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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Griffith by-election live

Live coverage of the Griffith by-election count, featuring booth-matched swing calculations and result projections.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Griffith by-election: February 8

The definitive end of the Kevin Rudd era likewise means the end of the longest federal by-election drought in over 60 years, in what looms as a fascinating early test for Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten alike.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Morgan phone poll: 53-47

I held off doing a post on yesterday’s unconvincing Morgan phone poll result in the hope they would give us a face-to-face poll this week, but either they’ve gone on Christmas break or are returning to their old pattern of combining results fortnightly. Yesterday’s effort was a phone poll from a sample of just 493 [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Higgins and Bradfield by-elections live

HIGGINS # % SWING 2PP O’Dwyer (LIB) 34764 54.4% 0.2% 59.6% Hamilton (GRN) 20778 32.5% 22.2% 40.4% Australian Sex Party 2084 3.3% Liberal Democrats 311 0.5% Australian Democrats 1455 2.3% 1.1% One Nation 199 0.3% Democratic Labor Party 2452 3.8% Independents 1828 2.9% TOTAL 63871 COUNTED: 72.5% BOOTHS (OF 38): 38 BRADFIELD # % SWING [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Bradfield by-election: December 5

Friday, December 4 Ben Raue of the Tally Room cases the joint, and reports the following intelligence concerning the Christian Democratic Party: Apparently the party has divided the seat’s polling booths between the nine candidates. Each candidate has their own how-to-vote card which puts themselves first then goes to all the other CDP candidates through [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Lyne by-election count thread

I will not be providing live blogging for either of tonight’s by-elections, but here’s a space for you all to discuss the figures from Lyne as they come in.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Mayo by-election count thread

I will not be providing live blogging for either of tonight’s by-elections, but here’s a space for you all to discuss the figures from Mayo as they come in.

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Mayo by-election thread

I’ve been too preoccupied to offer commentary on Saturday’s Mayo by-election, but maybe interested readers can do the job for me in comments. Liberal candidate Jamie Briggs is a short-priced favourite to succeed Alexander Downer in the traditionally safe seat, but two other candidates in the field are of at least theoretical interest. One is [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Lyne by-election preview

The September 6 by-elections for Mayo and Lyne initially loomed as fizzers, with Labor showing no inclination post-Gippsland to test the waters in unwinnable seats. They have instead respectively emerged as mildly and enormously interesting, thanks to the entry of non-major party players. In Mayo, housing tycoon Bob Day will bring a cashed-up campaign to [...]

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FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS |

Gippsland by-election post-mortem

This entry will shortly be expanded with a considered analysis of the result, the general thrust of which will be that the surprisingly large swing to the Nationals indeed sounds warning bells for the Rudd government, however keen Labor partisans might be to mark it down to local factors. Below is a localised breakdown of [...]

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