The Poll Bludger has been regrettably quiet during the current period of ferment owing to other commitments, one of which has been the overhaul of the site which will be unveiled very shortly. Commentary on proposed electoral reforms will have to wait until I’ve had more time to think about it – the first order [...]
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Category Archives: NSW By-Elections
Gone to the Brogs
Wednesday, September 28, 2005 – 3:48 pm
Recent events have amply illustrated that politics is a brutal game, in which practitioners are subjected to relentless acts of bastardry from ambitious rivals, muck-raking journalists and sundry other scumbags and bottom-feeders. Worst of the bunch are the psephologists, who spend their time between elections anticipating the next health crisis or personal breakdown that will [...]
Triple M by-elections live
Saturday, September 17, 2005 – 3:44 pm
.
TWO-PARTY
PRIMARY
ELECTORATE
COUNT
LABOR
GRN/LIB
SWING
LABOR
GRN/LIB
MARRICKVILLE
82.0
55.0
45.0
5.7
49.1
39.9
MAROUBRA
79.8
67.5
32.5
10.4
57.5
19.5
MACQUARIE FIELDS
84.4
59.2
40.8
10.7
51.4
34.4
9.50. Here they are – Labor’s two-party vote in Maroubra with all booths in is 68.2 per cent compared with my own estimate of 67.5 per cent, and the swing to the Greens 9.7 per cent rather than my estimate of 10.4 per cent.
9.41. Just waiting on notional preference results from Maroubra now. About [...]
The by-election gazette: final edition
Thursday, September 15, 2005 – 3:37 pm
The pace has quickened noticeably as the New South Wales triple-M by-election campaign has entered its final week – at least in Marrickville, the only one of the three seats where anything is at stake. For those who have a particular interest in the outcome, you could do worse than to log on to this [...]
The by-election gazette #7
Tuesday, September 13, 2005 – 3:36 pm
I was recently reading through my earlier posts on the triple-M by-elections and was pleased to see I had been early off the mark in poking fun at the Daily Telegraph over its rough handling of John Brogden. This was prompted by a number of articles in the week before his career implosion which savaged [...]
The by-election gazette #6
Monday, September 5, 2005 – 3:35 pm
As you are all no doubt aware, a fair bit has changed in New South Wales since the last by-election campaign update. John Brogden’s travails have so dominated media coverage of state politics that this site has been left with very little to report, except to note that the turmoil has obviously been to Labor’s [...]
Dark horse in upset at Randwick
Sunday, August 28, 2005 – 3:34 pm
Last night’s Labor preselection for Bob Carr’s seat of Maroubra produced a surprise result, with Randwick councillor Michael Daley defeating Penny Wright 140 votes to 110. It is not clear if Wright’s 110 votes include her affirmative action weighting – if not, the margin would have been a narrow 140 to 132. Most reports suggested [...]
The by-election gazette #5
Friday, August 26, 2005 – 3:28 pm
In New South Wales, the Iemma Government has used the opportunity of Labor’s defeats in Queensland to talk up the swings they will suffer at the triple-M by-elections, now set for September 17 (the same day as the New Zealand election). State secretary Mark Arbib added substance to the argument by telling the Sydney Morning [...]
The by-election gazette #3
Monday, August 15, 2005 – 3:17 pm
With campaigning for the two Queensland by-elections entering the final week, it’s high time they were promoted up the By-Election Gazette’s batting order.
Redcliffe (Queensland, Labor 7.1%): The Courier Mail reported on Saturday that both major parties believe Labor has the edge in Redcliffe but is "struggling" in Chatsworth, in contrast to impressions at the start [...]
The by-election gazette #2
Wednesday, August 10, 2005 – 3:16 pm
For background on the New South Wales by-elections, Antony Green’s assessment in Crikey cannot be recommended highly enough. The foreground looks as follows:
Marrickville (NSW, Labor 10.7% vs Greens): After earlier ruling out a switch to the lower house when she failed to win her own faction’s support for the deputy premiership, Carmel Tebbutt has been [...]
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