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Federal election 2016

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Seat du jour: Parramatta

William BoweMay 1, 20161 Comment

Urbanisation and immigration have transformed Parramatta from a conservative to a Labor-leaning seat over time, but the backlash against Labor in Sydney over the last two elections has all but worn away Julie Owens' margin.

Seat du jour: Richmond

William BoweApr 30, 20165 Comments

Nestled in the north-eastern corner of New South Wales, Richmond has been transformed over recent decades by coastal development, which has changed it from safe Nationals to margin Labor.

Seat du jour: Macquarie

William BoweApr 29, 2016

Macquarie consists of a fairly even balance of the Liberal-voting Hawkesbury River region and the Labor-leaning Blue Mountains, but the Liberals have held the upper hand since a favourable redistribution in 2010.

Seat du jour: Bennelong

William BoweApr 28, 2016

Bennelong gained the distinction of being one of only two seats to have ousted a sitting Prime Minister with John Howard's defeat in 2007, but it shortly returned to its Liberal-leaning ways

Seat du jour: Werriwa

William BoweApr 26, 20164 Comments

Labor came close to losing Gough Whitlam's old seat when its vote fell to historic lows in Sydney in 2013, but a shift northwards in the latest redistribution has added some extra fat to the margin.

Seat du jour: Macarthur

William BoweApr 25, 20164 Comments

What was once a bellwether seat in Sydney's outer west has become stronger for the Liberals at recent elections, but the latest redistribution has tilted the ground back in favour of Labor.

Seat du jour: Berowra

William BoweApr 24, 20161 Comment

The northern Sydney Liberal fiefdom of Berowra is set to pass on from the Father of the House, Phillip Ruddock, to Julian Leeser, former executive director of Liberal-aligned think tank the Menzies Research Centre.

Seat du jour: Mackellar

William BoweApr 20, 20162 Comments

With Liberal preselectors having voted on the weekend to put an end to Bronwyn Bishop's reign of terror, the blue-ribbon northern beaches Sydney seat of Mackellar is set to pass on to only its fourth member since it was created in 1949.

Seat du jour: Moreton

Seat du jour: Moreton

William BoweApr 17, 20162 Comments

The southern Brisbane seat of Moreton has a long history as a marginal seat, but it hasn't always reflected the national trend – as Labor's Graham Perrett showed when he slightly increased his majority in 2013.

Seat du jour: Griffith

William BoweApr 16, 20165 Comments

Kevin Rudd's former electorate was last lost by Labor during his failed first bid for parliament in 1996, but the Liberal National Party came close to reeling it in at the by-election held upon his retirement in February 2014.