Category Archives: Federal Election 2007

Newspoll’s state-by-state breakdowns are looking even noisier following the long-awaited narrowing, with Labor up in South Australia, down in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland, and through the floor in Western Australia. The ACNielsen poll has the swings at 7.7 per cent nationally (compared with 4.8 per cent in Newspoll), 8.1 per cent in NSW [...]

Okay, two simple options for those of you who want to chew some election eve fat. At the bottom we have a Meebo chat room as per the last two evenings (UPDATE – Not any more). Directly below we have the most beginner-friendly IRC interface known to man. Just type in your favoured nickname, hit [...]

Sky News reports tomorrow’s Newspoll at 52-48. The Australian reports a sample size of 2614, but no primary votes. Normally you wouldn’t doubt the result with four polls telling you 52-48, 52-48, 54.5-45.5 and 57-43, but surely there’s some significance to the fact that the two closest polls of the year have come in the [...]

From today’s editorials that I’ve seen (might get the Financial Review later), there’s a 4-3 split in favour of Labor with The Age sitting on the fence.
• The Daily Telegraph wouldn’t have come down on Labor’s side too often in its history, but today it argues Kevin Rudd is “the right man for these times”.
• [...]

Not sure where he heard this, but the more than reliable Possum Comitatus hears tomorrow’s ACNielsen will show 55-45.
UPDATE: Now the Channel Seven News tells us it’s 57-43. Either ACNielsen or Galaxy are going to look at bit silly come Sunday.

TWO-PARTY

PRIMARY

ALP
LNP

ALP
LNP

Nov 23

57
43

?
?

Nov 16

54
46

47
43

Nov 2

55
45

48
41

Oct 19

54
46

48
42

Oct 6

56
44

47
40

Sep 8

57
43

49
39

Aug 11

55
45

46
41

Jul 14

58
42

49
39

Jun 16

57
43

48
39

May 19

58
42

48
39

April 21

58
42

50
37