Bit of a blast from the past here: The Sunday Age has commissioned “Irving Saulwick and Denis Muller” to conduct a 1000-sample survey on Victorian state voting intention. Saulwick was a feature of the Australian polling landscape in the 1980s, but as Antony Green recently noted on this site, the ALP succeeded in damaging its [...]
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Author Archives: William Bowe
Morgan: 56.5-43.5
Friday, November 20, 2009 – 2:05 pm
Morgan seems to be back to reporting weekly face-to-face polling, at least for the time being: the latest survey of 1014 respondents has Labor down 1.5 per cent to 45 per cent and the Coalition down 2 per cent to 36.5 per cent, changing the two-party vote from 56-44 to 56.5-43.5. The Greens are up [...]
Ve haff vays of making you enrol
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 – 4:59 pm
Bernard Keane of Crikey says nein danke to automatic enrolment plot:
This is about finding new ways to enforce a law that can’t be enforced effectively at the moment. But if you listen to Rees, you’d think it was for The Kids. Rees pointedly referred to the Board of Studies as one of the agencies that [...]
Newspoll: 56-44
Monday, November 16, 2009 – 10:23 pm
The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor bouncing from last fortnight’s 52-48 quirk to 56-44. Interesting to note that Kevin Rudd’s personal ratings were unaffected by the upheaval: while the two-party rating went from 59-41 to 52-48 to 56-44, preferred prime minister went from 65-19 to 63-19 to 63-22. More to follow. Also:
• Essential [...]
Morgan: 56-44
Friday, November 13, 2009 – 1:37 pm
At last, a second poll to back the notion that Labor has taken a hit in recent weeks. The latest Roy Morgan face-to-face survey has Labor’s lead at 56-44: healthy enough in absolute terms, but down from 61-39 last week and 60.5-39.5 at the previous regular fortnightly survey. Labor is down 4.5 per cent on [...]
EMRS: 44-33 to Liberal in Tasmania
Thursday, November 12, 2009 – 4:39 pm
The latest EMRS survey of Tasmanian state voting intention finds the tide continuing to go out on David Bartlett’s Labor government: after distribution of the undecided, it has the Liberals up three points to 44 per cent on the previous survey in August, and Labor down two to 33 per cent. The Greens are steady [...]
Newspoll: ??-??
Tuesday, November 10, 2009 – 4:36 pm
Following last week’s surprising and almost certainly rogue Newspoll result, The Australian sent its pollster out into the field again over the weekend for an eagerly anticipated follow-up survey. However, when the results were published yesterday, all that was offered was attitudinal results on asylum seekers – although breakdowns by party support made clear that [...]
Nielsen: 56-44
Monday, November 9, 2009 – 12:13 am
The keenly awaited monthly Nielsen poll of 1400 respondents has Labor’s two-party lead down just slightly to 56-44 from 57-43 a month ago. Likewise, Labor’s primary vote is down a point to 45 per cent and the Coalition’s is up one to 38 per cent. Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is down three points to 68 [...]
Newspoll: 52-48
Monday, November 2, 2009 – 10:20 pm
Big shock from Newspoll: Labor’s two-party lead has slumped from 59-41 to 52-48, their smallest lead since the last poll prior to the 2007 election. The shift on preferred prime minister is much more modest, Kevin Rudd’s lead slipping from 65-19 to 63-19. It’s apparently also been reported both sides have shifted seven points on [...]
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