Despite encompassing a strong area for Labor in Mackay, the central Queensland seat of Dawson has only been won by Labor on a handful of occasions, and is currently held on a reasonably secure margin by Liberal National Party firebrand George Christensen.
The scene of much unpleasantness in the previous parliament, the Sunshine Coast seat of Fisher gave Howard government minister Mal Brough a new point of entry to parliament at the 2013 election, six years after his defeat in neighbouring Longman.
The outer southern Brisbane seat of Forde has stayed beyond Labor’s reach for all but one term since it was radically redistributed in 1996, their most recent failed candidate being former Premier Peter Beattie.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.