another disaster for the Coalition, showing Labor’s lead widening still further despite the government’s recent discomfort over boat arrivals. Labor is now ahead 59-41 on two-party preferred, compared with 58-42 at both last week’s unusual poll and last fortnight’s usual one. Kevin Rudd’s preferred prime minister rating is [...]
Posted in Federal Politics, Tasmanian Politics
|
Tagged Denison, Dickson, Elise Archer, Graeme Sturges, Jenny Stirling, Libby Connors, Malcolm Mackerras, Marti Zucco, Matt Stevenson, Michael Hodgman, Peter Dutton
|
Monday, October 19, 2009 – 3:52 am
Bit late with this one, but Thursday’s West Australian featured one of its increasingly occasional 400-sample Westpoll surveys of state voting intention. The year-old Liberal-National government’s two-party lead was at a fairly modest 53-47, compared with an unlikely 59-41 at the last such poll in June. Both leaders are up four points on preferred premier: [...]