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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Canning by-election: September 19

A progressively updated post reporting on the campaign for the Canning by-election. LATEST UPDATE (28/8): Another ReachTEL poll produces another tight result, with the Liberals leading 51-49 – but again, the primary votes suggest a much easier Liberal win.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Griffith by-election live

Live coverage of the Griffith by-election count, featuring booth-matched swing calculations and result projections.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Griffith by-election: February 8

The definitive end of the Kevin Rudd era likewise means the end of the longest federal by-election drought in over 60 years, in what looms as a fascinating early test for Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten alike.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Morgan phone poll: 53-47

I held off doing a post on yesterday’s unconvincing Morgan phone poll result in the hope they would give us a face-to-face poll this week, but either they’ve gone on Christmas break or are returning to their old pattern of combining results fortnightly. Yesterday’s effort was a phone poll from a sample of just 493 [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Higgins and Bradfield by-elections live

HIGGINS # % SWING 2PP O’Dwyer (LIB) 34764 54.4% 0.2% 59.6% Hamilton (GRN) 20778 32.5% 22.2% 40.4% Australian Sex Party 2084 3.3% Liberal Democrats 311 0.5% Australian Democrats 1455 2.3% 1.1% One Nation 199 0.3% Democratic Labor Party 2452 3.8% Independents 1828 2.9% TOTAL 63871 COUNTED: 72.5% BOOTHS (OF 38): 38 BRADFIELD # % SWING [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Bradfield by-election: December 5

Friday, December 4 Ben Raue of the Tally Room cases the joint, and reports the following intelligence concerning the Christian Democratic Party: Apparently the party has divided the seat’s polling booths between the nine candidates. Each candidate has their own how-to-vote card which puts themselves first then goes to all the other CDP candidates through [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Lyne by-election count thread

I will not be providing live blogging for either of tonight’s by-elections, but here’s a space for you all to discuss the figures from Lyne as they come in.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Mayo by-election count thread

I will not be providing live blogging for either of tonight’s by-elections, but here’s a space for you all to discuss the figures from Mayo as they come in.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Mayo by-election thread

I’ve been too preoccupied to offer commentary on Saturday’s Mayo by-election, but maybe interested readers can do the job for me in comments. Liberal candidate Jamie Briggs is a short-priced favourite to succeed Alexander Downer in the traditionally safe seat, but two other candidates in the field are of at least theoretical interest. One is [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Lyne by-election preview

The September 6 by-elections for Mayo and Lyne initially loomed as fizzers, with Labor showing no inclination post-Gippsland to test the waters in unwinnable seats. They have instead respectively emerged as mildly and enormously interesting, thanks to the entry of non-major party players. In Mayo, housing tycoon Bob Day will bring a cashed-up campaign to [...]

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